CHEMICAL WEAPONS CONVENTION
SENATE FOREIGN RELATIONS COMMITTEE APRIL 1997


                                                        S. Hrg. 105-183
                       CHEMICAL WEAPONS CONVENTION
=======================================================================
                                HEARINGS
                               BEFORE THE
                     COMMITTEE ON FOREIGN RELATIONS
                          UNITED STATES SENATE
                       ONE HUNDRED FIFTH CONGRESS
                             FIRST SESSION
                               __________



                        Tuesday, April 15, 1997

Bailey, Hon. Kathleen C., Senior Fellow, Lawrence Livermore 
  National Laboratory............................................   182
    Prepared statement...........................................   185
    Letter Submitted by Paul L. Eisman, Senior Vice President for 
      Refining, Ultramar Diamond Shamrock Corporation............   182
    Letter Submitted by Robert W. Roten, President and CEO of 
      Sterling Chemicals.........................................   183
Forbes, Malcolm S., Jr., President and CEO, Forbes, Inc., New 
  York, New York.................................................   153
    Prepared statement...........................................   157
Johnson, Ralph V., Vice President, Environmental Affairs, Dixie 
  Chemical Company, Inc., Houston, Texas.........................   180
Kearns, Kevin L., President, United States Business and 
  Industrial Council.............................................   174
    Prepared statement...........................................   176
Merrifield, Hon. Bruce, former Assistant Secretary of Commerce...   187
Reinsch, Hon. William A., Under Secretary of Commerce for Export 
  Administration.................................................   189
    Prepared statement...........................................   192
Spears, Wayne, Owner and CEO, Spears Manufacturing, Inc., Sylmar, 
  California.....................................................   178
    Prepared statement...........................................   179
Webber, Frederick, President, Chemical Manufacturers Association, 
  Washington, D.C................................................   194
    Prepared statement...........................................   197



CHEMICAL WEAPONS CONVENTION ---------- TUESDAY, APRIL 15, 1997 U.S. Senate, Committee on Foreign Relations, Washington, DC. The committee met, pursuant to notice, at 2:03 p.m., in room SD-419, Dirksen Senate Office Building, Hon. Jesse Helms (chairman of the committee) presiding. Present: Senators Helms, Hagel, Brownback, Biden, and Kerry. The Chairman. The Committee will come to order, but we will stand relaxed until the staff gets its act together. Both parties are represented at another hearing, and it should not be very long. [Pause.] There is no Senate rule against a chairman doing what they do on television when they have got more time left than they expected. So they stretch it out. Our first witness this afternoon will be a long time friend of so many of us in the Senate. We have worked with him in various capacities, including broadcasting to foreign countries. Malcolm S. Forbes, Jr., or Steve as he is known, is one of the most remarkable friends I have ever known; and I am going to give you one vignette for the record. Some years ago I happened to be on the same campus with him where he had spoken to the students, and following all of the formal doings there was a reception, and the reception went on and on and on, and he was shaking hands and answering of the students, and along about 10 or maybe a little bit earlier I sent word to Mr. Forbes that I would rescue him and he could go out a certain door, get on his airplane, and go back to New York. He said oh, no. He said, I have got some more friends I wish to talk with. Now, he was not a candidate for anything except the Kingdom of Heaven, I think, at that time. But I want to say to you, sir, that you won the hearts of those young people at that university. I still hear about your staying there until 11 talking with them and answering questions. Maybe another fellow would have gotten up and left, but you did not. Mr. Biden, the ranking member of the committee, will be here momentarily, and we will just bide our time. We will have two panels, by the way. Steve Forbes, or Malcolm S. Forbes, Jr., will be the first witness and only witness on panel one. Panel two will have businessmen: Mr. Wayne Spears, President of the Spears Manufacturing Company and so forth; Mr. Ralph V. Johnson, Vice President of Environmental Affairs at Dixie Chemical Company; Mr. Kevin L. Kearns, President of the United States Business and Industrial Council; the Honorable Kathleen C. Bailey, Senior Fellow of the Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, Livermore, California. This hearing is the third in the final round of Senate Foreign Relations Committee hearings on the dangerously flawed Chemical Weapons Convention. Last week the committee heard from seven distinguished foreign and defense policy leaders about the national security implications of this treaty. This afternoon, our purpose is to discuss the destructive effects of this treaty, and what those effects will have on the American business community, the new regulations will be imposed, the intrusive and clearly unconstitutional inspections it will authorize, and the potential of abuse of the treaty by our foreign business competitors by industrial espionage. I can think of no one--no one--who can better speak to these issues than our lead witness today, Mr. Forbes. He is chairman and CEO of Forbes Magazine. He is a leading voice of American business, and in particular a champion of the small and medium-sized enterprises that will be disproportionately affected by this treaty. Last week we heard eloquent testimony from four former secretaries of defense of this country urging the Senate to reject this flawed treaty, and I want to quote something one of those witnesses said that day, because I think it will help us frame the discussion this afternoon. Let me preface what I am going to read by saying that there have been repeated suggestions by the proponents of the treaty implying that all businesses support this treaty. Well, this simply is not accurate. Don Rumsfeld eloquently reminded us last week that many big businesses, and he stressed the word big, do support the treaty, but it is not the security of big business that we need to worry about in this country, it is the smaller businesses. Here is what Don Rumsfeld said: Big companies seem to get along fine with big government. They get along with American government, they get along with foreign governments, they get along with international organizations, and they have the ability, with all their Washington representatives, to deal effectively with bureaucracies. Indeed, Mr. Rumsfeld said, and I am quoting him still, indeed, that capability on the part of the big companies actually serves as a sort of barrier to entry to small and medium-sized companies that lack that capability. So I do not suggest, he said, for 1 minute that large American companies are not going to be able to cope with the regulations. They will do it a whale of a lot better than small and medium sized companies, end of quote. Mr. Rumsfeld made a vitally important point. It is small and medium-sized businesses, the entrepreneurs who are creating all of the jobs in our economy today, who will be hurt worse by this treaty. It is they who will have trouble coping with all of the new regulations and all of the red tape and all of the intrusive and unconstitutional inspections and all of the legal fees and potential losses of proprietary information. The small businesses are the ones whose constitutional rights will be trampled because this administration refuses to require a criminal search warrant from involuntary challenge inspections granted to foreign inspectors. These inspections will be granted greater power of search and seizure than those granted to U.S. Law enforcement officers. These inspectors are the ones who may well confront officials from Iran and China, knocking on their doors, demanding the right to rifle their records and so forth and so on. Speaking of the law enforcement officers, they will interrogate the employees and remove chemical samples from their facilities, all because this administration has refused to ban inspectors from rogue regimes. Now, we hear over and over again that the Chemical Manufacturer's Association, which has been very active in promoting the treaty, we heard that they support the treaty, and we have had, certainly, the strong inferences, if not declarations. But let me tell you something about this association. And I speak as a guy who ran a pretty sizable association some years ago. The CMA operates and represents just 191 companies--1-9-1--but this treaty, at the administration's most conservative estimate, will affect at least 3,000 businesses, and may affect as many as 8,000. So I hope we can put an end to the notion that the CMA represents the interests of the thousands of small- and medium- sized companies that will be hurt by this treaty. And as one of our witnesses will tell us today, I believe, even within the ranks of the CMA companies there is concern about the impact of this treaty, including the cost of regulations and the potential loss of confidential business information. The fact is there are literally thousands of companies across this country who do not know about this treaty, who do not understand it in any detail, who do not realize that it will affect them, who do not understand that they will be subjected to inspections, and are not aware what kind of unfunded mandates will be imposed on them should this treaty be ratified as is. Now, I have no doubt that the businessmen affected by the CWC are patriotic Americans who love their country and are willing to make sacrifices for our national security. And if this treaty could actually reduce the danger of chemical weapons, I am sure they would be willing to make necessary sacrifices to get rid of those terrible weapons. But as we have heard from so many experts, it just will not work. This treaty will not work. It will do nothing to reduce the danger of chemical weapons. If anything, we have learned that it will make the problem worse by giving rogue nations even greater access to dangerous chemical agents and technology and defensive gear. Even the treaty's proponents admit that it will not work, but they say we should ratify it anyhow; because it is better than nothing; because, they say, it will establish ``norms.'' Well, I do not believe that ratifying the treaty that cannot work just to make a statement is good policy; and when you take into consideration the fact that it will also create massive new burdens on businesses that are struggling to create jobs, that it will cost them money, time, and energy while trampling on their constitutional rights just to make a statement and establish norms, I say that this treaty is worse than nothing. The price of that kind of feel-good statement is just too high. So, Mr. Forbes, if you will take the seat in the middle, we thank you for being here, and look forward to your testimony. And I note that not only is Steve Forbes testifying today, he announced this Sunday on Face the Nation that he will be leading a public information campaign to bring the facts about the treaty to light. So on behalf of the silent majority of American businesses who do not realize what Washington has cooked up for them with this dangerous and destructive treaty, I thank you, sir, for all that you are doing. I have just been handed a note saying that we should wait for Senator Biden to come and make his statement. He said he would try to be here by 2:15, so I suppose, Mr. Forbes, we can just stand at rest and wait for Senator Biden. [Pause.] The Senator from Delaware is recognized. Senator Biden. Mr. Chairman, thank you very, very much, and I thank the witnesses. We have, as the Chairman well knows, these things every Tuesday called caucuses where every Member of each of our parties gets together and we discuss our respective agendas. Ironically, I was to make a presentation in my caucus today on the Chemical Weapons Convention, and I appreciate the Chair doing this. Mr. Chairman, I am happy you have called this hearing today on the effect that the CWC would have on American business; because, as we all know, there has been a great deal of discussion pro and con on that very point. The charge, in my view, that the CWC will harm American business, I think is dead wrong when one considers the fact that the convention was negotiated with an unprecedented input from the U.S. chemical industry. Thanks to the industry's help, in my view, the convention contains thresholds and exemptions that protect businesses small and large from bearing an undue burden. The American chemical industry has helped develop the ground rules under which the inspections that will occur under this treaty will happen, including provisions for protecting the confidentiality of business information. Chemical companies' representatives have also helped in the decision on how to design the form, the written form, that represents the only reporting obligation for 90 percent of approximately 2,000 companies that will have an obligation under this convention. The U.S. chemical companies recognize that while they produce goods intended for peaceful uses, their products and inputs could be misused for nefarious purposes. That is why they so actively have supported this convention. Their involvement in the CWC has been a model, in my view, of good corporate citizenship. Unfortunately, we will reward this responsible behavior with a slap in the face, in my view, if we fail to ratify this convention and subject the U.S. Chemical industry to international sanctions, the same sanctions, I might add, that we ourselves insisted be placed in this convention under both President Reagan and President Bush. The CWC was designed with high thresholds for common industrial chemicals that ensure that only large producers of those chemicals will be subject to reporting and inspection requirements. Instead of throwing around old numbers and scare tactics, I would like to take a look very quickly at the outset here at the real requirements of this treaty. Chemicals that are used to make chemical weapons have been placed in three schedules. Schedule I chemicals are those that are chemical weapons and direct precursors with little or no commercial use. Schedule II chemicals are direct precursors with limited commercial uses. And Schedule III chemicals are indirect precursors with wide commercial use. Now, both producers and consumers of chemicals on Schedule I and two are subject to CWC reporting and inspection requirements. For most Schedule II chemicals, though, there is a one-ton threshold. As a result, only 11 American facilities-- 11, 11 American facilities--will be subject to Schedule I requirements, and less than 35 will be covered by Schedule II requirements. Turning to Schedule III chemicals, the rules change a little. Only those facilities that produce, import, or export more than 30 tons of Schedule III chemicals are covered by those requirements--30 tons. That is not a vial of chemicals, that is not a barrel, that is a lot of chemicals, and these rules apply only to producers. Consumers of these chemicals are not covered. As a result, only about 100 facilities face these requirements. An even higher threshold applies to producers of discrete organic chemicals. Everybody has an acronym in this bill, so I will just continue to call them discrete organic chemicals, or DOC's. Facilities that produce more than 200 tons of discrete organic chemicals are subject to reporting requirements, as are those that produce 30 tons of chemicals containing phosphorus, sulfur, or fluorine. But again, we are talking about producers, and only producers of hundreds of tons of these chemicals--no soap manufacturers, no cosmetic firms, all the things we keep hearing about. You know: ``They are going to go in and find a cosmetic firm is doing this or a soap manufacturer.'' We are not talking about those companies. They are not producers of these chemicals. They are consumers of these chemicals, these discrete organic chemicals. While reporting requirements for discrete organic chemicals will apply to as many as 1,800 U.S. companies, I do not know of too many Mom and Pop businesses that produce 200 tons of chemicals a year. In addition, several industries have been completely exempted from all CWC requirements. These include explosives makers, hydrocarbon producers, oil refineries, polymer makers, and facilities that make discrete organic chemicals through biological processes. What does this mean? It means that plastic companies, textile makers, and breweries face zero--zero--obligation under the CWC. The Commerce Department instructions for the brief data declaration says that in black and white. And the Conference of State Parties is also set to ratify these exemptions on May the 6th. So anyone who tells you differently, I would respectfully suggest, is dead wrong. There is more to say, and I had planned on saying more, but I ask unanimous consent that the remainder of my statement be placed in my record, Mr. Chairman, and I would conclude with one sentence: We are going to hear from four very distinguished witnesses, one who believes that--well, I was going to read the quote. I will not. Anyway, let me just put my whole statement in the record since you were so kind to hold up for me, and I will get on with hearing from the witnesses. The Chairman. Without objection, it is so ordered. [The prepared statement of Senator Biden follows:] Prepared Statement of Senator Biden Thank you, Mr. Chairman. I am happy that we are holding this hearing today on the effect the CWC would have on American business, because perhaps no single aspect of this debate has seen more misinformation. The charge that the CWC will harm American business appears preposterous when one considers the fact that the convention was negotiated with the unprecedented input of the U.S. chemical industry. Thanks to the industry's help, the convention contains thresholds and exemptions that protect businesses, small and large alike, from bearing an undue burden. The American chemical industry helped develop the ground rules under which inspections will occur, including provisions for protecting confidential business information. Chemical company representatives also helped design the brief form that represents the only reporting obligation for ninety percent of the approximately two thousand companies that will have obligations under the CWC. U.S. chemical companies recognize that while they produce goods intended for peaceful uses, their products and inputs could be misused for nefarious purposes. That is why they so actively have supported this convention. Their involvement in the CWC has been a model of good corporate citizenship. Unfortunately, we will reward this responsible behavior with a slap in the face if we fail to ratify the CWC and subject the U.S. chemical industry to international sanctions--the same international sanctions that we ourselves insisted be placed in this treaty to punish countries that do not ratify it. The CWC was designed with high thresholds for common industrial chemicals that ensure that only large producers of these chemicals will be subject to reporting and inspection requirements. Instead of throwing around old numbers and scare tactics, let's look at what the real requirements of this treaty are. Chemicals that can be used to make chemical weapons have been placed on three schedules. Schedule I chemicals are chemical weapons and direct precursors with little or no commercial use. Schedule II chemicals are direct precursors with limited commercial uses. Schedule III chemicals are indirect precursors with wide commercial use. Now, both producers and consumers of chemicals on schedules one and two are subject to CWC reporting and inspection requirements. For most Schedule II chemicals, though, there is a one ton threshold. As a result, only eleven American facilities will be subject to Schedule I requirements, and less than thirty-five will be covered by Schedule II requirements. Turning to Schedule III chemicals, the rules change a little. Only those facilities that produce, import or export more than thirty tons of Schedule III chemicals are covered by those requirements. Thirty tons. That's not a vial, that's not a barrel, that's a lot of chemicals. And these rules apply only to producers. Consumers of these chemicals will not be covered. As a result, only about one hundred facilities face this requirement. An even higher threshold applies to producers of discrete organic chemicals, or ``docs.'' Facilities that produce more than two hundred tons of these chemicals are subject to reporting requirements, as are those that produce thirty tons of a chemical containing phosphorus, sulfur or fluorine. But again, we're talking only about producers, and only producers of hundreds of tons of these chemicals. While the reporting requirements for discrete organic chemicals will apply to as many as eighteen hundred U.S. companies, I don't know of too many mom-and-pop businesses that produce two hundred tons of chemicals every year. In addition, several industries have been completely exempted from all CWC requirements. These include explosives makers, hydrocarbon producers, oil refineries, oligomer and polymer makers, and facilities that make discrete organic chemicals through biological processes. What does this mean? It means that plastics companies and textile- makers and breweries face zero obligation under CWC. The Commerce Department instructions for the brief data declaration says that in black and white. Some of these exemptions are already in the treaty, and the Conference of States Parties is all set to ratify the rest on May 6. So anyone who tells you that these industries will be hurt by CWC is just dead wrong. In addition, there will be an exemption for facilities that manufacture a product that contains a low concentration of a scheduled chemical. The treaty explicitly directs the Conference of States Parties to adopt such a rule. For Schedule III chemicals, the ones with wide commercial applications, the proposed threshold is thirty percent. So a plant that makes soap or cosmetics or one that processes food would not be subject to CWC requirements. I also want to address the charge that the CWC will lead to international inspectors rummaging at will through American businesses. This too is entirely untrue. Only a limited number of facilities will be subject to routine CWC inspections, and these are mostly the large chemical manufacturers that are supporting the treaty. These routine inspections will be conducted on the basis of facility agreements negotiated with the full input of the plant involved in order to protect trade secrets. And there will be no warrantless searches. If a firm does not consent to an inspection, an administrative or criminal search warrant will have to be obtained before the inspection goes forward. Moreover, all challenge inspections will take place under the principle of ``managed access,'' where our government negotiates with the inspectors over the places, records, and data that may be searched. So, all inspections will take place under the supervision of U.S. government officials. Our exposure to loss of trade secrets due to the CWC is also greatly overstated. The CWC contains an unprecedented level of protections for confidential business information, all of which were negotiated and supported by industry. The combination of close supervision of confidential business information, plus the deterrence of our domestic criminal laws, should keep losses of trade secrets to a bare minimum. The facts are that American industry and the executive branch have worked cooperatively--both in drafting the treaty and in drafting the proposed implementing legislation--to minimize the burden on U.S. industry. The chemical industry is to be commended for the role that it played in helping to negotiate this treaty, and I look forward to hearing