Publication Archive

Back
FAS
Blog
Curing Analytic Pathologies

A new study published by the CIA Center for the Study of Intelligence calls for a fundamental reconceptualization of the process of intelligence analysis in order to overcome the “pathologies” that have rendered it increasingly dysfunctional. “Curing Analytic Pathologies” (pdf) by Jeffrey R. Cooper has been available up to now in limited circulation in hard […]

05.03.06 | 2 min read
read more
FAS
Blog
JASON on Quantifications of Margins and Uncertainties

The latest study by the JASON scientific advisory panel to be approved for public release has the forbidding title “Quantifications of Margins and Uncertainties” (pdf). The meaning of this term is somewhat elusive, as discussed in the report, but it involves a methodology for assessing the reliability of complex technical systems, and specifically the performance […]

05.03.06 | 1 min read
read more
FAS
Blog
CRS Reports That Begin With an “I”

Some notable recent reports of the Congressional Research Service include the following: “Intelligence Issues for Congress” (pdf), updated April 10, 2006. “Iran: U.S. Concerns and Policy Responses” (pdf), updated April 6, 2006. “Israel: U.S. Foreign Assistance” (pdf), updated April 26, 2006. “India-U.S. Relations” (pdf), updated April 6, 2006. “Indonesia: Domestic Politics, Strategic Dynamics, and American […]

05.03.06 | 1 min read
read more
FAS
Blog
Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Activity Rises Sharply

Electronic surveillance and physical searches conducted under the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act (FISA) reached a new record high in 2005, according to the latest annual report to Congress on FISA. “During calendar year 2005, the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Court (FISC) approved 2,072 applications for authority to conduct electronic surveillance and physical search,” the new annual […]

05.01.06 | 1 min read
read more
FAS
Blog
DISCO Inferno: DSS Won’t Process Security Clearances

In the security policy equivalent of shutting down the government, the Defense Security Service announced Friday that it would no longer process applications from industry for new security clearances or reinvestigations of existing clearances. “Owing to the overwhelming volume of requests for industry personnel security investigations and funding constraints, the Defense Security Service has discontinued […]

05.01.06 | 1 min read
read more
FAS
Blog
Would-Be NSA Whistleblower Can’t Get Congress’ Attention

There is no excuse for unauthorized disclosures of classified information, it is argued, because whistleblowers who have legitimate complaints about classified government misconduct can use official channels to convey those concerns on a classified basis. But as a practical matter, those channels are often blocked or ineffectual. That is what former National Security Agency employee […]

05.01.06 | 2 min read
read more
FAS
Blog
Even More CRS Reports

Some notable recent reports of the Congressional Research Service that have not been readily available to the public include the following: “China and Proliferation of Weapons of Mass Destruction and Missiles: Policy Issues” (pdf), updated April 6, 2006. “Protection of Classified Information by Congress: Practices and Proposals” (pdf), updated April 5, 2006. “Navy Ship Propulsion […]

05.01.06 | 1 min read
read more
Global Risk
Blog
Chinese Nuclear Weapons Profiled

The Chinese nuclear stockpile appears to be only half as big as previously thought, according to a new overview published in the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists. Up to 130 warheads may be deployed out of a total stockpile of some 200 warheads. Several new weapon systems are under development which the Pentagon says could […]

05.01.06 | 1 min read
read more
Global Risk
Blog
FAS releases Congressional Research Service report on Dual Use Biological Research

We have just posted a recent report from CRS on Dual Use Biological research and the role and activities of the National Science Advisory Board on Biosecurity (NSABB). The report is a summary of the history and role of the NSABB and outlines some of their activities. View the report at /sgp/crs/natsec/RL33342.pdf

04.28.06 | 1 min read
read more
FAS
Blog
Disfavored CIA Reports Placed Online

U.S. News and World Report reported last January that at least three publications of the CIA’s Center for the Study of Intelligence, all critical of the Agency, had been withheld from the CIA web site (“A Tangled Web Woven,” by David E. Kaplan, U.S. News, January 30, 2006). Now two of those disfavored publications are […]

04.28.06 | 1 min read
read more
FAS
Blog
FAS Statement on Personnel Security (1954)

When the government revoked the security clearance of J. Robert Oppenheimer on purported national security grounds in April 1954, it sent shock waves through the scientific community and elsewhere. If Oppenheimer, the man who had done more than any other individual to advance the development of the atomic bomb, was a security risk to the […]

04.28.06 | 1 min read
read more
FAS
Blog
Odds and Ends

Sen. Arlen Specter (R-PA) filed an amendment that would prohibit all funding for the NSA domestic surveillance program unless and until the Bush Administration keeps Congress fully and currently informed of the program as required by law. The Bush Administration welcomed the House version of the 2007 Intelligence Authorization Act for the most part, but […]

04.28.06 | 1 min read
read more