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Missile Proliferation

Rockets for Rookies - an introduction to missiles

Official Documents

• Proposed U.S. Missile Defense Assets in Europe, Missile Defense Agency, June 15, 2007
• Foreign Missile Developments and the Ballistic Missile Threat to the United States Through 2015 National Intelligence Council December 2001
• Foreign Missile Developments and the Ballistic Missile Threat to the United States Through 2015 National Intelligence Council September 1999
• Threat Chapter 2 in Air And Missile Defense Operations FM 44-100, 15 June 2000
• Threat Chapter 2 in AIR DEFENSE ARTILLERY REFERENCE HANDBOOK FM 44-100-2 FINAL DRAFT - 31 March 2000
• Threat Chapter 2 in Army Theater Missile Defense Operations FM 100-12 MARCH 2000
• Ballistic and Cruise Missile Threat National Air Intelligence Center NAIC-1031-0985-98
• Commission to Assess the Ballistic Missile Threat (Rumsfeld Commission Report) 15 July 1998
• Intelligence Side Letter, addendum to the Rumsfeld Commission Report, 18 March 1999
• Unveiling the Ballistic Missile Threat: The Ramifications of the Rumsfeld Report National Security Report August 1998
• The Ballistic Missile Threat to the United States Remarks of Robert D. Walpole, National Intelligence Officer for Strategic and Nuclear Programs - September 17, 1998 - Proliferation Roundtable at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
• Means of Delivery Technology - Militarily Critical Technologies List (MCTL) Part II: Weapons of Mass Destruction Technologies - September 1998
• Independent Panel's report on NIE 95-19: "Emerging Missile Threats to North America During the Next 15 Years." 23 December 1996
• Prospects for Unsanctioned Use of Russian Nuclear Weapons, Central Intelligence Agency - September 1996 TOP SECRET
• FOREIGN MISSILE THREATS: Analytic Soundness of certain National Intelligence Estimates (GAO Report, 08/30/96, GAO/NSIAD-96-255)

• Letter stating intelligence community views on future ballistic missile threats, December 7, 1995.
• PS/NIE 95-19 DCI National Intelligence Estimate President's Summary Emerging Missile Threats to North America During the Next 15 Years [Secret NOFORN Rel CAN] November 1995
• CIA Prospects for the Worldwide Development of Ballistic Missile Threats to the Continental United States [November 1993 -- apparently derived from NIE 93-17]

Congressional Hearings

Missile Proliferation in the Information Age
22 September 1997 - Senate Government Affairs
International Security, Proliferation and Federal Services Subcommittee

• William R. Graham, former Science Advisor to President Reagan, and former Deputy Administrator of NASA;
• W. Seth Carus, Visiting Fellow, National Defense University
• General Bernard A. Schriever, United States AirForce (retired), former Commander of Air Force Systems Command
  HEARING TRANSCRIPT

NORTH KOREAN, IRANIAN, AND WORLDWIDE MISSILE THREATS
May 7, 1997 House National Security Subcommittee on Military Research and Development

• REPRESENTATIVE CURT WELDON, Opening statement
• David R. Tanks Institute for Foreign Policy Analysis
• Robert L. Pfaltzgraff Institute for Foreign Policy Analysis and the Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy, Tufts University
• Executive Summary of Exploring U.S. Missile Defense Requirements in 2010, The Institute for Foreign Policy Analysis, Inc., April 1997

Intelligence Analysis on the Long-Range Missile Threat to the United States
December 4, 1996 - Senate Select Committee on Intelligence

• Chairman Arlen Specter (R-PA) Opening Statement
• John McLaughlin, Deputy Chairman of the National Intelligence Council
• Robert Gates [DCI from 1991 to 1993]
• R. James Woolsey [DCI from 1993 to 1995]
• Richard Davis Director of National Security Affairs - General Accounting Office
• David Osias, National Intelligence Officer for Strategic Programs and Nuclear Proliferation
  HEARING TRANSCRIPT

The Ballistic Missile Threat to the U.S. and its Allies
28 February 1996 - House National Security Committee

• Hon. Floyd D. Spence, Chair, House National Security Committee
• Hon. Ronald V. Dellums, Ranking Democrat, House National Security Committee
• Frank J. Gaffney, Director, Center for Security Policy
• William R. Graham, Former Presidential Science Advisor
• Dr. Keith B. Payne President, National Institute for Public Policy Adjunct Professor, Georgetown University National Security Studies Graduate Program
• Mr. Richard Cooper, Chairman of the National Intelligence Council

Other Sources

• Long Range Ballistic Missile Threat Volume 1: Feasibility of Third World Advanced Ballistic and Cruise Missile Threat - NDIA June 1999
• Emerging Cruise Missile Threat Volume 2: Feasibility of Third World Advanced Ballistic and Cruise Missile Threat - NDIA June 1999
• Exploring U.S. Missile Defense Requirements in 2010: What Are the Policy and Technology Challenges? Institute for Foreign Policy Analysis April 1997
• The Regional Emergence of Strategic Missiles: A Force of Rooks for a Black King Squadron Leader R.S. Clarke Air Power Studies Centre Working Paper NUMBER 55

• The Theater Ballistic Missile Threat in Context Gerald Epstein, Symposium on Theater Ballistic Missiles: What Is the Threat? What Can Be Done?, American Physical Society, Physics and Society, Volume 23, Number 4 October 1994. "When potentially armed with weapons of mass destruction--defined here to be nuclear, biological, and chemical weapons--theater ballistic missiles acquire far greater significance than they would have if restricted to conventional warheads. When conventionally armed, theater ballistic missiles are too inaccurate to pose any significant threat to military targets. Even so they can have enormous political significance..."
• COUNTDOWN TO DISASTER: THE THREAT OF BALLISTIC MISSILE PROLIFERATION Foreign Policy Briefing No. 10 July 14, 1991 "Several governments, including ruthless or unstable Third World regimes, seem determined to expand the destructive capability of their military arsenals. Such efforts frequently include programs to acquire and deploy long-range ballistic missiles."

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