the testimony of our witnesses today. The Chairman. Mr. Forbes. STATEMENT OF MALCOLM S. FORBES, JR., PRESIDENT AND CEO, FORBES, INC., NEW YORK, NY Mr. Forbes. Thank you very much, Mr. Chairman, for allowing me today to testify before your distinguished committee. Senator Biden. Excuse me 1 second, Mr. Chairman. I would like to point out one thing: Mr. Forbes won my State. I would just like to point out that Delaware in the Republican primary, voted for Forbes. So I want the record to note I smiled at him, I have been very nice to him, I like him very much. We have agreed very heartily. We are together on the radios, right, Mr. Forbes? Tell them that, will you please? Mr. Forbes. We are together on the radios, but I am keeping on my Kevlar for protection. There are many compelling reasons, I believe, to oppose ratification of the Chemical Weapons Convention. The fact is that the Chemical Weapons Convention significantly threatens the freedoms we Americans cherish. It significantly diminishes America's sovereignty and significantly increases America's vulnerability to chemical warfare. It is as though we are being asked to endorse a drug that worsens the disease it purports to cure, and in addition has some highly dangerous side effects. To explain just how dangerous the CWC side effects are, just let me ask the distinguished members of this committee a very simple question: What is the basis of America's greatness? Why is it that although the international arena contains many powers today, we are the world's sole superpower? Any adequate answer to this ques- tion would have to include such factors as the competitive nature of our free market system, the unparalleled technological sophistication of America's enterprises, but most important, our basic freedoms. These are the sinews of our power, the basis of our national greatness. It is precisely these quintessentially American strengths that the convention would undermine. Let me begin by talking about America's competitiveness. As I have strenuously argued on other occasions, maintaining America's competitive edge requires a lessening of the tax and regulatory burdens on the American people and on our Nation's enterprises. Unfortunately, the CWC will have precisely the opposite effect. It will burden up to 8,000 companies across the United States. Remember, these are in the hands of an international bureaucracy, not what we would like them to be, with major new reporting regulatory and inspection requirements entailing large and uncompensated compliance costs. These added costs constitute an unfunded Federal mandate. Like so many unfunded mandates, they are bound to retard our economic growth and make our companies less competitive. Is it not ironic, Mr. Chairman, meeting here as we are on tax day and concerned as we all are with reducing the tax burden on the American people, that we should even consider ratifying a convention that amounts to a new tax on some of our most innovative and productive companies? But it gets worse. For in addition to the costs arising from heavy duty reporting, the CWC subjects our chemical companies to snap inspections that will allow other nations access to our latest chemical equipment and information. No longer will violators of intellectual property rights in China, Iran, and elsewhere, have to go to the trouble of pirating our secrets. Incredibly, we ourselves will effectively hand them the stuff on a silver platter. No wonder former CIA Director and Defense Secretary Jim Schlesinger has called the convention a godsend for foreign intelligence services. But it gets worse. The CWC also threatens the constitutional rights guaranteed Americans under the Fourth Amendment. As former Secretaries of Defense Dick Cheney, Don Rumsfeld, and Cap Weinberger noted last September in a joint letter to Majority Leader Trent Lott, quote: The CWC will jeopardize U.S. citizens constitutional rights by requiring the U.S. Government to permit searches without either warrants or probable cause, end of quote. That is a serious statement from these former defense chiefs, jeopardize U.S. citizens constitutional rights. Think about that, Mr. Chairman. And think about all the criminal cases that our courts have summarily dismissed, because in their view the defendant's constitutional rights had been violated by police searches conducted without probable cause. Are American businesses to receive less justice than suspected felons? Of course not. The idea is preposterous. And yet that is what compliance with the CWC would entail. As Department of Justice officials publicly acknowledge in testimony before the Senate Judiciary Committee on September 9, 1996, in cases where private facilities do not voluntarily permit access to inspection a criminal warrant would be required. Obtaining such a warrant from a court, however, would require demonstration of probable cause. This will be impossible in many cases, be- cause under the Chemical Weapons Convention the nation requesting an inspection need not cite its reasons for making such a request. Hence, the treaty poses an insoluble dilemma. Should the U.S. Government choose to respect its citizens Fourth Amendment rights not to be subjected involuntarily to searches in absence of judicial warrants? It will be creating a precedent that other countries will assuredly cite to refuse onsite inspections in their territories. If we do not do it, do not expect them to do it. On the other hand, should the Government choose not to respect the Fourth Amendment rights it will be acting unconstitutionally. But it gets worse, Mr. Chairman, for in addition to threatening our Fourth Amendment rights, the convention also undercuts our Fifth Amendment rights against having our property taken by the Government without just compensation. You are familiar with Judge Robert Bork, who noted in a letter to Senator Hatch last August, quote, Fifth Amendment problems arise from the authority of inspectors to collect data and analyze samples. This may constitute an illegal search and an illegal seizure, and perhaps constitute the taking of private property by the Government without compensation. The foreign inspectors will not be subject to punishment for any theft of proprietary information. Mr. Chairman, these are very grave constitutional issues that need to be resolved before the CWC is ratified. To wait until after the convention is ratified and its provisions become the supreme law of the land would be an act of supreme folly. Yet there is another pernicious aspect of this convention that I would like to touch on, the very different impact it would have on large and small companies. As former Secretary of Defense Don Rumsfeld noted in testimony before this committee last week, big companies are generally better able than small companies to withstand additional reporting, regulatory, and/or government inspection requirements. Some might even regard such burdens as a barrier to entry that can enhance their market share at the expense of their smaller competitors. Now, large chemical manufacturers are among the most pervasively regulated industries in the world. These companies can reasonably conclude that the burdens of this convention are manageable. The same certainly cannot be said of smaller, less regulated companies, many of whom still seem to be unaware that this treaty could adversely affect them and their bottom lines. The array of American companies that fall into this category is simply mind-boggling. They include those in such diverse fields as electronics, plastics, automotive, biotech, food processing, brewers, distillers, textiles, nonnuclear utility operators, detergents and soaps, cosmetics and fragrances, paints, and even the manufacture of ball point pen ink. The Senate will be ill-advised to ratify a convention that could do harm, unintended harm, to so many American enterprises without truly compelling reasons to do so. But finally, Mr. Chairman, in discussing the harmful side effects of the CWC, I would like to draw your committee's attention, as many other witnesses have done, to Articles X and XI. These provisions, which obligate the signatories to facilitate the fullest possible exchange of technology directly relevant to chemical war fighting will be cited by other governments, and maybe even by some American companies, as pretexts for doing business with Iran and Cuba with adverse consequences for U.S. National interests. These then, Mr. Chairman, are just some of the costs associated with ratifying the Chemical Weapons Convention. They are unacceptably high. Are there any offsetting benefits? Unfortunately, the answer is no, there are not. In fact, and this is critical, far from protecting us against an outbreak of chemical warfare, the convention would increase the likelihood of these awful weapons being used. As former Defense Secretaries Jim Schlesinger, Cap Weinberger, and Don Rumsfeld wrote in last month's Washington Post, it was March 5th, quote, the CWC would likely have the effect of leaving the United States and its allies more, not less, vulnerable to chemical attack. How would the CWC increase our vulnerability to chemical attack? By giving rise, and this has happened before in our history, to a false sense of security and a diminished program for defending our troops and our people against the danger of chemical attack by leading the American people to believe that with this convention we have somehow rid the world of chemical weapons when in fact even the CWC's defenders acknowledge that it will be unverifiable, unenforceable, and ineffective in globally banning chemical weapons. Historically, Mr. Chairman, phony arms control treaties have invariably translated into reduced efforts by the democracies to defend themselves against the predatory dictatorships. Sadly, there is no reason to suppose that the CWC will prove an exception to this general rule. Mr. Chairman, if some of our best defense experts warn us that this treaty will harm our vital security interests, if it will lead to the creation of a massive intrusive U.N.-style bureaucracy costing taxpayers as much as $200 million annually, and if on top of all that it will diminish our competitiveness, render us more vulnerable to economic espionage, endanger some of or constitutional rights, and impose unfunded Federal mandates on thousands of American companies, many of whom do not even make chemical weapons, why on Earth should the convention be ratified? To demonstrate leadership? But surely, real leadership requires a willingness to stand alone if necessary to defend our vital interests and ultimately the interests of freedom-loving people around the world, not to sacrifice those interests on the alter of a misguided bureaucratic global consensus. Unfortunately, that apparently is not the way President Clinton understands U.S. leadership. He would have us be a leader in implementing a global agenda consisting of multinational accords that a majority of the American people simply do not support. Like the CWC, these multinational accords, whether they relate to the environment, patents, property rights, the way we educate our kids, defraying the costs of U.N. operations, or protecting our homes, are unwelcome intrusions on American sovereignty. The best way to resist all of this is simply to stop the present treaty. And finally, Mr. Chairman, it speaks volumes about what is wrong with the present CWC that its proponents declare that the United States might become a pariah nation like Libya, Iraq, and North Korea, if we do not ratify it. Surely only hardened anti-American propagandists, deluded one worlders, can ever entertain the idea that the United States is akin to North Korea, Libya, and other pariah states. After all, these pariah nations are developing and manufacturing chemical weapons at the same time that America is destroying its stockpile of such weapons. It is a sign of desperation, as well as an insult to all Americans that President Clinton and some of his allies are advancing this argument in order to defend a convention that is truly indefensible. Thank you very much, Mr. Chairman. [The prepared statement of Mr. Forbes follows:] Prepared Statement of Malcolm S. Forbes, Jr. Thank you, Mr. Chairman, for allowing me to testify before this distinguished committee today. There are many compelling reasons to oppose ratification of the Chemical Weapons Convention. The fact is that the Chemical Weapons Convention significantly threatens the freedoms we Americans cherish, significantly diminishes America's sovereignty, and, significantly increases America's vulnerability to chemical warfare. It's as though we were being asked to endorse a drug that worsens the disease it purports to cure and, in addition, has some highly dangerous side effects. To explain just how dangerous the CWC's side effects are, let me ask the distinguished members of this committee a simple question. What is the basis of America's greatness? Why is it that although the international arena contains many powers, we are the world's sole superpower? Any adequate answer to this question would have to include such factors as the competitive nature of our free market system, the unparalleled technological sophistication of American enterprises, and, most important, our basic freedom. These are the sinews of our power, the basis of our national greatness. Yet it is precisely these quintessentially American strengths that the Convention would undermine. Let me begin by talking about American competitiveness. As I have strenuously argued on other occasions, maintaining America's competitive edge requires a lessening of the tax and regulatory burdens on the American people and our Nation's enterprises. Unfortunately, the CWC will have precisely the opposite effect. It will burden up to 8,000 companies across the United States with major new reporting, regulatory and inspection requirements entailing large and uncompensated compliance costs. These added costs constitute an added federal mandate. Like so many unfunded mandates, they are bound to retard our economic growth and make our companies less competitive. Isn't it ironic, Mr. Chairman, meeting here on Tax Day and concerned as we all are with reducing America's tax burden, that we should even consider ratifying a Convention that amounts to a new tax on some of our most innovative and productive companies? But it gets worse. For in addition to the costs arising from heavy- duty reporting, the Chemical Weapons Convention subjects our chemical companies to snap inspections that will allow other nations access to our latest chemical equipment and information. No longer will violators of intellectual property rights in China, Iran and elsewhere have to go to the trouble of pirating our secrets; incredibly, we ourselves will hand them the stuff on a silver platter. No wonder former CIA Director and Secretary of Defense James Schlesinger, has called the Convention a ``godsend'' for foreign intelligence services. But it gets worse. The CWC threatens the constitutional rights guaranteed Americans under the Fourth Amendment. As former Defense Secretaries Dick Cheney, Donald Rumsfeld and Caspar Weinberger noted last September in a joint letter to Majority Leader Trent Lott, ``the CWC will jeopardize U.S. citizens' constitutional rights by requiring the U.S. government to permit searches without either warrants or probable cause.'' ``Jeopardize U.S. citizens' constitutional rights''--think about that, Mr. Chairman. And think about all the criminal cases that our courts have summarily dismissed because, in their view, the defendants' constitutional rights had been violated by police searches conducted without ``probable cause.'' Are America's businesses to receive less justice than suspected felons? Of course not--the very idea is preposterous! And yet, that is precisely what compliance with the CWC would entail. As Department of Justice officials publicly acknowledged in testimony before the Senate Judiciary Committee on Sept. 9, 1996, in cases where private facilities do not voluntarily permit access to inspection, a criminal warrant would be required. Obtaining a warrant from a court, however, would require demonstration of probable cause. This will be impossible in most cases, because under the Chemical Weapons Convention, the nation requesting an inspection need not cite its reasons for making such a request. Hence, the treaty would post an insoluble dilemma. Should the U.S. government choose to respect its citizens' Fourth Amendment rights not to be subjected involuntarily to searches in the absence of judicial warrants, it will be creating a precedent that other countries will assuredly cite to refuse on-site inspections in their territories. On the other hand, should the government choose not to respect those Fourth Amendment rights, it will be acting unconstitutionally. But it gets worse. For in addition to threatening our Fourth Amendment rights, the Convention also undercuts our Fifth Amendment rights against having our property taken by the government without just compensation. As Judge Robert Bork noted in a letter to Sen. Orrin Hatch last August: * * * Fifth Amendment problems arise from the authority of inspectors to collect data and analyze samples. This may constitute an illegal seizure and, perhaps, constitute the taking of private property by the government without compensation. The foreign inspectors will not be subject to punishment for any theft of proprietary information. Mr. Chairman, these are very grave constitutional issues that need to be resolved before the CWC is ratified. To wait until after the Convention is ratified and its provisions become the ``supreme law of the land'' would be an act of supreme folly. There is yet another pernicious aspect of this Convention that I would like to touch on--the very different impact it would have on large and small companies. As former Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld noted in testimony before this Committee last week, big companies are generally better able than small companies to withstand additional reporting, regulatory and/or government inspection requirements. Some might even regard such burdens as a barrier to entry that can enhance their market-share at the expense of their smaller competitors. Large chemical manufacturers are among the most pervasively regulated industries in the world. These companies can reasonably conclude that the burdens of this Convention are manageable. The same certainly cannot be said of smaller, less regulated companies--many of whom still seem to be unaware that this treaty could adversely affect them and their bottom lines. The array of American companies that fall into this category is simply mindboggling. They include those in such diverse fields as electronics, plastics, automotive, biotech, food processing, brewers, distillers, textiles, non-nuclear electric utility operators, detergents and soaps, cosmetics and fragrances, paints, and even manufacturers of ballpoint pen ink. The Senate would be ill-advised to ratify a Convention that could harm so many American enterprises without having truly compelling reasons to do so. Finally, Mr. Chairman, in discussing the harmful side effects of the Chemical Weapons Convention, I would like to draw your Committee's attention to Articles X and XI. These provisions, which obligate the signatories to ``facilitate the fullest possible exchange'' of technology directly relevant to chemical war-fighting, will be cited by other governments--and, probably, by some American companies--as pretexts for doing business with Iran and Cuba, with adverse consequences for U.S. national security interests. These, then, are some of the costs associated with ratification of the Chemical Weapons Convention. They are unacceptably high. Are there any offsetting benefits? Unfortunately, the answer is no, there aren't. In fact, far from protecting us against an outbreak of chemical warfare, the Convention would increase the likelihood of these awful weapons being used. As former Defense Secretaries James Schlesinger, Caspar Weinberger and Donald Rumsfeld wrote in last month's Washington Post (March 5), ``The CWC would likely have the effect of leaving the United States and its allies more, not less, vulnerable to chemical attack.'' How would the CWC increase our vulnerability to chemical attack? By giving rise to a false sense of security and a diminished program for defending our troops and people against the danger of chemical attack. By leading the American people to believe that with this Convention we have somehow rid the world of chemical weapons when, in fact, even the CWC's defenders acknowledge that it will be unverifiable, unenforceable and ineffective in globally banning chemical weapons. Historically, phony arms control treaties have invariably translated into reduced efforts by the democracies to defend themselves against the predatory dictatorships. Sadly, there is no reason to suppose that the Chemical Weapons Convention will prove an exception to this general rule. Mr. Chairman, if some of our best defense experts warn us that this treaty will harm our vital security interests? If it will lead to the creation of a massive, intrusive, U.N.