## Learning Curve CalculatorThe concept of the learning curve was introduced to the aircraft industry in 1936 when
T. P. Wright published an article in the February 1936 The theory of learning is simple. It is recognized that repetition of the same
operation results in less time or effort expended on that operation. For the Wright
learning curve, the underlying hypothesis is that the direct labor man-hours necessary to
complete a unit of production will decrease by a constant percentage each time the
production quantity is doubled. If the rate of improvement is 20% between doubled
quantities, then the The learning percent is usually determined by statistical analysis of actual cost data for similar products. Lacking that, you may use the following guidelines from "Cost Estimator's Reference Manual- 2nd Ed.," by Rodney Stewart: - 75% hand assembly/25% machining = 80% learning
- 50% hand assembly/50% machining = 85%
- 25% hand assembly/75% machining = 90%
or - Aerospace 85%
- Shipbuilding 80-85%
- Complex machine tools for new models 75-85%
- Repetitive electronics manufacturing 90-95%
- Repetitive machining or punch-press operations 90-95%
- repetitive electrical operations 75-85%
- Repetitive welding operations 90%
- Raw materials 93-96%
- Purchased Parts 85-88%
The calculator uses the learning curve to estimate the unit, average, and total effort required to produce a given number of units. Effort can be expressed in terms of cost, man-hours, or any other measure of effort. The calculator can be set to compute the Wright learning curve or the Crawford learning curve. The user is required to enter the effort (in terms of cost, man-hours, etc.) required to produce the first unit, the total number of units, and the learning percent. A detailed explanation of the methods used to compute learning curve values is contained in the textbook "Engineering Cost Estimating," by Phillip F. Ostwald. Please note that if you select the Crawford method and enter a quantity of 1,000 or more units, the model will calculate approximate values for cumulative average and cumulative total. |