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NATO Nuclear Weapons Exercise Over Southern Europe

NATO announced Monday that it had started its annual nuclear exercise code-named Steadfast Noon. The week-long exercise is taking place over Southern Europe and involves aircraft and personnel from 14 NATO countries. According to the NATO statement, “Steadfast Noon involves training flights with dual-capable fighter jets, as well as conventional jets, backed by surveillance and […]

10.20.21 | 6 min read
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Blog
“Expert” Opinion More Likely to Damage Vaccine Trust Than Political Propaganda

Our research shows that the biggest threat to reliable information access for military and DoD service members is expert opinion. A high-level analysis of anti-COVID vaccine narratives on social media reveals that opinions from experts achieve higher relevancy and engagement than opinions from news pundits, even if the news source is considered reliable by its […]

10.14.21 | 5 min read
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Global Risk
Blog
After Trump Secrecy, Biden Administration Restores US Nuclear Weapons Transparency

The Biden administration yesterday afternoon declassified the number of nuclear weapons the United States possesses. The act reverses the secrecy of the Trump administration, which denied release of the number for three years, and restores the nuclear transparency of the Obama administration.

10.06.21 | 7 min read
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Global Risk
Article
Biden, You Should Be Aware That Your Submarine Deal Has Costs

For more than a decade, Washington has struggled to prioritize what it calls great power competition with China — a contest for military and political dominance. President Biden has been working hard to make the pivot to Asia that his two predecessors never quite managed. The landmark defense pact with Australia and Britain, AUKUS, that […]

09.30.21 | 1 min read
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Global Risk
Report
What Is the Sole Purpose of U.S. Nuclear Weapons?

Read the full report PDF here.  Summary Depending on how it is defined, sole purpose could have transformational effects on nearly every aspect of nuclear weapons policy or relatively modest effects. It could accommodate or incorporate a range of related policy options, like a deterrence-only posture or no first use. In January 2021, President Biden […]

09.16.21 | 7 min read
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Global Risk
Report
What Is the Sole Purpose of U.S. Nuclear Weapons?

How can US officials assure allies that Biden’s sole purpose policy will increase their security, not decrease it?

09.16.21 | 7 min read
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Global Risk
day one project
Policy Memo
Reevaluating U.S. Military Use of Drone Technology

The growing ubiquity of drone strikes within U.S. military operations demands action to increase transparency and accountability.

08.05.21 | 7 min read
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Blog
China Is Building A Second Nuclear Missile Silo Field

The Chinese missile silo program constitutes the most extensive silo construction since the US and Soviet missile silo construction during the Cold War.

07.26.21 | 9 min read
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Blog
Nuclear Secrecy: In Defense of Reform

One of the stranger features of nuclear weapons secrecy is the government’s ability to reach out and classify nuclear weapons-related information that has been privately generated without government involvement. This happened most recently in 2001. The roots of this constitutionally questionable policy are investigated in Restricted Data, a book by science historian Alex Wellerstein that sheds new light […]

05.26.21 | 5 min read
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Blog
First New START Data After Extension Shows Compliance

The first public release of New START aggregate numbers since the United States and Russia in February extended the agreement for five years shows the treaty continues to limit the two nuclear powers strategic offensive nuclear forces. Continued adherence to the New START limits is one of the few positive signs in the otherwise frosty […]

04.06.21 | 6 min read
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Blog
Big Tech CEOs questioned about fighting disinformation with AI by the House Energy and Commerce Committee

The amount of content posted on social media platforms is increasing at a dramatic rate, and so is the portion of that content that is false or misleading. For instance, users upload over 500 hours of video to YouTube every minute. While much of this content is innocuous, some content spreads harmful disinformation, and addressing the spread […]

04.02.21 | 5 min read
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Global Risk
The U.S. Intercontinental Ballistic Missile Force: A Post-Cold War Timeline

The Pentagon is currently planning to replace its current arsenal of intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs) with a brand-new missile force, known as the Ground Based Strategic Deterrent.

03.24.21 | 1 min read
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