-style bureaucracy costing American taxpayers as much as $200 million annually? And if, on top of all that, it will diminish our competitiveness, render us vulnerable to economic espionage, endanger our constitutional rights, and impose unfunded federal mandates on thousands of American companies, none of whom even make chemical weapons, why on earth should the Convention be ratified? To demonstrate ``leadership''? But surely, real leadership requires a willingness to stand alone, if necessary, to defend our vital interests and ultimately the interests of freedom-loving peoples around the world--not to sacrifice those interests on the altar of a misguided, bureaucratic global consensus. Unfortunately, that apparently is not the way President Clinton understands U.S. leadership. He would have us to be a ``leader'' in implementing a global agenda consisting of multinational accords that a majority of the American people simply do not support. Like the Chemical Weapons Convention, these multinational accords--whether they relate to the environment, patents or other property rights, or to the ways in which we educate our children, defray the costs of the U.N. operations or protect our homes--are unwelcome intrusions on American sovereignty. The best way to resist them is to stop the present treaty. Finally, Mr. Chairman, it speaks volumes about what is wrong with the present Chemical Weapons Convention that its proponents declare that the United States will become a pariah nation like Libya, Iraq and North Korea if we do not ratify it. Surely, only hardened anti-American propagandists and deluded One-Worlders could ever entertain the idea that the United States is akin to North Korea, Libya, etc. After all, these pariahs are developing and manufacturing chemical weapons at the same time we are destroying ours. It is a sign of desperation, as well as an insult to every American, that President Clinton and his friends are advancing this argument in order to defend a Convention that is truly indefensible. Thank you, Mr. Chairman, for your gracious attention. The Chairman. I suggest, anticipating that additional Senators will appear, there are afternoon committee meetings going on, as well, in other areas of the Capitol. I suggest that we embark on about a 7.5 minute round of questions. First of all, I am going to use a few minutes of my time to say that my dear friend, the Senator from Delaware, never disappoints me. Somehow he always comes up with statistics that I do not know where they came from, and I do not know that he can explain them, either. But here he did it again today. But I am concerned, I must say to my friend, that the administration has becoming expert in low-balling the number of businesses that will be affected by the chemical weapons treaty, in order, I think obviously, to avert concern in the Senate. Now, back in 1993 the Congressional Office of Technology Assessment reported that the administration believed that over 11,200 facilities would be subject to this treaty. During the past 4 years, that number has gone down like the Titanic. It dropped to 6,300 in October 1994, and then to 3,000 in May 1996. Now, continuing the trend of the CWC's seemingly ever- shrinking impact upon business, ACDA is now declaring that only 2,000 companies will be affected. Lord knows what it is going to be tomorrow morning at 10. Yet when I review the response codes on ACDA's industry data base, it seems to me that the administration has simply developed now new information about 5,583 of these facilities to confirm or deny--confirm or deny--that they would be affected by the CWC. In fact, as of last year only 668 facilities in the entire country had responded to ACDA in recognition of the fact that they would have new regulatory obligations under the CWC. This means that even CMA-owned facilities have not responded to ACDA's industry survey questionnaire. Accordingly, I do not think it is appropriate for the administration to reduce their estimates when the companies themselves have not responded one way or the other, or to confirm or deny that they use or produce the chemicals that are subject to the treaty. Accordingly, I think there are serious problems with the statistics that may have already been presented today by my friend, or subsequent to that. Now, Mr. Forbes, the CWC will require the Lord knows how many American companies to fill out detailed data declarations. Some companies have conducted comprehensive internal cost reviews of their own, based on the instruction manual and draft regulations compiled by the Commerce Department. The cost estimates associated with the reporting burden range from $1,500 to $2,000 for two small companies producing discrete organic chemicals, up to $250,000 estimated by a large diversified company. Now, my question to you, sir, is do you think the advantages of this treaty, if any, are sufficient to warrant subjecting American companies to this new regulatory burden? Mr. Forbes. Absolutely not. Even putting aside the fact that other nations can easily circumvent this treaty, just as other nations violated the 1925 accord banning the use of poison gases, even if that is true it will impose a burden on American companies, and to concentrate on trying to assess what that burden is, trying to assess how we might reduce it, it lies in the interpretation of a body over which we will have little effective control. And so I do not see what the advantages are to argue, whether it is going to be 100 facilities or 10,000 facilities, Mr. Chairman, when you were reciting those numbers I thought for a moment you were talking maybe about the stock market going down to 2,000. But we do not know. It is uncharted territory. We do not know what kind of inspections it will go to. When the Iranians put in the request that they have spotted a challenge inspection somewhere, we do not know. And if we do not know, what are we doing it for? And given the history of these agreements and given how easy it is to produce deadly weapons, I mean, look at Iraq. The most trod on nation in the world in terms of inspections. Yet Saddam stays one step ahead of those inspectors. If it cannot work in Iraq, why are we subjecting ourselves to this in the first place. The Chairman. According to the Congressional Office of Technology Assessment, to which I referred a minute or so ago, the U.S. Chemical industry is one of the top five industries targeted by foreign governments, and the problem of industrial espionage is growing. Do you agree with that statement? Mr. Forbes. Yes, and we have seen an example of it last year. The Chairman. And because proprietary information is often the basis for a chemical company's competitive edge, both nationally and internationally, the theft of trade secrets can result in major loss of revenue and investment. In fact, the theft of trade secrets can cripple even a giant company, according to this report, and can be fatal to a small enterprise. I suppose that you agree with that assessment by this government agency. Mr. Forbes. [Nods affirmatively.] The Chairman. But in any case, former Secretary of Defense and Director of Central Intelligence Jim Schlesinger testified last week, sitting almost where you are sitting right now, that the CWC would be a godsend, and that is his word, a godsend to foreign companies and governments engaged in industrial espionage. My question, sir, is do you agree with Jim's assessment of that? Mr. Forbes. I am afraid so, yes. The Chairman. The Chemical Manufacturer's Association, which represents the largest--the largest--U.S. Chemical companies, supports ratification of this treaty. This past week, as you know, former Secretary of Defense Rumsfeld suggested that the reason for CMA's support may be due to the fact that the large companies can cope with the new regulatory burden and so forth, but these are not surmises, they are the result of studies by a number of us. My question is how badly do you think this treaty will harm U.S. industry, and why do you think the association supports it? Mr. Forbes. Well, large companies can cope with regulation. In fact, historians of regulation in America point out that larger companies often like regulation, often like government intruding, because that makes it more difficult for competitors to enter the business and compete. When airlines were deregulated we got a whole host of new companies coming in. When telephones were deregulated a whole host of new companies came in. When railroads were deregulated, short lines proliferated. So I think he is onto something. It seems to be in human nature. They are obviously supporting it with the most honorable of motives. They think it will be good. But that begs the question. Here we are getting into almost how many angels dance on a pin arguments about how many facilities, what kind of chemicals, Schedule III, Schedule II, which begs the question will this reduce the possibility of production of poisonous chemicals around the world by nations that wish to do it. The answer is no. The Chairman. I thank you. Senator Biden. Senator Biden. Thank you very much. Mr. Forbes and Senator Helms, let me tell you where I got my numbers. I got my numbers from an analysis done by the Commerce Department, and the way it explains its previously higher number--I am reading from a letter signed by former Secretary of Commerce Mickey Kantor and Philip Lader, Administrator of the Small Business Administration. And I quote: Previously, the administration had estimated that more companies would be required to submit a data declaration. However, additional analysis indicated that many did not cross the CWC production threshold for reporting. Further, administrative exemptions at the Organization for the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons (OPCW) will be crafted to exclude entire industries from reporting--biomediated processes (such as certain beverages), polymers (such as certain plastics used in football helmets),* * *. In addition, plant sites that exclusively produce hydrocarbons (e.g., propane and ethylene) are completely excluded from reporting requirements. That is why the number is different. Number 1. Number 2, I might point out that these onerous reporting requirements are a total of, for Schedule I, I believe, six pages long, for Schedule II I think it is seven, and Schedule III it is five. And of Schedule III and the so-called DOC's, which total roughly 1,900 of the 2,000 companies we are talking about, the total number of inspections under the treaty allowed, period, in any 1 year is 20. Let us put this in perspective--20. Now, it does not go to the sovereignty argument Mr. Forbes raised. I understand that. But it goes to the facts--20--t-w-e- n-t-y--20. And if there are 1,800 of those 1,900 companies, as I am saying, that are in Schedule III and the so-called DOC's, if I am right about that, it is 20 out of 1,900. If it is 10,000 or whatever number my friend uses, or 6,000, it is 20. That is Number 1. Number 2, on this issue of search warrants, there is a section in the treaty now, put in at the insistence, I am told, of President Bush, and it deals with covering the Fourth Amendment. It is good to see Mr. Gaffney here. Mr. Gaffney, you staff more people than I have ever seen. You are a very, very ubiquitous fellow. Every witness we have had against, you have been staffing, and they are fortunate to have your expertise. ``In meeting the requirement to provide access as specified in paragraph''--I am reading from the Verification Annex of Challenge Inspections. ``In meeting the requirement to provide access as specified in paragraph 38, the inspected State Party shall be under the obligation to allow the greatest degree of access, taking into account any constitutional obligation it may have with regard to proprietary rights or searches and seizures.'' But assuming that was not sufficient, which it clearly is legally, assuming that was not sufficient, we are prepared to accept a condition to the treaty requiring search warrants for challenge inspections and the establishment of probable cause. Now, I might also point out there is--this is black letter law, what I am referring to now. We are not talking about any hyperbole on my part about how search warrants work and do not work. The Supreme Court, in Marshal v. Barlow's, Incorporated, a decision argued June 9th, 1978, decided May 23rd, 1978, which is the prevailing law, talks about administrative warrants, criminal warrants, and those inspections where no warrant is required. And I might add, Federal law authorizing warrantless searches, which I am sure, I suspect Mr. Forbes, you would disagree with all these, but in fact I am citing what the law is. I am not implying that you agree what the law should be. I would imagine you do not think there should be the Federal Insecticide, Fungicide, and Rodenticide Act; or the Nursery Stock Guarantee Act; or Immigration and Naturalization Act; or Toxic Substance Control Act; Consumer Product Safety Act; National Forest System Drug Control Act; Bald Eagle Protection Act; Migratory Bird Treaty; Skies Act; Fisher and Wildlife Act of 1956; Northern Pacific Halibut Act of 1982; Whaling Convention of 1949; Tuna Convention of 1950; Eastern Pacific Tuna Licensing Act of 1934, Endangered Species Amendments of 1982, Antarctic Conservation Act of 1978, Antarctic Marine Living Resources Convention of 1984, Lacy Act Amendments of 1981; Food and Drug and Cosmetic Act; Federal Meat Inspection Act; Fisherman's Protective Act; Distillery Spirits Act; Occupational Health and Safeties Act; Migrant Season Agricultural Workers Act; Mine Safety and Health Act; Safe Drinking Water Act; Surface Mining Control Act; Clean Water Act; Resource Conservation Recovery Act; Clean Air Act; Comprehensive Environmental Response Compensation Liability Act; and Federal Land Policy Management Act. I may have made the case why the Government is over-reaching. But I also would argue this makes the case that what is suggested in this treaty is nothing--nothing--nothing--different than the way in which the law has worked so far. None of these requires an act. To walk on your estate to find out whether you are shooting bald eagles, which I am sure you are not, Mr. Forbes, they are allowed to do that without a warrant, old buddy. They are allowed to do that. So there are a lot of things you are allowed to do without a warrant. But there is a second category here. Nothing in here can be done without that kind of warrant if, in fact, any business objects. There is a second category in the Supreme Court law, and it is called an administrative warrant. And it says for purposes of administrative search such as this, and I am reading from the case and there was an OSHA inspector who wanted to come on, probable cause justifying the issuance of a warrant may be based not only on specific evidence of existing violations, but also on showing that reasonable legislative, administrative standards for conducting an inspection are satisfied with respect to a particular establishment. That is an administrative warrant. And third, there is a third kind of warrant, and that is a criminal warrant. So we are willing to add a condition to this treaty requiring a criminal warrant in addition to an administrative warrant, where I might add under our Constitution and our Supreme Court now in similar circumstances--because the Court uses all this test on all Fourth Amendment cases--they use this notion of whether or not there is reason to believe the party involved thought they were protected from this kind of intrusion, whatever it is. And they argue that pervasively regulated industries start off without the benefit of the presumption that they would not be inspected without a warrant. That is the basis on which the Supreme Court could uphold all of these warrantless inspections or searches. We are not talking about that. We are talking about criminal warrants in areas where there are challenge inspections. And so I hope when you see the condition, which I would be happy to show you Mr. Forbes, your concern on at least that one issue will be mildly allayed. Mr. Forbes. By the way, Senator, I do not shoot bald eagles, and I do not shoot Democrats, either. Senator Biden. Well, I will tell you what, if anybody could shoot Democrats and do it effectively, you are very good at it; and I mean that in a complimentary way. The way I saw you take my State by storm, I am glad I was not a Republican standing in the way of your shots. Mr. Forbes. Some of my best friends are Democrats. Senator Biden. And mine Republican. The Chairman. I have just got one question. Did you understand the question? Senator Biden. Well, I did not hear the answer, Mr. Chairman. Mr. Forbes. I am trying to be diplomatic, Mr. Chairman. The Chairman. Senator Hagel. Senator Hagel. Mr. Chairman, thank you. Welcome, Mr. Forbes. Good to have you with us. Mr. Forbes. Thank you, Senator. Senator Hagel. As you know, every time I have an opportunity to be a part of this committee, it is a rather didactic experience, listening to my colleagues. I never knew, Senator, that we had that many acts. And the way you went right through them was magnificent. Let me, before I ask you a question, Mr. Forbes, make this observation. I think all my colleagues on this panel and in the U.S. Senate are coming at this issue based, first, not on what is good for business, what is bad for business, but what is good for America, what is in our best security interest. Mr. Forbes. Right. Senator Hagel. That is the way I am looking at it. Obviously we have other elements and dynamics that are involved in this discussion. We should debate them. We should hear your views, as the next panel's views will be, I suspect, somewhat different. But I think it is important that we not lose sight here of what we are about. And that is dealing with the reality of a very unstable, very dangerous world. And everybody's opinion must be heard, but, in the end, it seems to me, and I think I can speak generally for my colleagues, that we must do what is right for the security interests of this country. In particular, the young men and women of our armed forces, who may some day be called upon to fight in a theater against a nation that is using chemical weapons. And I think the defining question for all of us is, does this treaty help them or hurt them? Now, with that said, I would like for you to delve in a little more into Articles X and XI, the transfer of technology, the obligations of what we share with our treaty friends and allies. That has gotten an awful lot of attention during the course of this debate, which I think it should have and is appropriate. And I noted you mentioned it in your testimony. And I would like for you to define more of that, if you would. Mr. Forbes. Well, under Articles X and XI, there is the very real possibility that if we, one of our companies, we come up with a way of defending against chemical weapons, that that technology may end up in the hands of countries around the world. Countries who sign on to this convention have the right to request that technology. And we may be obliged to provide that technology. And I think that that is a very real danger. The fact that four defense chiefs believe that we may have to give up information and technology that could be used for defensive purposes and would therefore allow a rogue nation to reverse engineer, to figure out how to possibly get around these defenses is, I think, a good reason to pause and say, is this the best way to protect our people in the future? And if you look at the history of treaties, especially in the twenties, simply saying you are against poison gases, against war, as we did in the Kellogg-Briand Pact of 1928, or against armaments, as we did in the Naval Disarmament Treaty of 1922, guarantees, ultimately, nothing. In the 1980's, for example, Iraq used poison gases against Iran. Iraq used poison gases against the Kurds. The international community did nothing, despite that 1925 Geneva agreement. So the possibility that they could get that kind of technology and put it to uses to which we do not want it to be put to use is something that, as I say, should give us real pause. Senator Hagel. In your opinion, can this treaty be fixed? Mr. Forbes. I think you have to ask a very basic question. Given the nature of chemicals, given the fact that you can take compounds--what they call precursors or ingredients--that in and of themselves are harmless, put them together in a basement laboratory and come up with something that is deadly, should make us think, is this the best way to protect our people, where we are subject to interpretations on inspections, but those who want to do it can do it? Take Iraq again. They have inspectors on their soil. They were humiliated in a war. Yet the head of the agency that is in charge of those inspections said recently that the Iraqis have more than a handful of missiles, and it looks like they are playing games again with biological and chemical weapons. If they can do that under that kind of supposedly severe regime, who knows what Iran is doing. We know what Libya is doing in the areas of biology, thanks in no small part to the Germans. So does this treaty make us more secure or does it end up being one of those situations where, despite its good intentions, it does more harm than good? I, so far, based on the evidence I have seen as a citizen, I think it does more harm than good, especially when you look at the treaties of the twenties. What good did they do when violators were there? Senator Hagel. Should we have a chemical weapons treaty? Can, in your opinion, we produce one? Mr. Forbes. Well, there is a bill, I understand, Senator Kyl and others have been putting together that might do something in terms of something substantive. I have not seen the bill. So maybe there is a better way to do it. But, clearly, this convention is not the way to do it, given the flaws that those defense chiefs and others have pointed out. Senator Hagel. If I could also refer back to your testimony, your point about it giving rise to a false sense of security. Which, I think, by the way, has been overlooked in some of our deliberations here, and has been easily dismissed, because it is one of those intangibles that is easy to dismiss. Would you like to elaborate a little bit on your comment about a false sense of security? Mr. Forbes. Well, the classic case are the three treaties of the twenties, the Naval Disarmament Treaty of the early twenties, the prohibition against poison gas in the mid- twenties, and the Kellogg-Briand Pact in the late-twenties, that led the British and the democracies--not so much the French, but certainly the British--to believe that they did not have to take adequate measures for defense. And once you start on that slope, it is very hard to reverse it. Because there are always pressing domestic priorities. We see it today. We are now downsizing to where our defense spending as a proportion of our GDP is getting down to below Pearl Harbor levels. But it is very hard to reverse, given the pressures that we face each day. So, also, too, given some of the treaties we had in the sixties and seventies--look at SALT I--that did not prevent the Russians from a massive armaments program, which necessitated our building up in the 1980's. So it goes right up to modern times. And also, too, in the early nineties, we did sign an agreement with the Russians on chemical weapons. And the evidence indicates that they are going ahead and developing and producing deadly chemical weapons. They are ignoring what we signed 6 or 7 years ago. Senator Hagel. Is there a particular way you get at the Russian chemical weapons program, in your opinion? Mr. Forbes. Well, you publicize it. You make it very clear that this is going to affect our bilateral relations. In other words--I will give you an example outside of the defense area. A little over a year ago we were ready to sign an agreement, a worldwide agreement, on telecommunications. To its credit, this administration said this is pretty weak stuff, we can do better to open up those markets. Everyone said, oh, no, this is going to--our international allies will be upset at us. But, to its credit, Kantor and others said no, we are going to go for a better deal. A few months ago they got a better deal. Because we took leadership. We had a clear idea on what we wanted. And here are two signatories, supposedly, of this convention. And here is the headline: China helps Iran--it was just in the paper on Sunday--develop chemical arms. The treaty is not worth the paper it is written on the way it is now. Senator Hagel. Thank you. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Mr. Forbes. Thank you. The Chairman. What do you think, about 2 or 3 minutes a piece for the next round? You name it. Senator Biden. Three. If you give me the choice, I will take the higher. The Chairman. You go first. Senator Biden. Well, thank you, Mr. Chairman. Mr. Forbes, it is interesting, you cited these treaties and agreements in the twenties as being useless, yet no chemical weapons were used in World War II. Mr. Forbes. They were not used in World War II, because both sides felt it would be counterproductive to their own interests. Senator Biden. Right. Mr. Forbes. Not because of a treaty. Senator Biden. Right. Mr. Forbes. In the 1980's, when Iraq thought it was in its interests to use it, it did. And the international community did nothing. Senator Biden. Right. Now, you acknowledge that does not have anything to do with whether there is a treaty or is not a treaty, right? Mr. Forbes. I am saying it takes U.S. leadership, in terms of national security, to make things happen. Signing a piece of paper will not, in and of itself, do it. As you know, enforcement is key. But, unfortunately, the history of these treaties suggests that in a democracy, where we would rather be doing other things, like bettering our lives, than having to worry about defense, these treaties do have a lulling effect, where we do not take the necessary steps. Senator Biden. Well, we did all these arms control treaties and the cold war is over. Not because of that, but not in spite of that. I mean it is over. You know, all this stuff, these horrible treaties we signed and these arms control treaties, it is amazing, the Soviet Union is gone, in spite of the fact that we lulled ourself to sleep with all those things. It just amazes me how that happened. Mr. Forbes. No. What happened, as you know, in the late- seventies, we were in serious trouble. We were in serious trouble here at home. The Soviet Union was on a major arms buildup. It gratuitously, because it did not respect our leadership, invaded Afghanistan. And that led, as it does in a democracy, in the American democracy, to a sense of alarm, a sense of renewal. And that is how we got the buildup of the eighties. Ronald Reagan stood strong, and we won the cold war. If we continued the policies of the seventies, we would still have the cold war today. Senator Biden. Well, what you are saying is, if we continue the policy of being strong and staying vigilant and have arms control treaties, they work in tandem. That is what Reagan did, did he not? He is the guy that gave us START. He is the guy that had this buildup and also got rid of the nuclear weapons, right? Mr. Forbes. Because he did it--he had credibility to make the agreements work. Senator Biden. I see. I see. Mr. Forbes. And this agreement, even if you have Ronald Reagan--he said--Ronald Reagan said ``Trust, but verify.'' Senator Biden. Right. Mr. Forbes. The villains here are not trustworthy. Senator Biden. And he drafted the treaty. Mr. Forbes. The villains here are not trustworthy, and you cannot verify what the North Koreans are doing or even what signatories like the Iranians or the Chinese may be doing. So this is a treaty, unlike some of the earlier arms agreements, this is one where the U.S. leadership is going to be for naught. You cannot do it. Senator Biden. Have you seen an arms control agreement you like? Mr. Forbes. The test ban of 1963 was good, sure. Senator Biden. How about the one now? How about the Nuclear Test Ban Treaty now? Mr. Forbes. Fine. Fine. That is where judgment---- Senator Biden. Mr. Gaffney just blanched. He is going to work on you on the way out. I expect, by next campaign, you will have a different view. