Vehbi Deger Turan - Federation of American Scientists

Vehbi Deger Turan

Before joining Metaculus as CEO in 2024, Deger Turan served as President of the AI Objectives Institute, developing Talk to the City, a platform that strengthens communication between under-resourced communities and the government officials serving them. Prior to AOI, he founded Cerebra Technologies, which forecasted shifts of public opinion and demand trends for 300 million citizens, used by governments, hedge funds, and international retailers.

publications

Government Capacity

day one project

Policy Memo

Collaborative Intelligence: Harnessing Crowd Forecasting for National Security

Crowd forecasting methods offer a systematic approach to quantifying the U.S. intelligence community’s uncertainty about the future and predicting the impact of interventions, allowing decision-makers to strategize effectively and allocate resources by outlining risks and tradeoffs in a legible format.

11.27.24 | 5 min read