Publication Archive

Back
Global Risk
Blog
Norway’s Anders Brevik: Weapons of Mass Destruction and the Politics of Cultural Despair

ABOUT THIS REPORT (click to show) At some point, most security analysts face the dilemma of balancing expediency with analytical thoroughness. Such is the case with Norway’s Anders Breivik. As his victims await burial, Breivik’s treatise—the 1500 page, 2083: A European Declaration of Independence (click here for PDF link)—became available only a few days ago. […]

07.27.11 | 6 min read
read more
Global Risk
Blog
Panel Discussion at Brookings on NATO Nukes

By Hans M. Kristensen Steve Pifer was kind enough to invite me to participate in a panel discussion at the Brookings Institution about NATO’s nuclear future and the issue of non-strategic nuclear weapons in the Alliance’s current Defense and Deterrence Posture Review (DDPR). Steve presented his excellent paper NATO, Nuclear Weapons and Arms Control, Frank […]

07.19.11 | 1 min read
read more
Global Risk
Blog
Pakistani Nuclear Forces 2011

Pakistan’s nuclear arsenal has doubled since 2004 and could double again in the next 10 years if the current trend continues, according to the latest Nuclear Notebook. Click on chart to download full size version. . By Hans M. Kristensen and Robert S. Norris The latest Nuclear Notebook on Pakistan’s nuclear forces is available on […]

07.18.11 | 2 min read
read more
Global Risk
Blog
B61 LEP: Increasing NATO Nuclear Capability and Precision Low-Yield Strikes

The US military is planning to replace the tail section of the B61 nuclear bomb with a new guided tail kit to increase the accuracy of the weapon. This will increase the targeting capability of the weapon and allow lower-yield strikes against targets that previously required higher-yield weapons.               […]

06.15.11 | 15 min read
read more
Global Risk
Issue Brief
The B61 Life-Extension Program: Increasing NATO Nuclear Capability and Precision Low-Yield Strikes

A modified U.S. nuclear bomb currently under design will have improved military capabilities compared with older weapons and increase the targeting capability of NATO’s nuclear arsenal. The B61-12, the product of a planned 30-year life extension and consolidation of four existing versions of the B61 into one, will be equipped with a new guidance system to increase its accuracy.

06.13.11 | 1 min read
read more
Global Risk
Report
Upsetting the Reset – The Technical Basis of Russian Concern Over NATO Missile Defense

An overview and technical assessment of the Phased Adaptive Approach (PAA) missile defense system proposed by NATO and the United States.

06.08.11 | 2 min read
read more
Global Risk
Blog
Chinese Jin-SSBNs Getting Ready?

Two of China’s new Jin-class nuclear-powered ballistic missile submarines were photographed at Xiaopingdao in late-March 2011, possibly in preparation for missile test launches. (Click for larger picture). . By Hans M. Kristensen Two of China’s new Jin-class nuclear ballistic missile submarines have sailed to the Xiaopingdao naval base near Dalian, a naval base used to […]

06.03.11 | 2 min read
read more
Global Risk
Blog
New START Aggregate Numbers Released: First Round Slim Picking

You won’t be able to count SS-18s in the New START aggregate date. . By Hans M. Kristensen Russia and the United States have released the first Fact Sheet with aggregate numbers for the strategic offensive nuclear forces counted under the New START treaty. It shows that Russia has already dropped below the New START […]

06.01.11 | 5 min read
read more
Global Risk
Blog
Letter Urges Release of New START Data

Ambassador Brooks, Secretary Perry and Ambassador Matlock join FAS in call for continuing nuclear transparency under New START treaty .By Hans M. Kristensen, Three former U.S. officials have joined FAS in urging the United States and Russia to continue to declassify the same degree of information about their strategic nuclear forces under the New START […]

05.18.11 | 2 min read
read more
Global Risk
Blog
Pakistan’s “Shoot and Scoot” Nukes: FAS Nukes in Newsweek

Pakistan’s military describes its new short-range nuclear NASR missile as a “shoot and scoot…quick response system.”                                                                          Image: ISPR . […]

05.18.11 | 2 min read
read more
Global Risk
Blog
New Article: Russian Nuclear Forces, 2011

Russia has 3,700-5,400 nonstrategic nuclear weapons, including the old dual-capable AS-4 Kitchen air-launched missile seen here under the wings of a Tu-22 Backfire bomber at an unknown airbase. All Russian nonstrategic warheads are in central storage.   Image: web . By Hans M. Kristensen The latest Nuclear Notebook in the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists with […]

05.05.11 | 1 min read
read more
Global Risk
Blog
Defense Science Board: Air Force Nuclear Management Needs Improvements

The Defense Science Board recommends reducing the number of inspections of nuclear bomber and missile units. . By Hans M. Kristensen The Pentagon’s “independent” Defense Science Board Permanent Task Force on Nuclear Weapons Surety has completed a review of the Air Force’s efforts to improve the safety and proficiency of its nuclear bomber and missile […]

04.29.11 | 5 min read
read more