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. The Chairman. Why do not you go ahead. I will go last. Senator Hagel. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Mr. Forbes, would you go back and talk a little bit about your earlier statements, the effect on smaller, less regulated companies, in your opinion, this treaty would have. Mr. Forbes. Well, this is, as you can see by the numbers that are being bandied about and how you interpret what is in the convention and what we promise we might add to the convention, makes it a whole murky area. We are on uncharted waters. And to say gee, it is going to be simple, the initial requirements, given the nature of bureaucracies--we know they do not say give us less paper--usually one thing leads to another. Senator Hagel. Well, I was interested very much in Mr. Rumsfeld's comments when he was here last week. What he was going beyond getting to was it would have, in his opinion, this treaty, a very inhibiting factor on young, small companies. And Senator Biden has, I think, addressed some of that. And I guess where we all have to come down to is where is the truth here. And I had an opportunity to be with Senator Biden last week on some of this. But that is a factor that I think is very important here. Because these young companies that are the engines of our economy should not have to carry a disproportionate burden here if we would go forward with this treaty or some form of this treaty. And if you would like to, especially from your perspective, come at this in some way, I would be grateful for any other comments you want to make on this. Mr. Forbes. Well, as you know, it is conceptual, because we do not know how the new body in The Hague is going to--how vigorous it is going to be in terms of these intrusive inspections. We also do not know about the so-called challenge inspections, whether they are going to be used against a smaller company, which could put it out of business. This is uncharted territory. But history shows that when you have regulations, when you have to keep track of things not for a business purpose but for a potential inspection or actual filings, it does have a cost and an inhibiting effect. And you can see the nature of bureaucracies. Look what happened to telecommunications. We passed a bill a little over a year ago that said it was supposed to remove some of the shackles. The way it has been interpreted by the courts and the FCC, it is just as regulated as before--almost as regulated as before. Senator Hagel. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. The Chairman. Mr. Forbes, what do you think of the drop dead date of April 29th? They say that the whole thing will collapse and we will be at the mercy of all these rogue nations if we do not ratify this treaty by the 29th, but we will have to pay one-fourth of the cost nonetheless. Does that make any difference to you? Mr. Forbes. Yes. And unfortunately, when you urge other nations to ratify something in order to trigger a date like April 29th, I think that shows a lack of good faith. And this, again, gets to leadership. If we were truly interested in looking at this in a timely but reasoned way, without an artificial deadline, maybe we could strengthen the treaty. I do not think so. But to put an arbitrary date and say the world will come to an end, when we help engineer that date, I think we should say---- The Chairman. Well, it was clearly put there, do you not think, to stampede the Congress, or the Senate, to say that boy, we got to do this by the 29th of April or the whole world collapses? I have heard it over and over and over again, and it does not hold any water at all. But let me tell you what has happened. I think that the effort by some in the media, the Washington Post and the New York Times and some like that, that have advocated this treaty to the point of absurdity--there have been other newspapers-- the Wall Street Journal has done a good job, your magazine has done a good job, and some others--but for the most part, the American people were not paying any attention to this treaty actually. So the result was that they could say 73 or 83 percent of the people approved the treaty. Well, all of a sudden, the worm turned and the contents of this treaty were being analyzed in the media, particularly on the radio and in television. And I have a poll here that shows a total sample, total support as of April the 5th was 31 percent for the treaty--31 percent of the people support the treaty; 60 percent oppose it. Now, in my own office they keep track of the calls, particularly when I am involved in an issue. And even in my home State a lot of people, even though they support me, they kept reading in the liberal media that this was such a great and grand thing and only idiots would oppose. And so that had some effect. It was about 50/50 in my State. Now it is about 80/20. And in our telephone calls, we had 83 calls yesterday relating to this treaty. How many do you think supported it? Three. Eighty now oppose it. So I think they have overplayed their hands. I see Senator Kerry is here. And we had agreed on 3 and a half minutes. Is that what we said? We are glad to have you, sir. Senator Kerry. Well, that is time for a good dialog, Mr. Chairman. Thank you very much. Mr. Forbes, I have been interested to see that the Chemical Manufacturers' Association, the Synthetic Organic Manufacturers' Association, the Pharmaceutical Research and Manufacturers' Association of America, the Biotechnology Industry Organization, the American Chemical Society, the American Physical Society, the American Institute of Chemical Engineers, the Council for Chemical Research, and several other chemical trade organizations all strongly support the CWC. And they urge us to vote to ratify it. And they all insist that it will not pose an undue burden on business. The National Federation of Independent Businesses responded to treaty opponents' claims that they were opposed by saying that those claims were 100 percent incorrect, according to the Wall Street Journal, which also quotes an NFIB official as predicting its members are not going to be impacted, contrary to your statement about small business. So I really need your help in understanding what is the documentation here. On what do you base this notion? If the chemical industry, which is the industry that subjects itself to inspections, is for it, and they are threatened by the loss of some $600 billion worth of business, why are you so convinced they are wrong? And what evidence do you have to support that they are wrong and cannot look out for their own interests? Mr. Forbes. Well, first of all, as a general matter, there is no way that--the CWC is unverifiable and unenforceable with states like Iran, China, not to mention those that are not going to even sign the thing. The question now comes, how intrusive will it be on the United States? Don Rumsfeld, who had testified here last week, who has been in a large business, made the point that historians have made. And that is big businesses can cope with regulations better than small businesses. As a matter of fact, when you have a regulatory regime, it makes it harder for small businesses to get in and compete. And they figure that since they are heavily regulated anyway, they can put up with this kind of regime. But the fact of it really is not whether it is good for the Chemical Manufacturers' Association, the question is, is it enforceable, is it verifiable, is it good for the interests of the United States? Because if it is not good for America, then we should not do it just because a trade association says it might benefit our members. So big companies, as a rule, can cope with regulations, but small businesses can less cope with regulations. And the real problem is not just routine inspections--we can cope with those--but so-called challenge inspections. And that is unchartered territory. Senator Kerry. Well, the challenge inspections, according to every observer, are going to take place primarily at military facilities. Nobody anticipates a series of major challenges at the commercial facilities. Mr. Forbes. Well, given the nature, as you know, of---- Senator Kerry. And we are not looking at small manufacturers here. I mean you are aware, are you not---- Mr. Forbes [continuing]. Given, Senator, the nature of the manufacture of chemical weapons, since it can be done in a basement or a bathtub---- Senator Kerry. Correct. Mr. Forbes [continuing]. It may need to be--experts say it should not need to go beyond military bases. But with chemical weaponry, since you can manufacture it almost anywhere, you may need a challenge inspection. Senator Kerry. Well, let us follow that through. It can be manufactured anywhere, correct? It can be manufactured anywhere, even as we sit here today, correct? Mr. Forbes. Well, you look at Iraq---- Senator Kerry. Just follow me through. Just follow the thinking. Mr. Forbes. Yes, OK. Senator Kerry. It can be manufactured anywhere, as we sit here today, can it not? Mr. Forbes. Yes. Senator Kerry. And this regime, this CWC, you are aware, is going to take effect no matter what we do; you are aware of that? Mr. Forbes. Yes. Senator Kerry. So as of April 29th, a date that you want to discard, something is going to happen, is it not? Correct? Mr. Forbes. Not if we take leadership. Senator Kerry. No, no matter what we do, something happens. You are absolutely incorrect. Mr. Forbes. No, Senator---- Senator Kerry. On April 29th, the group that organizes the process of inspections takes its work without the United States of America, because we have not ratified it. Only those who have ratified are part of that; is that not correct? Mr. Forbes. OK. Senator Kerry. So, no matter what we do, on April 29th, I think it is 70 nations are going to sit down at a table and say, OK, how do we go about the business of doing what the United States asked us to do, but now does not want to do, correct? Mr. Forbes. That is one way to put it. There is another way to put it. Senator Kerry. Is that not accurate? Mr. Forbes. What is your question? Because I believe---- Senator Kerry. My question was very simple. Is not that fact going to happen? Are they not going to sit at a table, without the United States, if we do not ratify it? Mr. Forbes. They may sit at a table, but if the United States takes the lead, that treaty can be rewritten. We helped trigger that April 29th date by asking other nations to ratify that convention, so that trigger date came in. It was a cynical ploy by this administration to put the Senate in a box and say, if you do not ratify this, you are harming the future by allowing chemicals out there. They are using symbol over substance. And I think it is a shame that we have been put in that box. And we should say no. As I pointed out earlier, in a whole other area, in telecommunications, for once this administration took a proper lead, over a year ago. There was a bad agreement on the table. Kantor said we can do better. Our allies said we cannot do better. He said we can. We went back to the table. We got a better agreement. And it was put on the table again this year and everyone praised it as being better than it was for American interests a year ago. So we put ourselves in the box, and a great nation should say, if we put ourselves in a box and it is not good for America and not good for the world, we can take ourselves out of the box. Senator Kerry. Well, let me address that. You are a promoter and have been--and I admire what you and your family have done to promote capitalism and the notion of entrepreneurship. As an entrepreneur, having signed on to this treaty--72 nations is the number that have ratified it--they will now be in a position where they can engage in a formal trade, under Schedule II, chemicals. But any nation that is not a participant is not going to be able to engage in that, correct? Now, as an entrepreneur, if you were part of a nation that has signed on to it, you are going to be greatly advantaged. Because the United States of America's chemical companies are not going to be allowed to engage in the transfer of these chemicals under this treaty. So all of the entrepreneurs in these other countries are going to be sitting there licking their chops and saying, wow, we sure have a great capitalist opportunity here to make money at the expense of the United States of America. That is what all our chemical companies think today. Mr. Forbes. Senator, if a treaty is not good for America, then we should not ratify it. Senator Kerry. Well, what do you think about what I just said? Mr. Forbes. And if that is blood money, selling chemicals to nations that should not have that stuff in the first place, like Iran and China and some others, we should not be making those sales in the first place. We denied ourselves sales during the cold war, hurt our commercial interests, because we felt it was in our national interest. We should not hesitate to do so again. Senator Kerry. But we do not sell to any of those countries, because they are all embargoed under trade restrictions. Mr. Forbes. Yes, but under the---- Senator Kerry. It is not blood money to us. We do not sell to them. Mr. Forbes [continuing]. But you just said before we are going to lose sales opportunities. Senator Kerry. We are going to lose sales opportunities, because we are not allowed to trade among the ratified countries. Mr. Forbes. Iran and China are signing on to this thing apparently. Senator Kerry. But then they are subject to challenge inspection. Mr. Forbes. Big deal. Iraq is the most regulated nation in the world in terms of inspections and the U.N.--and the chief inspector has just told us that Saddam still stays one step ahead. He is still making the missiles. He is still making and doing biological and chemical research. Senator Kerry. We are not talking about Iraq. Mr. Forbes. He is even still fooling around with nukes. If it can happen in Iraq, it can happen anywhere. I do not care how many inspections you have. Senator Kerry. We are not talking about Iraq. We are talking about Iran. Mr. Forbes. No. We are talking about Iraq is the most inspected nation on Earth today. And my point is that we have more inspections---- Senator Kerry. And we know exactly what they are doing pretty much. Mr. Forbes. Yes, right. Exactly. Seriously, the head of the agency, Senator, who did the inspection, just told us the other day that Saddam is still doing stuff he should not be doing. Senator Kerry. Correct. Mr. Forbes. And they have a hard time keeping up with him. If they have a hard time keeping up in Iraq, what of North Korea, Iran, Libya? Senator Kerry. But, you see, what you seem to--and I think many of the critics of the treaty--seem to ignore is the fact that we are not going to produce these weapons anyway, Number 1. We do not sell to these people anyway, Number 2. And we do not have a regime today for any kind of inspection of accountability on the transfer of the precursor chemicals. Therefore, what you gain with this, while not perfection--none of us have alleged that any treaty--well, I will not say any treaty--that almost any treaty provides you with a foolproof-- certainly as to chemical weapons and biowarfare weapons, I do not think there is any such thing as a verifiable, foolproof treaty, because of where you can produce this. The question is, are you better off with a structure that affords you some mechanism of tracing precursor chemicals, some responsibility of companies for reporting, some system of accountability through challenge and regular inspection, or none at all, as well as being outside of the sales? Now, that is really the issue. The Chairman. We will let Mr. Forbes answer that without interruption, and then we will go to the next panel. Mr. Forbes. OK. The ease with which you can make chemical weapons today--you can do it in a basement, you can do it in a bathtub--the ease with which you can do it makes this treaty unverifiable and unenforceable. The danger from doing this treaty, especially in a democracy, as we saw in the twenties and thirties, it will give us a false sense of security that, by golly, we have dealt with it. Now, you have said, and I admire your candor, it is not perfect. But, yet, the administration goes out there--he did it with the newspaper editors and he has done it in speeches, making it sound like this is a foolproof protection for our kids, we have got to do it or they are all going to be blasted away. So a bill of goods is being sold. At best, this is a flawed treaty that is going to do little or no good. And so, therefore, why lull ourselves with a false sense of security? I think we saw in the twenties and thirties where that led. We saw it in the seventies, where that led. Why repeat history? The Chairman. Very well. Mr. Forbes. Thank you. The Chairman. I thank you so much, Mr. Forbes, for being here with us today and for coming. I know it is some inconvenience to yourself on short notice. Mr. Forbes. Thank you very much, Mr. Chairman. I appreciate it. The Chairman. Thank you, sir. Senator Biden. See you in Delaware, Mr. Forbes. Mr. Forbes. Thank you, Senator. The Chairman. Now we will have panel Number 2, consisting of seven distinguished ladies and gentlemen. [Pause.] Senator Biden. If you all can agree on your seating, I am sure then that we can work this treaty out. The Chairman. Our second panel consists of friends of all of us. Sometimes you have to agree to disagree agreeably, and that is the way we will do it. But in Joe's case, in one or two instances, he will say huzzah, hooray and so forth. The panel, from my left to my right, is Mr. Wayne Spears, who is president of the Spears Manufacturing Company at Sylmar, California; and Mr. Ralph B. Johnson, vice president of Environmental Affairs, Dixie Chemical Company, of Houston; Mr. Kevin L. Kearns, president of the United States Business and Industrial Council. Senator Biden. It is good to see you. The Chairman. The Hon. Kathleen C. Bailey--and how you do add to the looks of this crowd, I tell you that--senior fellow at the Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory in Livermore, California; the Hon. Bruce Merrifield, former Assistant Secretary of Commerce; Fred Webber, whom we have all known, president of the Chemical Manufacturers' Association; and the Hon. William A. Reinsch, Under Secretary of Commerce for Export Administration. And Mr. Spears, you may lead off, because that is the order they said that I was supposed to follow. Senator Biden. Perhaps Mr. Kearns could go first. The Chairman. Oh, you want Mr. Kearns. All right. Mr. Kearns, we will hear from you. Go right ahead. STATEMENT OF KEVIN L. KEARNS, PRESIDENT, UNITED STATES BUSINESS AND INDUSTRIAL COUNCIL Mr. Kearns. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. It is a pleasure to be back testifying before this committee, where I served as a State Department Pierson Fellow on Senator Helms' staff from 1988 to 1989. When I went back to the State Department, I headed an office called the Office of Strategic Trade, and we dealt with many of the issues that are before this committee today. Since I left the State Department, I have been president of the U.S. Business and Industrial Council. We represent mainly family owned, closely held businesses--what I would call medium-sized business. There is not a good definition, really, of size below large business. But our employers have between 100 and 800 employees. They are involved in various fields. Some of them are specialty chemical manufacturers, autos, food processing, brewing, you name it, USBIC members are in these industries. And we have been around since 1933. We do not lobby for a specific industry or a company; we are here to give a voice to small- and mid-sized businesses in public policy debates. We take strong exception to the Chemical Weapons Convention. We do not believe it is in the best interest of the United States or American business. Many of the reasons have been discussed by Mr. Forbes and were brought up by the three secretaries last week. We believe that, first of all, the CWC represents an unjustifiable erosion of American sovereignty. It seems, time after time, treaty after treaty, decade after decade, the U.S. gives up a bit of its sovereignty to one international body or another. And the results, generally, I think, are not good for the United States. When I look at the world today, it is not a hospitable place. And I do not feel comfortable that international bureaucrats, drawn from so many of these countries where there is strife or repression or many other problems, are the best guarantors of American interests. At the Business and Industrial Council, we believe that the single best guarantor of American interests is American strength and power. We have wielded that, for the most part, over the centuries well. And we do not place our hopes for the future and the future of our kids on supranational organizations. USBIC members are little guys, compared to perhaps some of the members of the Chemical Manufacturers Association or others. We have trouble with red tape now, with OSHA, with EPA, with the IRS, with State regulatory agencies, in the sense that they add a tremendous burden to the costs of our doing business, without adding another burden, or other burdens, under this treaty. The large-sized companies, these large-scale companies, can afford big lobbying organizations in Washington. They can afford representation before international bodies. They all have offices, or many of them do, in Brussels, before the EC, et cetera. They have offices in various Asian capitals. They have the staff, they have the resources to cope with regulatory burdens. Smaller businesses are already drowning in a sea of red tape. And I might add that the Fortune 500 have not created a single net new job in this country in 20 years. It is small business and mid-sized business that are creating jobs in this country, not these large multinationals, which feel free to move their factories around the world, seeking less regulation, seeking less bureaucratic red tape, seeking the cheapest labor available. One element that I would like to address is the National Federation of Independent Business, which has come up several times in this discussion. To say that NFIB members will not be affected by this treaty is a tautology. That is, the vast majority of NFIB members are microbusinesses. They are small businesses, run out of the home. They are luncheonettes. They are insurance agencies, et cetera. So I think the fact that people are citing NFIB as a voice of American business that says American business is not going to be harmed is wrong. No, that segment of very small businesses are not going to get challenge inspections--at a luncheonette, for example. And, believe me, I am not putting down NFIB members. They are the heart and soul of so many of our communities, if not all of them. It is just simply irrelevant to the discussion of this treaty. They are not people that are involved, by and large, in manufacturing. They do not handle chemicals. So it is simply irrelevant. When we look at these various inspections that may be required under this treaty, I think the fact that Senator Biden led off with the statistics and how many companies may be subject to it and what the effect would be on those companies indicates, really, that the average American business, that is, a manufacturing business, that is potentially subject to this treaty really does not know what is going on. I commend the Chairman and this committee for the efforts made previously and for these hearings. These businesses really do not understand the scope of what is happening. We believe that Fourth and Fifth Amendment rights are in danger. I do not agree with you, Senator Biden, that the forms that the Department of Commerce has put out--yes, actually, filling out the form may take only 2.5 hours. It is the hours-- the hundreds of hours, perhaps, in gathering the information, seeing if you are using these chemicals, if somehow they are involved in your manufacturing process, either as something that you incorporate or that has been incorporated at an earlier stage. It is very difficult. The fact that a company may be subject to a fine up to $50,000 would put many of my members out of business or put them in a very difficult situation. So you can be sure they are not going to take 2 hours and simply fill out the form as quickly as possible. They are going to do their homework. They know what it is when there is an unannounced OSHA inspection or an EPA inspection, for instance, coming into their plant or factory. So, to conclude--the time goes very fast, I know--the U.S. Business and Industrial Council opposes this treaty. We do not think it is in the best interest of the United States, first and foremost, before we get to the business issues. And we think it places unnecessary and very heavy burdens on small- and medium-size business potentially. