Emerging Technology

What exactly does “all lawful use” of AI mean? No one knows.

03.03.26 | 2 min read

What exactly does “all lawful use” of AI mean? No one knows. 

As a result of this weekend’s highly-publicized Department of Defense (DoD)-Anthropic dispute, we’re hearing a lot about the “lawful use” of frontier AI systems in classified environments. 

“Lawful” is a legal floor that will look increasingly shaky as AI capabilities advance. It doesn’t answer whether we have adequate civil liberties guardrails or technical safety standards in place. Company “red lines” only matter if they are backed by enforceable technical and contractual safeguards. Otherwise, they function primarily as signaling. From use to testing to deployment, the scaffolding for responsible integration of AI into high-risk use cases is just not there.  

Privacy is a major concern for experts and the public alike. When increasingly capable models are paired with large-scale government data holdings—including commercially purchased data on Americans—the result could materially change the practical boundaries of surveillance, even if each underlying dataset was obtained legally. AI systems expand the possibility of large-scale inference, enabling automated link analysis, behavioral pattern detection, and probabilistic assessments about individuals’ networks or intent across disparate datasets. 

Next, there’s the reliability problem. Frontier systems remain probabilistic and brittle, particularly in adversarial settings. The companies building this technology do not yet have a mature testing, evaluation, validation, and verification (TEVV) ecosystem for high-stakes national security uses. At the same time, DoD strategy documents are calling for a “wartime” posture toward eliminating blockers in testing and deployment. That tension should concern us all. 

Then, there are the numerous cybersecurity risks. Agentic systems that access sensitive data, ingest untrusted inputs, and can take external actions create new attack surfaces that adversaries will probe and exploit. In classified environments, these risks might be mitigated, but they don’t disappear. Subtle manipulation or model failure inside a military workflow can propagate quickly.

Capability is advancing quickly, but policymakers shouldn’t adopt faster than we can test and govern.

publications
See all publications
Emerging Technology
Article
International Collaboration to Strengthen Domestic Critical Minerals Efforts

As Congress considers broader packages to advance critical minerals production and supply chain resilience, science diplomacy vehicles must be part of that conversation, not as an afterthought, but as an intentional and foundational pillar of any strategy.

07.24.26 | 5 min read
read more
Emerging Technology
Policy Statement
Endorsement of the Strategic Technology and Resilient Alliances Act

“Structured partnerships with our allies on critical minerals innovation can ensure that the best science and the best talent are working together towards shared security and economic prosperity.”

07.24.26 | 1 min read
read more
Emerging Technology
Policy Statement
Pass S.3306/H.R.2985 – Modernizing Government Technology Reform Act

This is a bipartisan, commonsense measure to reauthorize the Technology Modernization Fund (TMF) before it expires in September 2026.

07.23.26 | 1 min read
read more
Emerging Technology
New Jersey, Virginia Can Lead the Nation By Building ‘AI Resilience Cohorts’ to Develop Early-Career, State Talent Pipelines

Many states are introducing AI policies and task forces, but lack the “AI-native” personnel to build and maintain initiatives. To address this in the short term, states should establish AI Resilience Cohorts to embed early-career technologists in key offices to support state AI initiatives. Right now, Virginia and New Jersey have the opportunity to take […]

07.22.26 | 7 min read
read more