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If Arms Control Collapses, US and Russian Strategic Nuclear Arsenals Could Double In Size

Russian noncompliance with New START Treaty makes retaining limits on strategic nuclear forces even more important.

02.07.23 | 9 min read
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The 2022 Nuclear Posture Review: Arms Control Subdued By Military Rivalry

On 27 October 2022, the Biden administration finally released an unclassified version of its long-delayed Nuclear Posture Review (NPR). The classified NPR was released to Congress in March 2022, but its publication was substantially delayed––likely due to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. Compared with previous NPRs, the tone and content come closest to the Obama administration’s […]

10.27.22 | 14 min read
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Amidst Nuclear Saber Rattling, New START Treaty Demonstrates Importance

Shortly after Russian military forces invaded Ukraine and President Vladimir Putin said that he had ordered Russian nuclear forces on high combat alert – apparently to deter the United States from getting directly involved, and the United States condemned the statement as “unacceptable” nuclear saber rattling but refused to respond in kind, the two vehemently […]

04.06.22 | 7 min read
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First New START Data After Extension Shows Compliance

The first public release of New START aggregate numbers since the United States and Russia in February extended the agreement for five years shows the treaty continues to limit the two nuclear powers strategic offensive nuclear forces. Continued adherence to the New START limits is one of the few positive signs in the otherwise frosty […]

04.06.21 | 6 min read
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New NASIC Report Appears Watered Down And Out Of Date

The US Air Force National Air and Space Intelligence Center (NASIC) has published a new version of its widely referenced Ballistic and Cruise Missile Threat report. The agency normally puts out an updated version of the report every four years. The previous version dates from 2017. The 2021 report (dated 2020) provides information on developments […]

01.19.21 | 7 min read
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USAF Plans To Expand Nuclear Bomber Bases

The US Air Force is working to expand the number of strategic bomber bases that can store nuclear weapons from two today to five by the 2030s. The plan will also significantly expand the number of bomber bases that store nuclear cruise missiles from one base today to all five bombers bases by the 2030s.

11.17.20 | 5 min read
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US Officials Give Confusing Comparisons Of US And Russian Nuclear Forces

In their effort to paint the New START treaty as insufficient and a bad deal for the United States and its allies, Trump administration official have recently made statements suggesting the treaty limits the US nuclear arsenal more than it limits the Russian arsenal.

10.22.20 | 8 min read
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At 11th Hour, New START Data Reaffirms Importance of Extending Treaty

Just four months before the New START treaty is set to expire, the latest set of so-called aggregate data published by the State Department shows the treaty is working and that both countries – despite tense military and political rhetoric – are keeping their vast strategic nuclear arsenals within the limits of the treaty. The […]

10.01.20 | 7 min read
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The State Department’s Compliance Report Plays the Blame Game, Despite Offering Little Evidence

The Trump administration clearly sees the Compliance Report as a tool to provide justification for shedding treaties.

06.24.20 | 11 min read
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Policy Memo
Combating Digital Disinformation: Resisting Foreign Influence Operations through Federal Policy

A two-part plan for federal action to thwart political disinformation efforts and preserve the sanctity of the American political process.

04.11.20 | 1 min read
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A Decade After Signing, New START Treaty Is Working

On this day, ten years ago, U.S. President Barack Obama and Russian President Dmitri A. Medvedev signed the New START treaty during a ceremony in Prague. The treaty capped the number of strategic missiles and heavy bombers the two countries could possess to 800, with no more than 700 launchers and 1,550 warheads deployed. The treaty […]

04.08.20 | 5 min read
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Count-Down Begins For No-Brainer: Extend New START Treaty

One year from today, on February 5, 2021, the New START treaty will expire, unless the United States and Russia act to extend the last nuclear arms control agreement for an additional five years. No matter your political orientation, treaty extension is a no-brainer – for at least six primary reasons. 1. New START keeps […]

02.05.20 | 4 min read
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