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. The Chairman. Thank you, Mr. Kearns. And if you wish to add to your statement for the printed record, please do. Mr. Kearns. Yes, I will submit the rest for the record. Thank you. [The prepared statement of Mr. Kearns follows:] Prepared Statement of Kevin L. Kearns Mr. Chairman, Members of the Committee: My name is Kevin L. Kearns and I serve as President of two organizations: the United States Business and Industrial Council and the Council For Government Reform. The first is a business league and the second is a grassroots lobbying group. While both groups oppose the Chemical Weapons Convention for the same reasons, I would like to highlight the business concerns in my testimony. First though I would like to thank the Committee for allowing me the opportunity to testify against what I believe is an ill-advised treaty. I realize that there are many patriotic Americans on both sides of this issue, including many distinguished former Cabinet officials and high-ranking military officers. And that there are difficult issues involved. However, I believe that on balance the treaty will harm U.S. interests far more than advance them. The US Business and Industrial Council was established in 1933 to give a voice in public policy debates to the thoughts of mid-sized, family-owned and run American companies. We are an advocacy organization that takes a national interest approach to public issues. USBIC is not a trade association and we don't have a PAC. We don't lobby for an individual company or an industry. We are funded through memberships from individuals and American firms representing more than 1,000 member companies with over 250,000 employees nation wide. I believe that USBIC differs from other business organizations because of the size and composition of our members. They are primarily family-owned or closely-held companies that maintain close ties to their community. USBIC members live and work along side their employees in the city or town where their company is located and believe that there is more to running a company than just the bottom line on a balance sheet. Mr. Chairman, The United States Business and Industrial Council opposes the Chemical Weapons Convention (CWC) because we believe that it is an irreparably flawed treaty. Although we understand that Sen. Helms is laboring mightily with Sen. Biden to correct both the excesses and deficiencies, we do not believe that process can correct all the treaty's problems. First, the CWC represents an unjustifiable erosion of American sovereignty. Second, the CWC presents a clear threat to national security of the United States since it increases rather than decreases the likelihood that chemical weapons will be used effectively against Americans. Third, the Chemical Weapons Treaty is unverifiable and will not stop outlaw states or others that wish to do so from hiding the manufacture and stockpiling of chemical weapons. Fourth, the CWC presents a grave challenge to the U.S. Constitution. The CWC's inspections will strip American businesses of their Fourth Amendment Rights. Fifth, the CWC represents another unfunded mandate from Washington placed squarely on the back of those businesses that can least afford it. CWC will add to the costs of manufacturing companies through new compliance costs. Finally, CWC will allow unparalleled opportunities for industrial espionage. At the Business and Industrial Council we believe that the only certain guarantor of American interests is American wealth and power. We do not place our hopes and the future of our children on supranational organizations. Thus each new treaty or agreement that comes along--whether in the field of disarmament, trade, the environment, law of the sea, etc.--whittles away at American sovereignty. One wonders why we bother to have a federal government at all if international bureaucracies are better suited to represent the aspirations of the American people. During the Cold War many believed that the only way to achieve peace was to lay down our sword. But that notion proved as illusory as the CWC is today. The U.S. won the Cold War by relying on our military strength and relying on our deterrent capability. Just as arms control was not the answer, we believe that the Chemical Weapons Convention is not the solution. Our best defense and deterrence to chemical weapons are having military capabilities that will allow a swift and sure response. President Clinton has concluded that this treaty will end the threat of chemical weapons worldwide. That is, I am sure, a sincere hope but a false one. There is simply no way to eliminate chemical weapons in the world. The chemical terrorist incident that recently occurred in Japan shows the difficulties in finding covert chemical manufacturing operations. Manufacturing facilities are easily concealed due to the small area needed for production. USBIC believes that the Chemical Weapons Convention represents a major infringement of U.S. sovereignty and the proprietary rights of manufacturers. The Chemical Weapons Convention clearly strips away our members' Fourth Amendment rights by authorizing and enforcing illegal search and seizure. CWC empowers a U.N.-style agency that may conduct detailed inspections of facilities on both regular and surprise basis. They can carry out these inspections without justification of suspected illegal activity or even a search warrant. America's large multinational chemical companies have endorsed CWC. But, if the Senate ratifies CWC, the CWC will create many problems for small and medium-sized chemical manufacturers and other non-related industries that process chemicals as part of their manufacturing operations. Included may be autos, auto parts, brewers and distillers, electronics, food processing, pharmaceuticals, paint and tire producers, and a host of other manufacturing industries. Mr. Chairman, large, multinational companies do not care about the CWC's massive regulatory burdens because they have the legal, financial and bureaucratic resources to absorb compliance costs. But, small companies have neither the resources nor staffs to absorb these costs. The Chemical Weapons Convention will force businesses to hire more lawyers plus add additional compliance personnel that must specialize in new regulation that CWC will present. Clearly, the CWC will place these small companies at a competitive disadvantage with their larger competitors. This is a key reason large companies are for the CWC and the small companies are against it. These inspections could cost individual companies anywhere from $10,000 to $500,000--a substantial unfunded mandate. CWC inspections could require up to eighty-four hours to complete and involve $50,000 fines even if inadvertent errors are made. There will never be an arrangement in CWC to stop it from effectively authorizing industrial espionage. The CWC offers no protections for company formulas and other trade secrets that inspectors may steal. Moreover, nothing would prevent unscrupulous countries from placing intelligence officers on the inspection team. The CWC will cost the American government millions simply to join up. Companies and the American taxpayers will pay $50 to $200 million for the privilege of handing over industrial secrets to competitors while not preventing chemical warfare or terrorism. An agreement to complete all inspections of chemical samples in the United States is not the answer. Corrupt countries will find covert ways to obtain chemical samples. Why should American businesses allow international inspectors the opportunity to obtain these chemical samples? Finally, abroad CWC inspections will not substantially reduce the proliferation of chemical weapons around the globe. Russia, with its huge stockpile of chemical weapons and massive production capability, has not ratified the CWC and will only ratify if American taxpayers will pay for it. Also the world's most notorious terrorist nations, Syria, North Korea, and Libya, refuse to ratify. China, a proliferator of nuclear and missile technologies, has not ratified. I think all Americans would support a treaty that ended the threat of chemical weapons. That is why we signed the Geneva Convention. USBIC believes an effective addition to the Geneva Convention would be the Chemical and Biological Weapons Threat Reduction Act of 1997, S. 495, sponsored by Senator Kyl (R-AZ). This bill would provide criminal and civil penalties for the unlawful acquisition, transfer, or use of any chemical or biological weapon. Our companies are constantly fighting against overregulation. Mid- sized and small American businesses are fed up with the government policies that favor multinational corporations. Too often government overregulates and makes it harder for smaller companies to survive. For example, we have an estate tax so high that too often our members are unable to pass their business on to the next generation. The Chemical Weapons Convention is a bad treaty that will only add to the heavy burden our companies face today. On behalf of the 1,000 member companies of the United States Business and Industrial Council (USBIC), I strongly urge you to oppose ratification of the Chemical Weapons Convention (CWC). The Chairman. Now, Mr. Wayne Spears is the kind of American I admire. He has started at the bottom, as I understand it, and heads a substantial company now. How many people do you employ? Mr. Spears. One thousand one hundred. The Chairman. One thousand one hundred. Well, we are so glad you came. And you may proceed. Mr. Spears. I will give it a shot. The Chairman. I know you will do well. Mr. Spears. It was a last-minute deal. The Chairman. You just relax and let us hear from you. Mr. Spears. I am not a real good spokesman. It is not my thing, but I am going to give it a shot. The Chairman. Very good. You will do well. STATEMENT OF WAYNE SPEARS, OWNER AND CEO, SPEARS MANUFACTURING, INC., SYLMAR, CALIFORNIA Mr. Spears. Mr. Chairman, I would like to submit a statement. The Chairman. Without objection, so ordered. Mr. Spears. Mr. Chairman, I want to compliment the committee for having this hearing on the many ways in which the Chemical Convention threatens to affect American business. I especially appreciate the opportunity you have given me to describe how it looks from the perspective of one of the companies that may be harmed by this treaty. My wife and I started Spears Manufacturing in 1969, in a 2,000-square-foot little building in Burbank, California. Today we employ over 1,000 people--1,100. We have over a million square feet of manufacturing space, 400,000 square feet of warehouse space in 10 States, Washington, Utah, California, Colorado, Texas, Georgia, Florida, Kansas, Illinois, Idaho, and Pennsylvania. And we started out in California. We are moving out of California as quickly as we can because of the regulations. The State is so tough. I mean, just to get a sewer permit takes forever. In regulations, what all of us are afraid of is what the gentleman just brought up. We manufacture plastic pipe fittings and valves for use in everything from agriculture--we even make plastic pipe fittings that are suitable for fire sprinkler fittings, for silicon chips and for industrial. And we manufacture in size from one-eighth-of-an-inch fitting up to a 32-inch-diameter fitting--huge things. We do use some chemicals. We use acetones, and we use some vinyl ester resins. We do not know what we will have to report or what is going to be reported. And, to add to that, we plan on putting in another half-million square feet of manufacturing space. And we have been sort of kicking it around, to try to get it done this year, to employ a couple of hundred more people. Not with the uncertainties of this treaty--we will not do that. That would be foolish on my part to do that. I solely own the company. I do not know what is going to happen. I do not trust what has happened. I do not trust this administration and what burdens they are apt to put on me. And I think that there is a lot of small business and medium-sized businesses like myself that just never gets around--we are so busy trying to run our business, we do not have time to pay attention to these things. And this thing was brought to my attention by one of my Senators from Idaho, who says that you better look into this; this may affect you. That is how I got involved. I did everything in the world to keep from coming here. Although I feel very honored. I feel very honored by all of you. I really do. Senator Biden. As Lincoln said, but for the honor---- Mr. Spears. I am just a poor, old Okie boy. In all honesty, I hitch-hiked from Oklahoma to California. I did not have anything. I did well. I want to try to give some of that back to the American people. And I am going to. I have wrote over 10,000 letters against this--over 1,000 to my employees. I have over 8,000 customers worldwide. And we do do business worldwide. We actually compete with the Taiwanese and all those kind of people. And, might I add, we do a very good job. We do some very unique things, because I love mechanical things. And we have been able to be very competitive. We actually sell--trademark things and put it on for other manufacturers. You may see our fittings around that have other people's names on them. We do such a good job that they cannot compete with us in Europe. We do it. And there is no way I want some guy coming into my plant, seeing what we do--one of these surprise inspections. I just do not want it. I do not even want to take a chance on it. Why would we, the American people, ever allow that to happen or even take a chance on it happening? We are the strongest country in the world. Let us not tear it down. As Mr. Forbes said, let us do it for America. That is about all I have got to say. Thank you. The Chairman. Well, you said it very eloquently, too, sir. [The prepared statement of Mr. Spears follows:] Prepared Statement of Wayne Spears Mr. Chairman, I want to commend the Committee for having this hearing into the many ways in which the Chemical Weapons Convention threatens to affect American businesses. I especially appreciate the opportunity you have given me to describe how it looks from the perspective of one of the companies that may be harmed by this treaty. My wife and I started Spears Manufacturing in 1969 in a 2,000 square foot space in Burbank, California. Today, we have over 1 million square feet of manufacturing space and about 400,000 square feet of warehouses in 10 states--Washington, Utah, California, Colorado, Texas, Georgia, Florida, Kansas, Illinois, Idaho and Pennsylvania. We employ more than 1,000 people. Our principal products are plastic pipe fittings and valves used for everything from agriculture to fire sprinklers to silicon chip- manufacturing to industrial applications. The sizes range from one- eighth-of-an-inch to 32-inches in diameter. We have established a unique niche in the world market with high quality, low-cost products that simply cannot be matched by any of our competitors, foreign or domestic. Naturally, we want to keep it that way, but others don't. We take very seriously the dangers posed by commercial espionage and other means of jeopardizing our proprietary technological edge. And because of our advanced technology and competitive position we have reason to believe we are at real risk of being targeted for these purposes. Let me say right up front that, as a businessman, I want less regulation, less red tape and less interference in my company's affairs from government bureaucrats. The way many of these folks are doing their jobs has the effect of making it a lot harder for me--and countless other American entrepreneurs--to bring good products to market at competitive prices and as efficiently as possible. For what it is worth, I believe the commitment the Republican Party has made to these principles has been a key ingredient in its success in achieving--and maintaining--control of the Congress. Therefore, I have been amazed to discover that a Republican Senate might actually consider approving a treaty that would add to the burdens imposed on thousands of American businesses by our own government. This Chemical Weapons Convention would also give foreign bureaucrats new powers that will add to the costs for companies like mine. There are others on this panel far better equipped to discuss all the fine points of this Convention. I look forward to learning more from them about this treaty and exactly how it will affect companies like mine--a subject that is creating great uncertainty at the moment. This is particularly important to me since I currently have plans to expand my operations by another half-a-million square feet, employing another 200-300 people in good-paying manufacturing jobs across the nation. It would be irresponsible for me to proceed with those plans without knowing if the CWC will jeopardize my company's competitive edge. Especially worrisome is the prospect that foreign inspectors could demand entry into my plants, gaining access to my records, procedures, inventory and customers data. These involve proprietary information that could, if stolen, cause my company real harm. And, from what I understand, there is every reason to believe that this could happen. The challenge inspections authorized by the CWC would be very different from the sorts of site-visits conducted periodically by U.S. government agencies assigned to monitor our compliance with environmental and health and safety regulations. Those American inspectors do not concern themselves with our sensitive manufacturing technology, just our employees' safety and our emissions. The CWC will put us in a position of having to open our doors to people well versed in our manufacturing techniques, who want our advanced technology and who are trained to collect this sort of information. We are so concerned about this problem that we do not even permit the suppliers of our manufacturing equipment to come into our plants. Even if my company's facilities are not challenge-inspected, the burdensome reports we might have to provide could be enough to tell foreign competitors a lot about how we do what we do. Mr. Chairman, I am sure I speak for many of my colleagues in American industry when I say that if this Chemical Weapons Convention really did get rid of chemical weapons, it would be worth it to us to accept some additional costs and risks associated with implementing such a treaty. As long as this Convention's defects make it unlikely to reduce the chemical warfare problem in any significant way, I find it unacceptable to impose these very high costs and risks on our businesses. I hope that instead of forcing this treaty on the American people and--on thousands of companies that have little knowledge about the implications of this deal--the Congress will approve S. 495, a bill cosponsored by you, Mr. Chairman, Senator Jon Kyl and most of the Republican leadership. This legislation seems to me to offer a valuable alternative to the CWC. It does practical things, like making it a crime for private U.S. citizens to make poison gas, while avoiding totally impractical actions like the Convention's verification regime which will hurt our business interests--but be ineffective in catching nations that cheat on their international commitments. Mr. Chairman, thank you for your brave leadership on this treaty. I very much hope that my testimony--and that of others who are critical of the CWC--will be useful to you in preventing this defective Convention from binding the United States at the expense of so many American businesses, their stockholders and their employees. The Chairman. Mr. Johnson. STATEMENT OF RALPH V. JOHNSON, VICE PRESIDENT, ENVIRONMENTAL AFFAIRS, DIXIE CHEMICAL COMPANY, INC., HOUSTON, TEXAS Mr. Johnson. Good afternoon. The Chairman. Good afternoon. Senator Biden. Good afternoon. Mr. Johnson. My name is Ralph Johnson. I am vice president of Environmental Affairs for Dixie Chemical Company. Dixie Chemical is a small, privately held chemical company, with its general offices in Houston, Texas, and its manufacturing plant is located in Pasadena, Texas. Dixie Chemical engages primarily in the manufacture of specialty organic chemicals, and we employ about 200 people. Dixie Chemical fully supports the intent of the Chemical Weapons Convention treaty. It is difficult to imagine how anyone would not support the removal of chemical weapons as a threat to mankind. At Dixie, we have expertise in the manufacture of specialty organic chemicals and the regulations associated with this manufacture. We have no expertise in foreign policy. Whether this treaty is a viable vehicle to eliminate chemical weapons is a question for this committee and for the Senate of the United States. As you Senators on this committee weigh the effectiveness of this treaty, you will need to be aware that this treaty presents some potentially serious problems to Dixie Chemical. At Dixie Chemical, we produce no chemical weapon chemicals, nor any precursor chemicals. We do not produce any Schedule I, II, or III chemicals. However, at Dixie, we would be required to submit a declaration that we produce discrete organic chemicals. Discrete organic chemicals is a category of lower-concern chemicals, and it encompasses virtually the entire universe of organic chemicals. This declaration would require some additional time on our part, but is not unduly burdensome. However, once we are declared as a discrete manufacturing chemical organic site, we then become subject to foreign inspections. If we use EPA inspections as an example, these foreign Chemical Weapon Convention inspections could cost up to maybe $50,000 per site. That is not a perfect number, but that is not a total guess either. These inspections would be very costly and burdensome. The biggest problem with these inspections, however, is not their cost but rather our highly probable loss of confidential business information. An inspector observing one of our reactors would know, for the product being observed, our operating pressures, temperatures, catalysts, reaction time, ingredients, purification methods, pollution abatement methods. We would no longer have any confidential technology, methodology, or know-how relative to this product. It would be gone forever. Specialty chemical manufacture is vastly different from that of large volume commodity chemicals, which are produced in continuous dedicated single product units operated by major chemical companies. Operating conditions and know-how for these commodity chemicals such as ethylene, propylene, high density polyethylene, can be licensed and/or purchased from manufacturers and engineering companies, both domestic and foreign. These operating conditions can also be found in the literature. Since the technology