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Global Risk
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Flying Under The Radar: A Missile Accident in South Asia

For the first time ever, a nuclear-armed state accidentally launched a missile at another nuclear-armed state. How did this happen?

04.04.22 | 10 min read
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Global Risk
Blog
India’s Nuclear Arsenal Takes A Big Step Forward

India just tested a “new generation” nuclear-capable ballistic missile. We take a deep dive into why the missile is so special, and what it means for India’s nuclear forces.

12.23.21 | 6 min read
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Emerging Technology
Blog
Surveillance Technology & the Global Decline in Democracy

As President Biden’s Summit of Democracy highlighted, it’s a dark time for democracy worldwide. Since 2020, the number of countries headed towards authoritarianism has outnumbered those headed towards democratic freedom, while the number of “backsliding democracies” have doubled in the last decade. The United States and its allies have been responsible for the lionshare of this past decade’s democratic downturn, while […]

12.22.21 | 4 min read
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Emerging Technology
Blog
High-skilled Immigration Policy: FAS’s Current and Future Contributions

Since the creation of this country, the American scientific enterprise has been built by talented immigrants. FAS has worked to strengthen the U.S. immigration system to ensure that experts in all scientific fields, as well as entrepreneurs with innovative ideas are able to build lives in the United States. Over the past two years, FAS […]

12.22.21 | 3 min read
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Emerging Technology
Blog
Beyond the Endless Frontier

The American hallmark has always been its ingenuity, from the creation of the Internet to the rise of Silicon Valley. But for the last few decades, ingenuity has been on the decline: not because of a lack of genius but because of a failure of the marketplace to bring forward those new ideas in scientific knowledge, entrepreneurship, […]

12.22.21 | 3 min read
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Environment
Blog
Working to Shape the Future of Science Policy With Entrepreneurship and Humility

When my dad turned 75 this October, he told me that it was the first birthday that really got under his skin and made him realize his age. Something about 75 years conveys the gravitas of a lifetime, encompassing three distinct generations and witnessing epic societal transformation over decades.  For perspective, it was 75 years […]

12.22.21 | 3 min read
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Global Risk
Blog
NNSA Removes F/A-18F Super Hornet From Nuclear Bomb Fact Sheet

The National Nuclear Security Administration (NNSA) has quietly removed the F/A-18F Super Hornet from its B61-12 nuclear bomb fact sheet. No public explanation has been offered for why the aircraft was removed or added in the first place. The F/A-18F was added to a “November 2021” fact sheet published in early December, which listed the […]

12.15.21 | 4 min read
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Global Risk
Blog
A Closer Look at China’s Missile Silo Construction

[Update: Some images have temporarily been taker down because Maxar does not allow their satellite images to be overlaid on a competitor’s image.] After the discovery during the summer of what appears to be at least three vast missile silo fields under construction near Yumen, Hami, and Ordos in north-central China, new commercial satellite images […]

11.02.21 | 13 min read
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Global Risk
Blog
NATO Nuclear Weapons Exercise Over Southern Europe

NATO announced Monday that it had started its annual nuclear exercise code-named Steadfast Noon. The week-long exercise is taking place over Southern Europe and involves aircraft and personnel from 14 NATO countries. According to the NATO statement, “Steadfast Noon involves training flights with dual-capable fighter jets, as well as conventional jets, backed by surveillance and […]

10.20.21 | 6 min read
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Global Risk
Blog
“Expert” Opinion More Likely to Damage Vaccine Trust Than Political Propaganda

Our research shows that the biggest threat to reliable information access for military and DoD service members is expert opinion. A high-level analysis of anti-COVID vaccine narratives on social media reveals that opinions from experts achieve higher relevancy and engagement than opinions from news pundits, even if the news source is considered reliable by its […]

10.14.21 | 5 min read
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Global Risk
Blog
After Trump Secrecy, Biden Administration Restores US Nuclear Weapons Transparency

The Biden administration yesterday afternoon declassified the number of nuclear weapons the United States possesses. The act reverses the secrecy of the Trump administration, which denied release of the number for three years, and restores the nuclear transparency of the Obama administration.

10.06.21 | 7 min read
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FAS
Blog
A Push to Elevate Open Source Intelligence

Open source intelligence — which is derived from open, unclassified sources — should be recognized as a mature intelligence discipline that is no less important than other established forms of intelligence, the House of Representatives said last month in the FY 2022 defense authorization act (sec. 1612). The House directed the Secretary of Defense and the […]

10.04.21 | 2 min read
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