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Global Risk
Report
Siloed Thinking: A Closer Look at the Ground-Based Strategic Deterrent

The Pentagon’s case for the ICBM replacement program, known as the Ground-Based Strategic Deterrent (GBSD) needs to be reevaluated in light of cost escalation and surrounding budgetary pressures.

03.16.21 | 1 min read
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Emerging Technology
Report
A More Responsible Digital Surveillance Future

At a time when democratic rule of law and human rights have weakened globally, emerging digital surveillance technologies have made the authoritarian model more accessible, stable, and competitive than ever before.

02.19.21 | 1 min read
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Global Risk
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Alternatives to the Ground-Based Strategic Deterrent

This policy memo suggests that the Biden administration should immediately launch a National Security Council-led strategic review examining the role of ICBMs in US nuclear strategy, and presents four alternative policy options that the Biden administration could pursue in lieu of the current GBSD program of record. Download the report here.

02.05.21 | 1 min read
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Global Risk
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Public Perspectives on the US Intercontinental Ballistic Missile Force

This report features the results of an October 2020 poll on US nuclear policy conducted by ReThink Media on behalf of the Federation of American Scientists. Download the report here. View the polling as a webpage here.

01.09.21 | 1 min read
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Global Risk
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An Integrated Approach to Deterrence Posture

The primary deterrence challenge facing the United States today is preventing aggression and escalation in limited conventional conflicts with a nuclear-armed adversary.

01.04.21 | 2 min read
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Emerging Technology
Report
Congress Just Authorized USCIS to Raise Over $1 Billion in Fees from Business Users

How long will the immigration agency leave this money on the table? Background As the primary federal agency responsible for legal immigration, U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services (USCIS) is almost entirely funded by user fees rather than appropriations from Congress. In May 2020, USCIS claimed that, due to a lower volume of fee collections caused […]

10.22.20 | 13 min read
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Global Risk
Report
Over the Line: The Implications of China’s ADIZ Intrusions in Northeast Asia

This report uses data gathered from multilingual sources to explore China’s motivations behind its systematic ADIZ intrusions as well as the implications for Japanese, South Korean, Taiwanese, and U.S. forces operating in Northeast Asia. 

08.17.20 | 1 min read
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Emerging Technology
Report
Temporary Work Visa Holders in the United States, By the Numbers

The Trump administration is expected to unveil an executive action in the near future that would significantly restrict temporary (“nonimmigrant”) work visa categories.  While there are multiple public data sets available from the Department of Homeland Security and the Department of State relevant to these visa categories, they are unfortunately not sufficient to answer these […]

06.12.20 | 1 min read
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Global Risk
Report
Conventional Deterrence of North Korea

The debate over whether North Korea could be deterred was eclipsed by the onset of negotiations in 2018. Yet, the last three years have been marked by rapid advancements in the regime’s military capabilities and apparent evolution in its military strategy, which now relies on the threat of preemptive attacks against allied conventional forces to […]

12.18.19 | 1 min read
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Global Risk
Report
Air-launched Ballistic Missiles

In 2018, Russia and China both tested an uncommon type of missile that flew a ballistic trajectory but could be launched from an aircraft. Air-launched ballistic missiles (ALBM) are just one curiosity at a time when many countries are rapidly expanding and upgrading their missile inventories, but the tests raised some understandable questions: Is this […]

11.07.19 | 1 min read
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Global Risk
Report
Report of the International Study Group on North Korea Policy

The FAS International Study Group on North Korea Policy convened to develop a strategy toward a North Korea that will in all likelihood remain nuclear-armed and under the control of the Kim family for the next two decades. The composition of the group reflects a conviction that a sustainable and realistic strategy must draw on […]

01.04.19 | 1 min read
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Global Risk
Report
Nuclear Monitoring and Verification in the Digital Age: Seven Recommendations for Improving the Process

The goal of this Task Force report is to offer findings and make recommendations regarding nonproliferation monitoring and verification in general; our observations are grounded in large part on the Task Force’s continued attention to nonproliferation developments such as the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) between the P5+1 and Iran, nuclear developments in North […]

09.15.17 | 1 min read
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