for commodity chemicals is widely available, competitive success usually depends on world- scale plants, percent of volume utilization, location to markets, and cost to feed stocks. Therefore, inspections would not necessarily result in any probable loss of confidential information, nor change the commodity producer's competitive position. On the other hand, specialty organic chemicals are made in low volume batch operations where the expertise and process know-how lies solely within the realm of the individual producer. Production volumes typically range from a few thousand pounds a year to a few million pounds. Several specialty organic products are usually made intermittently on a campaign basis in nondedicated multipurpose operating units. The process technology for these products has been internally developed by the individual producer, and it is the core of his competitive position. His technology is not licensable or purchasable unless he plans to go out of business on that specific chemical. Therefore, maintaining the confidentiality of this expertise is of paramount importance, and is the heart of the continuing existence of specialty organic chemical manufacture. Thank you for this opportunity to comment on this vital and perplexing problem. The Chairman. We thank you very much, sir. All right. I am advised a little bit belatedly that the Hon. Kathleen C. Bailey is going to read a couple of letters before she begins her testimony, so hold the light. STATEMENT OF HON. KATHLEEN C. BAILEY, SENIOR FELLOW, LAWRENCE LIVERMORE NATIONAL LABORATORY Ms. Bailey. Yes, sir. This is the testimony of Paul L. Eisman, senior vice president for refining of Ultramar Diamond Shamrock Corporation, hereinafter called UDS Corporation. Mr. Chairman: UDS is pleased to offer the following comments on the proposed Chemical Weapons Convention, or CWC treaty, which is being considered for ratification by this committee. Although UDS agrees that the production of chemical weapons should be halted, we think that this treaty as presently crafted provides little, if any, protection from the devastating impacts of chemical warfare. We find it ironic that this proposed treaty places a significantly greater regulatory burden on legitimate business operations that are in no way related to the production of chemical weapons, while not imposing similar requirements on countries such as Libya, Iraq, Syria, and North Korea, some of the very countries about which we should be most concerned. Our concerns relate to two specific issues, the increased paperwork and compliance costs created by the reporting requirement, and the significant risk of industrial espionage resulting from the presence of international inspection teams in our facilities. Increased paperwork is an enormous concern for UDS. In just the manufacturing portion of our business, over which I have direct responsibility, our production costs have increased significantly over the past few years to satisfy the recordkeeping and reporting requirements of new regulatory programs. This cost ultimately is passed on to our customers. A petroleum refinery uses many different chemicals in the production of gasoline and diesel. Based just on a cursory review of the treaty requirements, UDS would have to report the following chemicals at a minimum: chlorine, sulfur, hydrogen, hydrogen chloride, sulfuric acid, ammonia, and sodium hydroxide. Many of these chemicals are crucial for making gasoline and diesel to comply with existing U.S. and California reformulated fuel requirements. UDS cannot comply with the proposed reporting requirements with our current staff. We estimate it could cost as much as $500,000 per year to comply at all three of our U.S. refineries. We expect that these costs will be reflected in the higher prices at the pump. In addition, the reporting requirements will greatly reduce our operating flexibility because of the 5-day advance notification requirement for changing processes in which reportable chemical processes are used. Many factors often outside our control influence how our refinery operates from day to day. The advance notice requirement means that a change in our crude slate or in the availability of feed stocks, or even an equipment malfunction, could put our operations in violation of the reporting requirements and subject us to a $5,000 fine. Such a burden on business is untenable, particularly given the ubiquitous nature of the chemicals included on the reportable list. UDS is not prepared nor do we want to receive an international inspection team in our facilities. We understand that the Congressional Office of Technology Assessment estimates that these inspections could cost $10,000 to $50,000 per visit. It should be noted that these costs are in addition to the estimated yearly costs of compliance. Given the complexity of a modern refinery, we think that those costs are extremely optimistic. Moreover, there are no safeguards to ensure that the inspection teams will not gain access to unrelated or propriety information, nor are there any sanctions provided for inappropriate use of information thus gathered. All of the trade protections that we now receive under U.S. Law would thus be placed in jeopardy. This is an unacceptable security risk to place on U.S. Industry, especially when the most egregious users of chemical weapons will likely not even be covered by the treaty. UDS does not have a thorough understanding of the provisions of the CWC. However, what we do understand causes us grave concern. For the reasons cited above, enforcement and verification will be a nearly impossible task even in those countries with a strong compliance commitment, but if such countries as Libya, Iraq, Syria, and North Korea are refusing to be a party to this treaty, the likelihood of eliminating chemical warfare are slim indeed. The unacceptably high cost of business, coupled with the extremely low probability of success, leads us to conclude that this proposed treaty is bad for U.S. Economic and security interests. We urge you to reject this treaty unless and until the serious costs, security and enforcement problems it creates can be resolved. Sincerely, Paul L. Eisman, Senior Vice President for Refining, Ultramar Diamond Shamrock Corporation. Ms. Bailey. the next letter I have is from Sterling Chemicals, to the Hon. Jesse Helms, Chairman, Senate Foreign Relations Committee. It is dated April 15. Dear Mr. Chairman: Sterling Chemicals, Incorporated strongly supports a worldwide ban on the production, possession, and use of chemical weapons, but we are concerned about the mechanics and cost impacts associated with the proposed CWC. We had made our concerns known to the Hon. Senator Kay Bailey Hutchison last August. Highlights of our concerns are: 1. We have serious misgivings about the ability to protect confidential business information. Having a foreign inspection team inside our facility with almost unlimited access to process knowledge and data is not acceptable to Sterling. 2. Cost impact will be significant. We project costs just to prepare for managing and completing an inspection to be at least $200,000 to $300,000. This does not include performing duplicate sampling and analysis as well as calibration and verification of process instrumentation. 3. We cannot comply with the threat provisions within our current annual budget and head count. Sterling has reduced head count to maintain our competitiveness. We are doing more with less. We believe the additional datakeeping, recordkeeping and paperwork burden associated with this treaty cannot be managed with existing resources. 4. The EPA and OSHA, while participating as part of the inspection team, may become overzealous with their enforcement philosophy and begin citing violations as part of their own agenda while they are supposed to be monitoring the inspection team. Sterling Chemicals is not a foreign policy expert, yet we have serious misgivings about the foreign policy implications of the proposed CWC. For example, how will chemical weapon control be enforced in other countries such as Mexico, Colombia, North Korea, Iran, Iraq, Jordan, Libya, Croatia, et cetera? Since they probably will not cooperate, how does this treaty produce a worldwide ban? How will international security and foreign policy issues related to protection of trade secrets be handled? Will the cost and implementation of the treaty put American industry at a competitive disadvantage with foreign industry, whose compliance is less regulated? Sterling emphasizes its desire to see a worldwide ban on chemical weapons. We hope this submittal provides the information you seek for an informed decision which is best for America. Sincerely, Robert W. Roten, President and CEO of Sterling Chemicals. Ms. Bailey. And now, Mr. Chairman, may I proceed with my own testimony? The Chairman. Yes, ma'am. Ms. Bailey. I am Kathleen Bailey from Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory. Mr. Chairman, members of the committee, I am pleased to appear before you today to address the ratification of the Chemical Weapons Convention, CWC. I have studied this treaty for some years, first as Assistant Director of the Arms Control Agency and then as principal author of a major technical study sponsored by the U.S. Defense Nuclear Agency on the issue of how nations might cheat under the CWC. I am currently a senior fellow at my laboratory, but the views I express today are my own and not necessarily those of the University of California, my laboratory, or any other institution. Today, I will focus my remarks briefly on the impact of CWC challenge inspections on U.S. companies and on U.S. national security facilities. My bottom line is that the use of treaty inspections for espionage is easy, effective, and all but impossible to detect. The U.S. intelligence community officials have advocated ratification of the CWC, arguing that it would be ``another tool in the tool box'' for intelligence collection. Rarely, if ever, is it mentioned that the tool is every bit as effective in the hands of foreign intelligence services. One could argue that, indeed, the advantage is to foreign nations and to foreign companies, because it is the United States that has the most to lose in terms of classified national security information and confidential business information. Challenge inspections will rely on collection and analysis of samples to determine the presence or absence of key chemical compounds. A principal tool for analysis is the gas chromatograph mass spectrometer, or GC/MS for short, an instrument which can identify chemical compounds. This information can be used to determine not only what chemicals are in use at a particular site but also what processes are being employed. Such data is useful for determining whether a facility might be making chemical weapons, but it is also useful for gleaning confidential business information as well as classified national security data. I would like to quote now from a paper prepared by Dr. Ray McGuire, a chemist at Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, on the results of mock inspections conducted by the U.S. Government. In my written testimony I quote from this at length, and would like to submit it for the record. But briefly let me say that a mock inspection was held at a propellant production facility. Samples were taken outside of that facility and later analyzed using a variety of means, and the results did reveal classified data not only about the composition of the pro- pellant, such as oxidizers, binders, and burn rate modifiers, but also process information. Furthermore, a mock inspection was conducted at two industrial chemical plants using GC/MS technology. Batch production of a certain chemical could be detected at least 3 weeks after the production ended. Furthermore, other confidential business information was revealed. While this information may not be considered to be of much commercial value, it could be in cases where a foreign national is attempting to analyze and obtain confidential business information. I will submit my written statement for the record. It contains additional information on the Fourth Amendment issue, but I will close now given my time is short. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. [The prepared statement of Ms. Bailey follows:] Prepared Statement of Kathleen C. Bailey Introduction Mr. Chairman, Members of the Committee, I am very pleased to appear before you today to address the issue of ratifying the Chemical Weapons Convention (CWC). I have studied this treaty for some years, first as Assistant Director of the Arms Control and Disarmament Agency, and then as principal author of a major technical study sponsored by the U.S. Defense Nuclear Agency on the means by which nations might cheat under the CWC. I am currently a Senior Fellow at Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, but the views I express today are my own and not necessarily those of the University of California or any other institution. Today, I will focus my remarks on the impact of CWC challenge inspections on U.S. companies and on U.S. national security facilities. My bottom line is that use of treaty inspections for espionage is easy, effective, and all-but-impossible to detect. The Threat of Espionage US intelligence community officials have advocated ratification of the CWC, arguing that it will be ``another tool in the tool box'' for intelligence collection. Rarely, if ever, is it mentioned that the tool is every bit as effective in the hands of foreign intelligence services. One could argue that indeed the advantage is to foreign nations and companies, because it is the United States that has the most to lose in terms of classified national security information and confidential business information. CWC challenge inspections will rely on collection and analysis of samples to determine the presence or absence of key chemical compounds. A principal tool for analysis is the gas chromatograph/mass spectrometer (GC/MS) an instrument which can identify chemical compounds. This information can be used to determine not only what chemicals are in use at a particular site, but also what processes are employed. Such data is useful for determining whether a facility might be making chemical weapons agents, but it is also useful for gleaning confidential business information as well as classified national security information. I would like to quote from a paper prepared by Dr. Ray McGuire of Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory on the results of mock inspections conducted by the U.S. Government: In one of the early experiments, soil and water samples were collected in the near vicinity (a few feet to a few meters) of rocket propellant production buildings. No samples were collected from the inside of the buildings. These samples were analyzed at Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory for both organic and inorganic constituents. * * * While it was not possible to reproduce exact formulations from the results of this work, a significant and, in some cases, alarming amount of information could be extracted. The nature of the facilities--rocket propellant production--was easily determined. The general type of propellant being produced, strategic vs. tactical, could be defined in most instances. Certain key ingredients of some classified formulations, such as oxidizers, energetic binders and burn rate modifiers, were determinable. In three additional collections (involving wipe samples from building interiors and machinery in one case, and soil and waste water samples from just outside buildings in the others), the analytical techniques cited above were used with the addition of gamma ray spectroscopy for determining radioactive materials. In both these instances, it was possible to determine the materials being processed in the facilities examined and some, but not all, details of the processes themselves. In all of these cases, major portions of the information are classified for security reasons. In all of the cases cited above, classified data were disclosed. It was necessary in all cases to combine a series of analytical methods in order to obtain the sensitive results. Many of the techniques used would not be germane to CWC inspections. However, it was not necessary to employ a variety of sophisticated analytical tools to acquire sensitive information in exercises carried out at two industrial chemical plants. In one case, the batch production of a certain chemical could be detected at least three weeks after the production ended. While this information might not be considered to be of much commercial value, the results of the second ``inspection'' were. In this instance, not only was the product of the operation determined, but certain process details such as intermediates, reducing agents, were also detectable. This information was gathered from soil and water samples collected exterior to the buildings and used on GC/MS for analysis. [emphases added] CWC negotiators were aware that sample analysis could reveal sensitive information and sought to limit the potential for abuse by limiting the ``library'' of compounds for which inspections could look, and by assuring that samples would not be taken off-site unless it were necessary to resolve questions that on-site analysis could not answer. Despite these precautions, it is quite easy to acquire samples for later analysis. One means is analysis of residue remaining in the GC/MS equipment. Research conducted at Lawrence Livermore Laboratory proved that even thorough decontamination does not remove all residue. To prevent subsequent analysis off-site of that residue, the company or facility concerned would have to purchase and retain all of the GC/MS components that were exposed to the sample. This would cost approximately $15,000 per inspection. A more likely scenario for espionage would be clandestine sampling. Sample collection could be as simple as taking swipes with a ``handkerchief'' or collecting air in a vial disguised, for example, as a ballpoint pen. It would be all-but-impossible to detect, let alone halt, such secret sampling. Although I have emphasized sampling and analysis, it is also possible to use inspections for espionage in other ways. A knowledgeable inspector can learn much by observing the way a facility is configured, how operations are performed, temperatures, and other features. Equally important may be the opportunity to ask questions of facility employees and to review records and data. The fact that inspectors will have the opportunity to take pictures adds to the risk that secrets will be compromised. It is worth noting that some treaty proponents dismiss these concerns, saying that if there were a genuine risk, companies and facilities with something to lose would have objected. There are ready answers why they have not. First, there is ample evidence that most companies which will be directly affected have either not heard of the treaty, or not focused on it. Second, there is a pervasive belief that inspections--even challenge inspections--will apply only to companies that manufacture chemicals. When I told a Bay Area biotechnology firm that it could be challenge inspected, the attorney for the firm replied, ``No one would want to inspect us. We don't manufacture chemicals.'' When I explained that challenge inspection could be of any site, regardless of its activity, the attorney replied, ``The Constitution protects us against things like that.'' The Fourth Amendment Issue The company representative whom I quote is probably right. The fourth amendment guarantees against warrantless searches and seizures and requires that probable cause be demonstrated prior to issuance of a criminal warrant. A private citizen or U.S. company may chose to decline a request for a CWC challenge inspection, thus requiring a criminal warrant for the inspection to proceed. Probable cause must be demonstrated before proper authorities can issue a criminal warrant. In the case of CWC inspections, this raises a problem because the country making a challenge inspection request is not required to provide evidence that would fit the requirements for probable cause--it may simply assert wrongdoing without providing substantiation. The requesting country does not have to identify the name or exact location of the company to be inspected until 12 hours before international inspectors are due to arrive at the port of entry. Thus, without the proper information to demonstrate probable cause to a U.S. judicial official, it will be extraordinarily difficult, if not impossible, to gain a timely criminal warrant for a challenge inspection. A related question is that it is unclear whether a criminal warrant may be administered in effect by foreign nationals. Can OPCW officials substitute for U.S. officials in a search? If indeed challenge inspections can be rejected under the U.S. Constitution, there will be negative repercussions not only for the CWC, but for the future of arms control. The CWC verification regime, which will cost the taxpayers greatly, will not be implemented in any meaningful way. More importantly, such a scenario would surely cloud the future of arms control. Other nations would follow the example of the United States in rejecting challenge inspections as well as any treaties which are based on the CWC model. The Issue of Preparing National Security Facilities In closing, I would like to raise an issue to the Committee which I feel is important, but which has not been considered as yet--the need to assess the costs of preparing U.S. national security facilities for CWC challenge inspections. This preparation must take place well before any potential inspections, and requires a substantial budget. Last year, preparation of Savannah River Plant for a Russian visit cost approximately $400,000. Estimates of cost requirements to prepare a facility within Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory for a CWC inspection are $250,000. The Department of Defense facilities are expected to require between $200,000-$500,000 each. Of course, some of these costs are non-recurring, but some will arise any time an inspection is to occur. Mr. Chairman, if there is confidential or classified data that can be lost through use of GC/MS equipment, from observation, or from interviews, preparation may be futile in the event that a determined spy poses as an inspector. However, to minimize losses and to protect the data that is protectable, U.S. national security facilities must be prepared. Preparation will require substantial effort and resources. Thank you. The Chairman. Thank you, ma'am. I know the answer to the question, but I want it for the record. Have you served in any administration under any President? Ms. Bailey. Yes, sir. I served as Assistant Director for the Arms Control and Disarmament Agency under President Reagan. The Chairman. Do you know whether President Reagan ever endorsed a treaty of this sort? Ms. Bailey. Not to my knowledge and, sir, I would add that this treaty as it ultimately ended up is not at all as Reagan officials, at least as far as I knew, envisioned it. The Chairman. Well, I have had several people prominent in the Reagan administration say that they never saw it in this form. They never approved it, and they are confident that Ronald Reagan himself never approved a treaty like this. Mr. Merrifield. STATEMENT OF HON. BRUCE MERRIFIELD, FORMER ASSISTANT SECRETARY OF COMMERCE Dr. Merrifield. