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Global Risk
day one project
Policy Memo
Averting Environmental Risks in the New Space Age

Space is at risk of developing the equivalent of the ocean’s “drifting island of plastic.” Unless we act now, we may find that, as with climate change, we wish we had acted much sooner.

03.16.21 | 14 min read
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Global Risk
Report
Siloed Thinking: A Closer Look at the Ground-Based Strategic Deterrent

The Pentagon’s case for the ICBM replacement program, known as the Ground-Based Strategic Deterrent (GBSD) needs to be reevaluated in light of cost escalation and surrounding budgetary pressures.

03.16.21 | 1 min read
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Global Risk
Blog
FAS Presses for Release of Nuclear Stockpile Data

Updated below For the past three years, the Trump Administration refused to provide an annual tally of the number of nuclear weapons in the U.S. nuclear stockpile or the number of weapons that had been dismantled each year, though that had been the practice under the Obama Administration and through 2017. The Federation of American Scientists […]

03.11.21 | 2 min read
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Global Risk
Blog
Aging Electronics May Limit Nuke Reliability

The use of commercial off-the-shelf (COTS) electronic parts in nuclear weapons systems may reduce the reliability of the US nuclear arsenal over time as the electronics age in ways that are hard to predict, according to a newly disclosed report from the JASON science advisory panel. “Most of the electronic materials and components within a weapon […]

03.11.21 | 3 min read
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Global Risk
Blog
China’s Expanding Missile Training Area: More Silos, Tunnels, and Support Facilities

The Chinese military appears to be significantly expanding the number of ballistic missiles silos under construction in a new sprawling training area in the northern part of central China. Recent satellite images indicate that at least 16 silos are under construction, a significant expansion in just a few years since a silo was first described […]

02.24.21 | 10 min read
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Global Risk
Report
Alternatives to the Ground-Based Strategic Deterrent

This policy memo suggests that the Biden administration should immediately launch a National Security Council-led strategic review examining the role of ICBMs in US nuclear strategy, and presents four alternative policy options that the Biden administration could pursue in lieu of the current GBSD program of record. Download the report here.

02.05.21 | 1 min read
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Global Risk
Blog
The Treaty on the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons Enters Into Force Today

The Treaty on the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons (TPNW) enters into force today, 90 days after the deposit of the 50th instrument of ratification. So far, a total of 86 countries have signed the treaty, which complements existing disarmament measures like the Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT). The TPNW is a significant milestone in the long and global […]

01.22.21 | 3 min read
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Global Risk
Blog
New NASIC Report Appears Watered Down And Out Of Date

The US Air Force National Air and Space Intelligence Center (NASIC) has published a new version of its widely referenced Ballistic and Cruise Missile Threat report. The agency normally puts out an updated version of the report every four years. The previous version dates from 2017. The 2021 report (dated 2020) provides information on developments […]

01.19.21 | 7 min read
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Global Risk
day one project
Policy Memo
Advancing Astrobiology: The Search for Signs of Life Elsewhere in the Universe

NASA should invest in a comprehensive Astrobiology Program Office to answer one of humanity’s biggest questions: “Are we alone?”

01.15.21 | 1 min read
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Global Risk
day one project
Policy Memo
Re-architecting Our National Security Space Strategy

The government should ensure leadership in space by compromising between governmental structures and various private sector offerings.

01.11.21 | 1 min read
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Global Risk
Report
Public Perspectives on the US Intercontinental Ballistic Missile Force

This report features the results of an October 2020 poll on US nuclear policy conducted by ReThink Media on behalf of the Federation of American Scientists. Download the report here. View the polling as a webpage here.

01.09.21 | 1 min read
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Global Risk
Report
An Integrated Approach to Deterrence Posture

The primary deterrence challenge facing the United States today is preventing aggression and escalation in limited conventional conflicts with a nuclear-armed adversary.

01.04.21 | 2 min read
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