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Technology & Innovation
Report
Predicting Progress: A Pilot of Expected Utility Forecasting in Science Funding

Read more about expected utility forecasting and science funding innovation here. The current process that federal science agencies use for reviewing grant proposals is known to be biased against riskier…

03.18.24 | 27 min read
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Science Policy
Article
Expected Utility Forecasting for Science Funding

The typical science grantmaker seeks to maximize their (positive) impact with a limited amount of money. The decision-making process for how to allocate that funding requires them to consider the…

11.20.23 | 11 min read
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Science Policy
Blog
Risk and Reward in Peer Review

This article was written as a part of the FRO Forecasting project, a partnership between the Federation of American Scientists and Metaculus. This project aims to conduct a pilot study…

10.02.23 | 6 min read
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Science Policy
day one project
Policy Memo
Enabling Faster Funding Timelines in the National Institutes of Health

Summary The National Institutes of Health (NIH) funds some of the world’s most innovative biomedical research, but rising administrative burden and extended wait times—even in crisis—have shown that its funding…

02.15.23 | 12 min read
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Science Policy
day one project
Policy Memo
Supercharging Biomedical Science at the National Institutes of Health

Summary For decades, the National Institutes of Health (NIH) has been the patron of groundbreaking biomedical research in the United States. NIH has paved the way for life-saving gene therapies,…

04.19.22 | 12 min read
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