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. My doctorate is in physical organic chemistry, and I have been in the chemical industry most of my life, starting with Monsanto and ending up as vice president of Continental Group, the Continental Can Company. I came to the Commerce Department to head up the technology function there during the Reagan administration, and I was also Under Secretary of Economic Affairs for a time. Since then I have had an endowed chair at the Wharton Business School, as professor of entrepreneurial management; but I have also started a company, a high tech company, which is a major breakthrough in electrical energy storage, and it has a lot of process technology which is highly proprietary. But my mission at Commerce, of course, was to try to renew the industrial competitiveness of the United States, since we were not competitive at that time. The Japanese were putting together vertically integrated consortia, and we could not even talk to each other. They were capturing all of the consumer electronics and mass memory business in semiconductors and so forth. So a critical problem then was, first, to get the antitrust laws changed, those 100-year-old laws. President Reagan, when I first met him said, Bruce, why don't you change the antitrust laws. Well, it took about 4 years. Subsequently, I started hundreds of consortia while I was at Commerce, including SEMATECH and a lot of others. My office also put through the tech transfer acts of 1984 and 1986, which cut the Government out of owning its technology and made billions of dollars available of R&D to the private sector. The Baldrige Award, the technology medal, the process patent technology which strengthens our process patents were enacted. Process technology was very critical at that time, because anybody operating outside this country could operate under our process patents and then export to the United States. We got that changed. The patent extension act was another success. We did a lot of good things, increasing at least the environment for industrial competitiveness here; and as a result we are now the most competitive country in the world, and that is very important. This law would mitigate that capability, that competency, very significantly. Through industrial espionage somewhere between $25 billion and $100 billion is lost each year. It is important now, in that this CWC law would open the floodgates of espionage to our proprietary technology, which is the heart of our competitiveness. Technology is the engine of competitiveness, and it is important that we maintain it. We have an incredible thing going here in this country. We currently spend about $25 billion a year in basic research, much more than any other country in the world can spend or has the capability to spend or match in any reasonable time. As a result, we get most of the Nobel prizes. We make most of the seminal discoveries. It is that basic technology that is the heart of our competitive advantage in this country, and it is terribly important that we protect that. It is awfully important that we not allow it to slip away with these challenge investigations that give you 12 hours' notice, with people showing up at your door without you even knowing they are going to be there. Basically this all started with Vanover Bush back in 1945. We made thousands of liberty ships and advanced aircraft and the Norton bomb site and radar, and we detonated the atomic bomb, which absolutely stunned the scientific community. As a result, Vanover Bush captured the euphoria of the moment in a report to the President calling research the endless frontier. As a result of that, we started the National Science Foundation. Since then, we have pumped about $1 trillion into our academic community, our universities and our government labs. That is the capability that is unique in this country. It is our competitive advantage. We need to protect it. Those are our crown jewels, and it is awfully important that we not let that slip away. Competitive advantage, industrial competitiveness, is the primary concern of America, and this convention certainly is not going to help that at all. It is going to mitigate that capability. Let us not forget for a minute that we have this incredible capability. We have 15 million companies in this country that can translate new discoveries into useful things. No other nation has that. We have this entrepreneurial culture which has permission to try and fail and try again until we succeed without fear of personal loss or penalty. We have the most flexible capital development capability. We have the world's largest market. We have one common language. We have everything in spades. We need to protect and nurture it, and it is important that we not allow it to be mitigated by some naive, well-intentioned law such as this one. Thank you. The Chairman. Mr. Secretary, thank you very much. Has anybody called you that lately? Dr. Merrifield. I'm sorry? The Chairman. I said, ``Mr. Secretary, thank you very much.'' Has anybody called you ``Mr. Secretary'' lately? Dr. Merrifield. Not lately. The Chairman. Sir, please pronounce your name for me correctly. Mr. Reinsch. It's ``Reinsch.'' The Chairman. Thank you. You are recognized, sir. Thank you for coming. STATEMENT OF HON. WILLIAM A. REINSCH, UNDER SECRETARY OF COMMERCE FOR EXPORT ADMINISTRATION Mr. Reinsch. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. It is a pleasure to be here to talk a little bit about the Commerce Department's prospective role in the implementation of this convention if it is ratified. We expect to have a key role for industry liaison, and I want to assure you from the beginning that, taking into account the need for full and effective implementation of the convention's verification regime, we are committed to minimizing costs to the industry and to maximizing the protections of company confidential information in the two major areas which will affect the U.S. commercial sector, which are data declarations and inspections. I would like to speak briefly about each of those, if I may. Commerce has developed user friendly draft data declaration forms and instructions to complete them. No information is requested that is not specifically required by the CWC. These materials have been field tested and refined based on comments from industry, including the Chemical Manufacturers Association. We have also provided copies of these forms to the committee's staff. I am pleased to note that we have consistently received positive feedback from those who have reviewed them. The administration estimates that about 2,000 plant sites will be required to file data declarations. Of those 2,000, we estimate that over 90 percent belong to a category called unscheduled discreet organic chemicals, or DOC's, as the gentleman from Dixie Chemical referred to them. The DOC data declaration is a very simple form that asks the company to specify the location of the plant site and its general range of production--e.g., this plant site produced over 10,000 metric tons of DOC's last year, or whatever it was. Mr. Chairman, I brought one along to demonstrate for you how simple I think it is. It consists of three pages. Page one is essentially name, address, type of declaration, with a couple of boxes to check. Page two is location of the facility and point of contact there, with a box or two to check. Page three, which is about a half page, consists essentially of checking the box as to what your level of production is. This is not a complicated form. It is not a complicated process, and it is not a complicated set of instructions. Now, to ensure that the treaty remains focused on the most relevant industries, certain other industries have been exempted from the CWC data declaration process. For example, these exemptions apply to plant sites that produce explosives exclusively, produce hydrocarbons exclusively, refine sulfur containing crude oil, produce oligimers and polymers, such as plastics and synthetic fibers, and produce unscheduled chemicals via a biological or a biomediated process, such as beer and wine, which I know will be of great comfort to many people. About 10 percent of the data declarations focus on the CWC's scheduled chemicals. These declarations are more involved, but still do not constitute a heavy and complicated reporting burden for the 140 or so firms that will be asked to comply. Most of these are larger companies and members of CMA, who are likely to have accumulated much of the needed information for other purposes. In any event, I want to assure you that Commerce will provide substantial assistance to industry in the data declaration process if it turns out to be needed. We will help firms determine if they have a reporting requirement. We will develop a commodity classification program similar to the one we have for export licensing. If a company does not know if its chemicals are covered, it can ask us for a determination. If firms do have a reporting requirement, our technical staff will assist them in filing their declarations. We will also seek to put in place a system that enables firms to complete and file these forms electronically. This is a system that we already have in place for our export licenses. Firms also want this data to be fully protected from unauthorized disclosure. We fully understand that concern and have substantial experience through our export licensing system in protecting company confidential information as part of our current responsibilities. Our CWC information management system will be in a secure location and will be only accessible to and operated by staff with appropriate clearances. Now with respect to inspections, we will be charged with managing the CWC process inspections for U.S. commercial facilities. That applies to both routine and challenge inspections. We will identify firms that are likely to be subject to routine inspection and work with them to develop draft facility agreements that will protect company confidential information. These agreements will set forth the site specific ground rules for the conduct of inspections. We estimate that about 40 U.S. com- mercial plant sites each year will be subject to routine inspections. Our objective is to develop draft facility agreements before these inspections take place in order to give firms an opportunity to identify their confidential information and processes. In this regard, we will work with firms to determine what constitutes company confidential information and will protect U.S. firms against any unwarranted request by international inspectors. We anticipate very few challenge inspections. In the event there is one of a non-defense commercial facility, we would have the lead role managing access to ensure that the international inspectors obtain, by the least intrusive means possible, only the information and data that are relevant to specified noncompliance concerns. Firms would be under no obligations to answer questions unrelated to a possible violation of the CWC. As with routine inspections, we will work closely with firms to determine what constitutes company confidential information, and we will protect firms against unwarranted requests that may be made by international inspectors. Mr. Chairman, I can stop now or I can keep going for about 1\1/2\ more minutes, whatever you prefer. Senator Biden. I'm not the chairman but I would hope he would let you go for 1\1/2\ minutes since Ms. Bailey got to read 2 letters. Senator Hagel (presiding): I guess I am the only Republican here. It's great the way it works around here. Senator Biden. Let's vote. Senator Hagel. I'm the Chairman. Do you want to get it over with, Joe? Senator Biden. Yes. Senator Hagel. Please continue. Mr. Reinsch. I will talk fast, Senator. Thank you. Senator Hagel. Take your time. Mr. Reinsch. Let me make a brief comment about the Australia Group and about export controls, since that is part of my responsibility. Some critics have expressed concern that the treaty will undermine the existing chemical nonproliferation export controls that have been developed by the Australia Group. I want to assure you that that is not the case. Article I of the CWC commits States Parties to refrain from assisting any chemical weapon program in any way. The Australia Group's regime of export controls is end user/end use driven and is fully consistent with our obligations under Article I. It is not a regime of trade restrictions aimed at impeding any country's economic development. Rather, the Australia Group's controls focus exclusively on restricting transfers to end users of concern. Accordingly, we will continue to strongly support the Australia Group after the CWC enters into force. We will not be required by the CWC to liberalize nonproliferation export controls to rogue nations, such as Iran and Libya, even if they ratify the CWC. However, when considering export controls, it is important to note that the CWC mandates trade restrictions that affect countries who do not ratify. Senator Kerry made this point in his dialog with Mr. Forbes. The real concern regarding export controls is that our allies and friends who have ratified the CWC will be required to impose controls on us that will have an adverse impact on U.S. industry if we do not ratify. Further, if we fail to join the CWC as part of the responsible family of nations, our overall leadership role within the nonproliferation community will be severely eroded and our ability to maintain a strong presence within the Australia Group will be lost. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. I think I will stop now and ask you to put the full statement in the record. Senator Hagel. Without objection, yes. [The prepared statement of Mr. Reinsch follows:] Prepared Statement of William A. Reinsch Good Morning Mr. Chairman and Members of the Committee: I am pleased to be here today to discuss the Commerce Department's prospective role in the implementation of the Chemical Weapons Convention (CWC). The Bureau of Export Administration (BXA) is expected to have a key role for industry liaison, and I am here to assure you, that taking into account the need for full and effective implementation of the convention's verification regime, we are committed to minimizing costs to industry and to maximizing protections of company confidential information in the two major areas that will affect the U.S. commercial sector--data declarations and inspections. Data Declarations Commerce has developed user-friendly draft data declaration forms and instructions to complete them. No information is requested that is not specifically required by the CWC. These materials have been field tested and refined based on comments from industry, including the Chemical Manufacturers Association (CMA). Copies of these forms have also been provided to the committee's staff. I am pleased to note that we have consistently received positive feedback from those who have reviewed the forms and their instructions. The administration estimates that about 2,000 plant sites will be required to file data declarations. Of these 2,000, we estimate that over 90% belong to a category called ``Unscheduled Discrete Organic Chemicals'' (DOCs). The DOC data declaration is a very simple form that asks the company to specify the location of the plant site and its general range of production (e.g., this plant site produced over 10,000 metric tons of DOCs last year). No specific chemical identification, product mix or other substantive information is requested, and the declaration can therefore be completed quickly and without revealing sensitive data. I want to stress that the DOC declaration does not ask for any information on acquisition, processing, imports, or exports. To ensure that the treaty remains focused on the most relevant industries, certain other industries have been exempted from the CWC data declaration process. For example, these exemptions apply to plant sites that produce explosives exclusively, produce hydrocarbons exclusively, refine sulphur-containing crude oil, produce oligimers (o lig i mers) and polymers (such as plastics and synthetic fibers) and produce unscheduled chemicals via a biological or bio-mediated process (such as beer and wine). About 10% of the data declarations focus on the CWC's scheduled chemicals. These declarations are more involved but still do not constitute a heavy and complicated reporting burden for the 140 or so firms that will be asked to comply. Most of these are larger companies and members of CMA who are likely to have accumulated much of the needed information for other purposes. In any event, I want to assure you that Commerce will provide substantial assistance to industry in the data declaration process if it turns out to be needed. We will help firms determine if they have a reporting requirement. We will develop a commodity classification program similar to the one we have for export licensing. If a company doesn't know if its chemicals are covered by the CWC, it can ask Commerce for a determination. If firms do have a reporting requirement, Commerce technical staff will assist them in filing their declarations. In short, we do not believe that firms will be required to hire outside consultants to complete the CWC forms. We will also seek to put in place a system that enables firms to complete and file data declarations electronically. Firms also want this data to be fully protected from unauthorized disclosure. We fully understand that concern and have substantial experience in protecting company confidential information as part of our current export licensing responsibilities. I want to assure you that our CWC Information Management System will be in a secure location and will be only accessible to and operated by staff with appropriate clearances. I also want to stress that the administration's draft CWC implementing legislation provides strong protections for company confidential information, and I hope this legislation will be taken up as soon as possible after the Senate's vote on ratification. Inspections The Commerce Department will be charged with managing the CWC inspection process of U.S. commercial facilities. There will be two types of inspections--routine and challenge. Routine inspections are conducted to confirm the validity of data declarations and the absence of Schedule I chemicals. They are not based on any suspicion or allegation of non-compliance with the CWC. Inspectors will not be permitted unrestricted access to U.S. facilities under this regime, because the inspection may not exceed the limited purpose for which it is authorized. I can assure you that no ``fishing expeditions'' will be permitted as part of the CWC inspection process, because the Commerce Department will not permit it to happen. Commerce will identify firms that are likely to be subject to routine inspection and work with them to develop draft ``Facility Agreements'' that will protect company confidential information. These Facility Agreements, which must be concluded between the U.S. and the Organization for the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons, will set forth the site-specific ground rules for the conduct of inspections. We estimate that about 40 U.S. commercial plant sites each year will be subject to routine inspections. Commerce's objective is to develop draft Facility Agreements before inspections take place in order to give firms an opportunity to identify their confidential information and processes. In this regard, we will work with firms to determine what constitutes company confidential information and will protect U.S. firms against any unwarranted requests by international inspectors. Under the implementing legislation, firms will participate in the preparations for the negotiation of Facility Agreements and the right to be present when the negotiations take place. This is yet another reason why Congress should take up the implementing legislation as soon as possible after passage of the Resolution of Ratification. Challenge inspections are conducted based on an allegation of noncompliance. These inspections may only be requested by a State Party to the CWC and can be directed at declared and undeclared facilities. We anticipate few challenge inspections. In the event that there is a challenge inspection of a non-defense U.S. commercial facility, Commerce would have the lead role ``managing access'' to ensure that the international inspectors obtain by the least intrusive means possible only the information and data that are relevant to the specified noncompliance concerns. Firms would be under no obligation to answer questions unrelated to a possible violation of the Chemical Weapons Convention. As with routine inspections, Commerce will work closely with firms to determine what constitutes company confidential information and will protect U.S. firms against any unwarranted requests that may be made by international inspectors. Since Commerce will be responsible for ``managing access,'' we will abide no administrative harassment of U.S. companies or ask them to reply to any questions not directly related to CWC compliance. Mr. Chairman, I also want to stress that the CWC gives us the right to screen the list of inspectors before any foreign national is permitted to conduct verification activities on our soil. We certainly intend to exercise our right to screen that list and to disapprove any individuals we find unsuitable. With regard to the overall CWC inspection process, I understand there have been concerns raised about Constitutional protections regarding unreasonable search and seizure. No treaty that is inconsistent with the U.S. Constitution has U.S. legal effect, and the CWC involves no such inconsistency. We anticipate that most firms will permit CWC inspections on a voluntary basis, but in cases where access is not granted voluntarily, the U.S. Government would always obtain a search warrant before proceeding. Australia Group and Export Controls Mr. Chairman, some critics have expressed concern that the treaty will undermine the existing chemical non-proliferation export controls that have been developed by the ``Australia Group.'' As head of the agency that administers dual-use export controls, I want to assure you that this is not the case. Article I of the CWC commits States Parties to refrain from assisting any chemical weapon program in any way. The Australia Group's regime of export controls is end-user/end-use driven and is fully consistent with our obligations under Article I of the CWC. It is not a regime of trade restrictions aimed at impeding any country's economic development. Rather, the Australia Group's controls focus exclusively on restricting transfers to end-users of concern. Accordingly, we will continue to strongly support the Australia Group after the CWC enters into force, and we will not be required by the CWC to liberalize non-proliferation export controls to rogue nations such as Iran and Libya--even if they ratify the CWC. However, when considering export controls, it is important to note that the CWC mandates trade restrictions that affect countries who do not ratify. Therefore, the real concern regarding export controls is that our allies and friends who have ratified the CWC will be required to impose controls on us that will have an adverse impact on U.S. industry if we do not ratify. Further, if we fail to join the CWC as part of the responsible family of nations, our overall leadership role within the nonproliferation community will be severely eroded and our ability to maintain a strong presence within the Australia Group will be lost. Conclusion Mr. Chairman, the time has come for us to join the growing consensus to ratify the treaty that we have promoted for so many years under both Republican and Democratic administrations. I believe that we are far better off with the CWC than without it. The United States has always been the world leader in fighting the proliferation of weapons of mass destruction and we must not shrink from that challenge at this critical juncture. Further, we must not abandon the American chemical industry who worked with us for so many years to develop this treaty and who would be disadvantaged in world markets if we fail to act responsibly. In short, the CWC will not impose unreasonable burdens on U.S. industry, but failure to ratify the CWC will certainly damage our overall international economic and non-proliferation interests. Senator Hagel. Mr. Webber, you are no stranger around here. It is good to have you. STATEMENT OF FREDERICK WEBBER, PRESIDENT, CHEMICAL MANUFACTURERS ASSOCIATION, WASHINGTON, D.C. Mr. Webber. Thank you, Senator. First of all, I want to reassure you that you are not the only Republican in the room. Second, being an old Marine, I am used to being outnumbered, and I see that we are very much outnumbered here today. But I sort of like those odds. My name is Fred Webber, and I am president of the Chemical Manufacturers Association. I would like to enter into the record a letter that my board signed yesterday. We had our spring board meeting. It is a letter endorsing the Chemical Weapons Convention. There are 50 men on my board