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What do Putin’s constitutional changes mean for Russian nuclear launch authority?

Putin will have no choice but to redesign Russia’s nuclear launch authority if he intends to keep his finger on the nuclear button.

01.27.20 | 5 min read
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China’s New DF-26 Missile Shows Up At Base In Eastern China

Pictures taken recently by Maxar Technologies’ satellites show a large number of launchers for the DF-26 intermediate-range missile operating at a training site approximately 9 kilometers (5.7 miles) south of Qingzhou City in China’s Shandong Province. This is the first time the DF-26 has been seen operating in the area and marks a new phase […]

01.21.20 | 9 min read
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NNSA Moves to Expand Plutonium Pit Production

The National Nuclear Security Administration said last week that it will proceed with a plan to sharply expand production of plutonium “pits” — the explosive triggers for thermonuclear weapons — without performing a full “programmatic” environmental review. NNSA envisions producing “no fewer than 80 pits per year by 2030,” including a minimum of 30 pits […]

01.13.20 | 4 min read
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A Rare Look Inside a Russian ICBM Base

It’s relatively easy to observe Russian missile bases from above. It’s much harder to do it from inside. But in September, the Russian Ministry of Defense released a rare video of a command exercise which features mobile SS-27 Mod 2 “Yars-S” ICBMs driving around their base near Novosibirsk. The base itself, which is likely to […]

11.19.19 | 2 min read
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Urgent: Move US Nuclear Weapons Out Of Turkey

Should the U.S. Air Force withdraw the roughly 50 B61 nuclear bombs it stores at the Incirlik Air Base in Turkey? The question has come to a head after Turkey’s invasion of Syria, Erdogan’s increasingly authoritarian leadership and deepening discord with NATO, Trump’s inability to manage U.S. security interests in Europe and the Middle East, […]

10.16.19 | 9 min read
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New START Treaty Data Shows Treaty Keeping Lid On Strategic Nukes

The latest data on US and Russian strategic nuclear forces limited by the New START treaty shows the treaty is serving its intended purpose of keeping a lid on the two countries’ arsenals. The data was published by the State Department yesterday. Despite deteriorating relations and revival of “Great Power Competition” strategies, the data shows […]

10.04.19 | 6 min read
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Military Might Takes Center Stage at Chinese 70-Year Anniversary Parade

The Chinese leadership used the 70-year anniversary of the founding of the People’s Republic of China to display a dizzying amount of military hardware during a parade in Beijing (see officially narrated video here; higher-quality video is here. Beijing is rapidly becoming the new Red Square when it comes to military displays. On the nuclear […]

10.01.19 | 4 min read
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New Missile Silo And DF-41 Launchers Seen In Chinese Nuclear Missile Training Area

Newly acquired satellite photos acquired from Digital Globe (Maxar) show that the People’s Liberation Army Rocket Force (PLARF) is building what appears to be a new type of missile silo in the missile training area near Jilantai, possibly for use by a new ICBM. The photos also show that 18 road-mobile launchers of the long-awaited […]

09.03.19 | 7 min read
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The History of U.S. Decision-making on Nuclear Weapons in Japan

Many proposals for intermediate-range missiles in Asia refer to conventional weapons, because of their strategic importance, but many Japanese are likely to read these proposals as part of a long and politically fractious history of US weapons deployments to Japanese territory that included nuclear weapons.

08.21.19 | 8 min read
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Sunday’s US Missile Launch, Explained.

Arms Control Twitter has been abuzz since yesterday’s announcement that the United States had conducted a surprise launch of a Tomahawk missile on Sunday afternoon.

08.20.19 | 4 min read
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No Bret, the U.S. Doesn’t Need More Nukes

Reflexively crying “more nukes” without articulating any kind of strategic vision isn’t going to get us out of the arms race.

08.14.19 | 4 min read
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The INF Treaty Officially Died Today

Six months after both the United States and Russia announced suspensions of their respective obligations under the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty, the treaty officially died today.

08.02.19 | 4 min read
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