Publication Archive

Back
Global Risk
Report
Marshall and the Atomic Bomb

General George C. Marshall and the Atomic Bomb (Praeger, 2016) provides the first full narrative describing General Marshall’s crucial role in the first decade of nuclear weapons that included the Manhattan Project, the use of the atomic bomb on Japan, and their management during the early years of the Cold War. Marshall is best known today […]

10.14.15 | 13 min read
read more
Global Risk
Report
Rob Goldston: A Scientist on the Cutting Edge of Fusion and Arms Control Research

Professor Rob Goldston teaches in the areas of nuclear energy and non-proliferation at Princeton University. Rob is a leading researcher in plasma physics and fusion energy. He was director of the DOE Princeton Plasma Physics Laboratory (PPPL), 1997 – 2009. Since then he has published on the tradeoff between climate change mitigation by nuclear energy, fission […]

10.14.15 | 7 min read
read more
Global Risk
Report
Public Interest Report: October 2015

Creating a Community for Global Security by Charles D. Ferguson The Iran Deal: A Pathway for North Korea? by Manit Shah and Jose Trevino The majority of all nuclear experts and diplomats, as well as aspiring nuclear and policy students, must have their eyes set on North Korea’s slowly but steadily expanding nuclear weapons program, […]

10.14.15 | 2 min read
read more
Global Risk
Report
Not Much Below the Surface? North Korea’s Nuclear Program and the New SLBM

In May 2015, only a month after key figures in the U.S. military publicly acknowledged the possibility that North Korea has perfected the miniaturization of a nuclear warhead for long-range delivery, the secretive country seems to have confirmed these claims with a series of announcements, including a “successful” submarine launched ballistic missile (SLBM) test at […]

10.14.15 | 18 min read
read more
Global Risk
Report
Nuclear War, Nuclear Winter, and Human Extinction

While it is impossible to precisely predict all the human impacts that would result from a nuclear winter, it is relatively simple to predict those which would be most profound. That is, a nuclear winter would cause most humans and large animals to die from nuclear famine in a mass extinction event similar to the […]

10.14.15 | 4 min read
read more
Global Risk
Blog
Exceptions to the “No Comment” Rule on Nuclear Weapons

In response to public inquiries about the location of nuclear weapons, Department of Defense officials are normally supposed to respond: “It is U.S. policy to neither confirm nor deny the presence or absence of nuclear weapons at any general or specific location.” Remarkably, “This response must be provided even when such location is thought to […]

10.09.15 | 1 min read
read more
Global Risk
Blog
Tolman Reports on Declassification Now Online

This week the Department of Energy posted the first declassification guidance for nuclear weapons-related information, known as the Tolman Committee reports, prepared in 1945-46. The Tolman reports were an early and influential effort to conceptualize the role of declassification of atomic energy information and the procedures for implementing it. Though the reports themselves were declassified in the […]

10.09.15 | 1 min read
read more
Global Risk
Blog
US Drops Below New START Warhead Limit For The First Time

By Hans M. Kristensen The number of U.S. strategic warheads counted as “deployed” under the New START Treaty has dropped below the treaty’s limit of 1,550 warheads for the first time since the treaty entered into force in February 2011 – a reduction of 263 warheads over four and a half years. Russia, by contrast, […]

10.06.15 | 6 min read
read more
Global Risk
Report
Understanding the Dragon Shield: Likelihood and Implications of Chinese Strategic Ballistic Missile Defense

While China has received growing attention for modernizing and expanding its strategic offensive nuclear forces over the last ten years, little attention has been paid to Chinese activities in testing and developing ballistic missile defenses (BMD). Motivated to understand the strategic implications of this testing and to learn Chinese views, Adjunct Senior Fellow and Professor, […]

09.30.15 | 1 min read
read more
Global Risk
Blog
Russian Pacific Fleet Prepares For Arrival of New Missile Submarines

The arrival of the Borei SSBNs marks the first significant upgrade of the Russian Pacific Fleet SSBN force in more than three decades.

09.14.15 | 7 min read
read more
Global Risk
Blog
Upgrades At US Nuclear Bases In Europe Acknowledge Security Risk

Security upgrades underway at U.S. Air Force bases in Europe indicate that nuclear weapons deployed in Europe have been stored under unsafe conditions for more than two decades. Commercial satellite images show work underway at Incirlik Air Base in Turkey and Aviano Air Base in Italy. The upgrades are intended to increase the physical protection […]

09.10.15 | 7 min read
read more
Global Risk
Blog
Nuclear Weapon Declassification Decisions, 2011-2015

The Department of Energy issued twenty “declassification determinations” between April 2011 and March 2015 to remove certain specified categories of nuclear weapons-related information from classification controls. “The fact that a mass of 52.5 kg of U-235 is sufficient for a gun-assembled weapon” was formally declassified in a written decision dated August 19, 2014. The “total […]

08.13.15 | 2 min read
read more