Publication Archive

Back
Global Risk
Blog
Flying Under The Radar: A Missile Accident in South Asia

For the first time ever, a nuclear-armed state accidentally launched a missile at another nuclear-armed state. How did this happen?

04.04.22 | 10 min read
read more
Global Risk
Blog
India’s Nuclear Arsenal Takes A Big Step Forward

India just tested a “new generation” nuclear-capable ballistic missile. We take a deep dive into why the missile is so special, and what it means for India’s nuclear forces.

12.23.21 | 6 min read
read more
Global Risk
Blog
NNSA Removes F/A-18F Super Hornet From Nuclear Bomb Fact Sheet

The National Nuclear Security Administration (NNSA) has quietly removed the F/A-18F Super Hornet from its B61-12 nuclear bomb fact sheet. No public explanation has been offered for why the aircraft was removed or added in the first place. The F/A-18F was added to a “November 2021” fact sheet published in early December, which listed the […]

12.15.21 | 4 min read
read more
Global Risk
Blog
A Closer Look at China’s Missile Silo Construction

[Update: Some images have temporarily been taker down because Maxar does not allow their satellite images to be overlaid on a competitor’s image.] After the discovery during the summer of what appears to be at least three vast missile silo fields under construction near Yumen, Hami, and Ordos in north-central China, new commercial satellite images […]

11.02.21 | 13 min read
read more
Global Risk
Blog
NATO Nuclear Weapons Exercise Over Southern Europe

NATO announced Monday that it had started its annual nuclear exercise code-named Steadfast Noon. The week-long exercise is taking place over Southern Europe and involves aircraft and personnel from 14 NATO countries. According to the NATO statement, “Steadfast Noon involves training flights with dual-capable fighter jets, as well as conventional jets, backed by surveillance and […]

10.20.21 | 6 min read
read more
Global Risk
Blog
“Expert” Opinion More Likely to Damage Vaccine Trust Than Political Propaganda

Our research shows that the biggest threat to reliable information access for military and DoD service members is expert opinion. A high-level analysis of anti-COVID vaccine narratives on social media reveals that opinions from experts achieve higher relevancy and engagement than opinions from news pundits, even if the news source is considered reliable by its […]

10.14.21 | 5 min read
read more
Global Risk
Blog
After Trump Secrecy, Biden Administration Restores US Nuclear Weapons Transparency

The Biden administration yesterday afternoon declassified the number of nuclear weapons the United States possesses. The act reverses the secrecy of the Trump administration, which denied release of the number for three years, and restores the nuclear transparency of the Obama administration.

10.06.21 | 7 min read
read more
Global Risk
Blog
China Is Building A Second Nuclear Missile Silo Field

The Chinese missile silo program constitutes the most extensive silo construction since the US and Soviet missile silo construction during the Cold War.

07.26.21 | 9 min read
read more
Global Risk
Blog
Nuclear Secrecy: In Defense of Reform

One of the stranger features of nuclear weapons secrecy is the government’s ability to reach out and classify nuclear weapons-related information that has been privately generated without government involvement. This happened most recently in 2001. The roots of this constitutionally questionable policy are investigated in Restricted Data, a book by science historian Alex Wellerstein that sheds new light […]

05.26.21 | 5 min read
read more
Global Risk
Blog
First New START Data After Extension Shows Compliance

The first public release of New START aggregate numbers since the United States and Russia in February extended the agreement for five years shows the treaty continues to limit the two nuclear powers strategic offensive nuclear forces. Continued adherence to the New START limits is one of the few positive signs in the otherwise frosty […]

04.06.21 | 6 min read
read more
Global Risk
Blog
Big Tech CEOs questioned about fighting disinformation with AI by the House Energy and Commerce Committee

The amount of content posted on social media platforms is increasing at a dramatic rate, and so is the portion of that content that is false or misleading. For instance, users upload over 500 hours of video to YouTube every minute. While much of this content is innocuous, some content spreads harmful disinformation, and addressing the spread […]

04.02.21 | 5 min read
read more
Global Risk
Blog
British Defense Review Ends Nuclear Reductions Era

[Article updated May 11, 2021] The United Kingdom announced yesterday that it has decided to abandon a previous plan to reduce it nuclear weapons stockpile to 180 by the mid-2020s and instead “move to an overall nuclear weapon stockpile of no more than 260 warheads.” The decision makes Britain the first Western nuclear-armed state to […]

03.17.21 | 8 min read
read more