representing America's chemical companies of all sizes. And, by the way, a third of our membership, which is almost 200 chemical companies, is made up of companies with sales less of less than $100 million. So, indeed, we consider those to be small businesses. Senator Hagel. Without objection. [The information referred to follows:] April 15, 1997. Hon. Trent Lott, Senate Majority Leader, United States Senate, Washington, DC 20510. Dear Senator Lott: We, the undersigned members of the Chemical Manufacturers Association's Board of Directors, are writing to ask you to support the Chemical Weapons Convention (CWC). We believe the Convention is a fair and effective international response to the international threat of chemical weapons proliferation. Ratifying the CWC is in the national interest. The CWC is a natural extension of existing U.S. policy. In 1985, Congress voted to end production of chemical weapons by the military and to begin destroying existing stockpiles. For years, the United States has imposed the world's strongest controls on exports of weapons-making ingredients. Our nation is the standard bearer in preventing the spread of chemical weapons. The CWC requires other nations to do what the United States is already doing. That's why President Reagan proposed the treaty to the United Nations in 1984. It's why President Bush signed the treaty in Paris in 1993. And it's why President Clinton is asking the Senate to ratify it. The chemical industry has thoroughly examined the CWC. We have tested the treaty's record-keeping and inspection provisions. And we have concluded that the benefits of the CWC far outweigh the costs. Ratifying the CWC is the right thing to do. We urge you to vote for the Convention. Sincerely, Frederick L. Webber, President & CEO, Chemical Manufacturers Association J. Lawrence Wilson, Chairman & CEO, Rohm and Haas Company; Chairman, Board of Directors, Chemical Manufacturers Association John E. Akitt, Executive Vice President, Exxon Chemical Company Phillip D. Ashkettle, President and CEO, Reichhold Chemicals, Inc. Bernard Azoulay, President and CEO, Elf Atochem North America William G. Bares, Chairman and CEO, The Lubrizol Corporation Jerald A. Blumberg, Executive Vice President, DuPont; Chairman, DuPont Europe Michael R. Boyce, CEO & President, Harris Chemical Group Vincent A. Calarco, Chairman, President & CEO, Crompton & Knowles Corporation William R. Cook, Chairman, President and CEO, BetzDearborn Inc. Albert J. Costello, Chairman, President & CEO, W.R. Grace & Co. Davis J. D'Antoni, President, Ashland Chemical Company John R. Danzeisen, Chairman, ICI Americas Inc. Earnest W. Deavenport, Jr., Chairman of the Board and CEO, Eastman Chemical Company R. Keith Elliott, Chairman, President & CEO, Hercules Incorporated Darryl D. Fry, Chairman, President and CEO, Cytec Industries Inc Michael C. Harnetty, Division Vice President, 3M Richard A. Hazleton, Chairman & CEO, Dow Corning Corporation Alan R. Hirsig, President & CEO, ARCO Chemical Company Gerald L. Hoerig, President, Syntex Chemicals, Inc. Jack L. Howe, Jr., President, Phillips Chemical Company Jon M. Huntsman, Jr., Vice Chairman, Huntsman Corporation Donald M. James, President & CEO, Vulcan Materials Company Dale R. Laurance, President and Sr. Operating Officer, Occidental Petroleum Corporation Raymond W. LeBoeuf, President & CEO, PPG Industries, Inc. James A. Mack, President & CEO, Cambrex Corporation Hans C. Noetzli, President & CEO, Lonza, Inc. Robert G. Potter, Executive Vice President Monsanto Company Arthur R. Sigel, President & CEO, Velsicol Chemical Corporation Enrique J. Sosa, Executive Vice President, Chemicals Sector, Amoco Corporation William Stavropoulos, President & CEO, The Dow Chemical Corporation F. Quinn Stepan, Chairman & President, Stepan Company S. Jay Stewart, Chairman and CEO, Morton International, Inc. Robert O. Swanson, Executive Vice President, Mobil Corporation Rudy van der Meer, Member, Board of Management, Akzo Nobel nv Jeroen van der Veer, President & CEO, Shell Chemical Company George A. Vincent, Chairman, President & CEO, The C.P. Hall Company J. Virgil Waggoner, President & CEO, Sterling Chemicals, Inc. H.A. Wagner, Chairman & CEO, Air Products & Chemicals, Inc. Helge H. Wehmeier, President & CEO, Bayer Corporation Ronald H. Yocum, President & CEO, Millennium Petrochemical Company Mr. Webber. I might also add, Mr. Chairman, that Virgil Wagner, Vice Chairman of Sterling Chemical Company and a member of our board signed that letter yesterday afternoon at 11:00-- excuse me, yesterday morning--and that, second, Mr. Robert Potter, Chairman and President of the new Monsanto Company-- your old company, sir--firmly endorsed that letter. Monsanto has always been on record supporting the Chemical Weapons Convention. So I was rather surprised today to hear about that letter and the concern. The industry I represent is America's largest export industry. We sell over $365 billion worth of chemicals. We export over $60 billion of those. We employ about 1.1 million people in what I would call well-paying jobs. As you know, we have been a firm and frequent advocate of this convention. We have appeared before this committee on four separate occasions. We have the major voice of the regulated business community on the convention. We have 20 years of experience working closely with Republican and Democratic administrations. We know how this treaty indeed affects our commercial interests. Our long-standing support for the convention is rooted in the belief that the treaty is the right thing to do, and it is the right way to control the spread of chemical weapons. The chemical industry does not produce chemical weapons. We do, however, make products used in medicine, crop protection, and fire prevention, which can be converted into weapons agents. The industry has a special responsibility to prevent illegal diversions of our products. We take that responsibility very, very seriously. That is why, frankly, I am outraged by the remarks made before this committee about the U.S. Chemical industry, remarks that strongly suggest that our support for the Chemical Weapons Convention is motivated by a desire to supply dangerous chemicals for rogue nations. I am very disappointed in Mr. Forbes' comments about blood money. I thought they were very, very unfortunate. Remarks that also suggest that we are trying to gut the U.S. export control regime and dismantle multilateral control organizations, like the Australia Group, frankly, again, deeply offend us. The chemical industry is proud of its record of support for U.S. antiproliferation efforts. We have long supported this Nation's tough export control laws, the toughest export control laws in the world; as they are necessary measures to assure that commercial interests do not contribute to the spread of chemical weapons. No one has done more than the U.S. chemical industry to make the Export Administration Act an effective control system. No one has done more to build and support multilateral control organizations like the Australia Group. The charges made here last week against our industry are shameful and, frankly, they bring dishonor and discredit to those who make them. We support the convention because it is a logical extension of U.S. policy. It will make our Nation's antiproliferation objectives more reachable by applying our high standards to other nations. The treaty simply forces other nations to do what we are already doing--destroying our chemical weapons stocks. We have been committed to the success of the CWC for over 20 years. Indeed, one of the great leaders was a man by the name of Will Carpenter, again of Monsanto Corporation. We have been a true partner of the U.S. Government in negotiating this treaty. We began with many of the same concerns about the treaty that have been voiced here. We have worked hard to protect U.S. industrial interests, especially proprietary information. We helped to de- velop the protocols guiding the treaty's inspection and recordkeeping requirements, and we put those protocols to live fire tests over and over again. Protecting confidential business information was our industry's top priority. We think we achieved our goal in the treaty text and the inspection procedures developed to implement the treaty. In addition, we field tested the declaration formats and concluded that the requirements are reasonable and manageable. Some claim that the CWC will impose a massive regulatory burden on companies. That is not true. I have about 1 minute to go, sir, if I may. Senator Hagel. Mr. Webber, go right ahead. Take your time. Mr. Webber. Thank you. The treaty was specifically drawn to focus attention on a relatively narrow segment of the chemical industry. Only some 200 facilities have both reporting and inspection obligations under the treaty. Most of these are member companies of CMA. Our involvement in preparing this treaty has made it a measurably better product than it would have been otherwise. As I said, our board yesterday reaffirmed its strong support for the convention. In summary, we believe the treaty is not a threat to U.S. business. This treaty passes muster. The chemical industry supports it. Again, we think the treaty is the right thing to do and we thank you very much. [The prepared statement of Mr. Webber follows:] Prepared Statement of Frederick L. Webber Good afternoon. My name is Fred Webber, and I am President and Chief Executive Officer of the Chemical Manufacturers Association. The industry I represent is America's largest export industry, with over 1 million American jobs. As you well know, CMA has been a frequent and vocal advocate for the Chemical Weapons Convention. We have appeared before this Committee on four separate occasions to testify on why the U.S. chemical industry believes this treaty is in the national interest. We are the major voice of the regulated business community on the Convention. We have 20 years of experience working closely with Republican and Democratic Administrations. We know how this treaty affects our commercial interests. Our long-standing support for the CWC is rooted in the belief that the treaty is the right thing to do. It is the right way to control the spread of chemical weapons. The chemical industry does not produce chemical weapons. We do, however, make products used in medicine, crop protection, and fire prevention, which can be converted into weapons agents. The chemical industry has a special responsibility to prevent illegal diversions of our products. We take that responsibility very, very seriously. That is why I am outraged by remarks made before this committee about the U.S. chemical industry--remarks that strongly suggest that our support for CWC is motivated by a desire to supply ``dangerous chemicals'' to rogue nations. Remarks that also suggest that we are trying to gut the U.S. export control regime and dismantle multilateral control organizations like the Australia Group deeply offend us. The chemical industry is proud of its record of support for U.S. anti-proliferation efforts. We have long supported this Nation's tough export control laws--the toughest export control laws in the world--as necessary measures to assure that commercial interests do not contribute to the spread of chemical weapons. No one has done more than the U.S. chemical industry to make the Export Administration Act an effective control system. No one has done more to build and support multilateral control organizations like the Australia Group. The charges made here last week against my industry are shameful and bring dishonor and discredit to those who make them. We support the CWC because it is a logical extension of U.S. policy. It will make our Nation's anti-proliferation objectives more reachable by applying our high standards to other nations. The treaty simply forces other nations to do what we are already doing, destroying our chemical weapons stocks. CMA has been committed to the success of the CWC for close to 20 years. We have been a true partner of the U.S. Government in negotiating this treaty. We began with many of the same concerns about the treaty that have been voiced here. We worked hard to protect U.S. industrial interests, especially proprietary information. We helped to develop the protocols guiding the treaty's inspection and recordkeeping requirements, and we put those protocols to live-fire tests over and over again. Protecting confidential business information was our industry's top priority. We achieved our goal in the treaty text and the inspection procedures developed to implement it. In addition, we field tested the declaration formats, and concluded that the requirements are reasonable and manageable. Some claim that the CWC will impose a massive regulatory burden on companies. That's not true. The treaty was specifically drawn to focus attention on a relatively narrow segment of the chemical industry. Only some 200 facilities have both reporting and inspection obligations under the CWC. Most of these are members of CMA. Our involvement in preparing this treaty has made it a measurably better product than it would otherwise have been. CMA's Board of Directors yesterday reaffirmed their strong support for the Chemical Weapons Convention. A copy of the CMA Board letter will be submitted for the Committee's record. In summary, we believe the treaty is not a threat to U.S. businesses. This treaty passes muster. The chemical industry supports it. The CWC is the right thing to do. Senator Hagel. Mr. Webber, thank you. Thank you all for your time and your contributions. Senator Biden, I think Senator Helms wanted to stay with the 7.5 minute questioning, if that is agreeable to you. Why don't you start and I will follow up. Senator Biden. Thank you very much. Mr. Webber, thank you. You would expect me to thank you and others would expect me to thank you. But thank you for such a clear, absolutely precise statement. I began to wonder. I say this again. You know, chemicals in my state are not a small operation. They are 51 percent of the manufacturing base of my state. I have not heard anybody in my state out there who manufactures chemicals coming to me and saying this is a bad idea, and I think almost all of them belong to your organization. I may be mistaken. Maybe somebody does not, but I think they all do. Mr. Webber. I believe they do. Senator Biden. Ms. Bailey, I don't expect you to answer this, but the Diamond Shamrock example, Ultramar, the letter read, if they produce any of the chemicals mentioned in the letter--and I don't know if they produce them or use them--but if they produce them, they will, in fact, come under an inspection regime--if they produce at least 30 tons for some or 200 tons for others, which are still not subject to routine inspections. Still, out of the whole mess there are only 20 a year that can occur. That's Number 1. Number 2, I am going to write the president of the company, too, to assure him he need not be as concerned as you are. And if they do not produce those chemicals, they don't have any requirement. If they use them or if they purchase them, there's no requirement--no requirement. So I would have to find out, and it is hard to tell from the testimony, whether they produce the chemicals listed or whether they only consume them and do not produce them. I would like to ask a question of Mr. Reinsch. I assume in your testimony, when you were talking about you, the Commerce Department, being required, being involved under the regime of how these inspections will take place, any inspection, when it takes place, is as a consequence of the language in the convention. The Confidentiality Annex, subsection (c) says: Measures to protect sensitive installations to prevent disclosure of confidential data--et cetera. It talks in there about how inspection teams will be guided and the requirement that there be facility agreements, that there be arrangements. Translated into every day English, that means there has to be a deal that you sign off on, on how an inspection team is able to, under what circumstances, what part of the facility they can go into, when they can go in, how many people they can go in with, what they can look at, whether the system has to be turned on or off--all of those things. Right? Mr. Reinsch. That's correct. Senator Biden. I think that is a very important thing, because part of the problem I find here is this. Just as somebody said, I believe it was Mr. Kearns--and, by the way, you did a heck of a job when you were on this committee. You did a really fine job. You and I were on the same side then on the fighter. We are on a different side now. But as he points out, a lot of people, including individual companies, do not know a lot about this treaty, any more than I suspect any of your members would know about the treaty if we sent them a poll. This is complicated stuff. But what I find is the more we talk about it, the more we explain the mechanics of it, the lot less onerous it appears, even to people who are opposed to it. That is the reason I bother to mention that section of the treaty. Now, one of the things that I am concerned about is this. And by the way, Mr. Johnson, I like witnesses like you. I mean this sincerely. You are the kind of person I like testifying. You don't mince any words. You go to the heart of what you think is wrong with whatever is being discussed and what you think is OK. Your concern, I think were I you, is a legitimate one, and that is whether or not the processes your particular company uses would be able, in effect, to be pirated just by the mere fact someone can see how you line up the line, or what temperatures you run at, and so on and so forth. Mr. Johnson. That is correct. Senator Biden. I think were I you, I would be concerned about that, too. But I also appreciate your putting to rest, at least to some degree, how onerous the paperwork is and how onerous the inspections are--all the stuff we are hearing from the opponents. You do not say that. But you are worried, and with good reason, I think, if I were you sitting there. That is where the Commerce Department comes in. Now, how would you take care of a fellow like Mr. Johnson who, in all likelihood, will have about as much chance of being inspected as win- ning the lottery, because we are talking about how there are only going to be 20 inspections in the whole year that could take place. There are a couple of thousand outfits it could take place in--well, maybe he has a little better chance than winning the lottery, but it's not likely. Mr. Johnson. I will buy my lottery ticket, Senator. Senator Biden. You will buy your lottery ticket. Good point. Touche. How would you deal with this. Let's say the treaty passes, as I hope, and I would hope, Mr. Johnson, that the first thing he would do is come to you and say OK, guys, if we get an inspection, how are we going to do this. Can we for the hour it takes place, or 20 minutes, or 5 hours, shut down a particular process so that they can't see what temperature we are doing this at? Will you actually facilitate that kind of thing? Will it be that specific? Mr. Reinsch. Well, if it came to that, Senator Biden. In the first instance, this is Dixie. Senator Biden. Yes. Mr. Reinsch. These are discreet organic chemicals. In the first instance, he is not going to have any inspections, at least for the first 3 years. Senator Biden. I didn't want to mention that. Yes. Mr. Reinsch. Beyond that, it would be up to the international body to ultimately decide if there were going to be any inspections. Senator Biden. And if it had any inspections, it would only be 1 of 20. Mr. Reinsch. Correct. So this is way down the road. But let's assume the worst case for the moment and that in the fourth or fifth year he is going to have an inspection. What we would do in that case, as part of trying to create a facility agreement with him, is to come in, meet with him, talk to him about his confidential business information, his proprietary information, and try to set up a structure in which he would tell us what he does not want anybody to see, what parts of the plant he does not want them to go into, what kind of procedures he does not want them to observe, and we would construct an agreement that precludes the inspection of those. Senator Biden. The bottom line in the treaty, all that it requires is that you supply sufficient proof that you are not supplying, or producing---- Mr. Reinsch. You are not producing a Schedule I chemical. Senator Biden.--Schedule I stuff. Mr. Reinsch. That's correct. Senator Biden. So it is not something that is an automatic thing. I just want to establish--and my time is about to be up--I just want to establish that, even if an inspection took place in such a circumstance, it is not willy nilly unlock the doors, open the books, here they come, and the Iranian team is coming in to figure out how to transport all of this stuff to Iran. Right? Isn't that a fair statement? Mr. Reinsch. That's correct, Senator. That is exactly correct. Senator Biden. Last point--and Mr. Spears is gone. I've got good news for him. He will not be inspected at all. He is not even in the game. So someone ought to write him a letter--I will write him a letter--based on what he told us. He is not even subject to any inspection at all. That is really good news to him. Maybe I should give it to Mr. Gaffney and he can give it to him. There is no need. He is not even in the game. That does not mean that he shouldn't be opposed to the treaty. He made other, larger, objections to it, which I respect. But he does not have to worry about his pipe company. The Chairman [presiding]. Thank you. Senator Hagel. Senator Hagel. Mr. Chairman, thank you. Again, thanks to all of you for coming today. I apologize that we all had to jump out and vote. But I would like to get back, Ms. Bailey, to your testimony, and I left right at the beginning. I would like, if you would, for you to expand a little bit on one of your subheadings in your testimony, the threat of espionage. Would you talk a little bit about where you see this treaty? And maybe you do not. I have not read what you said. But that has been brought up by former Secretary Schlesinger and others, that this is a treaty that is on some pretty thin ice when it comes to opening up our facilities to foreign espionage. Ms. Bailey. Yes, sir. The greatest threat in terms of espionage to U.S. companies and U.S. national facilities, such as my own laboratory, comes from challenge inspections which might be used specifically for the purposes of espionage. Hypothetically, an inspector could either be an intelligence official assigned to be an inspector or could later sell information to a company or country abroad that reveals either classified or CBI, confidential business information, that they might have gleaned through the process of gathering samples and analyzing them. I described in my testimony the GC/MS, the gas chromatograph/mass spectrometer, which can reveal not only what chemicals are being used at a site but also the processes being used. And in the case of the propellant production facility that was the subject of a mock inspection, we were able to analyze samples taken from that facility and determine not only what kind of chemicals, which chemicals were in the rocket propellant, but also a lot of process information. All of this was classified data. This mock inspection, sponsored by the U.S. Government, proved the point that somebody can come in and use the very tools that will be used by inspectors in the challenge inspection regimes to look at classified information. The counter argument to this is that they are only going to be looking for a specific library of types of information, such as the scheduled chemicals. The problem is you cannot limit it to that. Our laboratory did a project last year for the Department of the Army which determined that samples an be acquired even from the GC/MS after it has been decontaminated and can reveal the same classified information. We have also done research that indicates that an inspector could come in with a ball point pen that is really a sampling device, suck some air up in it, or water, or whatever, and take it away, analyze it, and get the same type of information. Mr. Reinsch. May I comment on that, Senator? Senator Hagel. Yes. Mr. Reinsch. I have two quick points, if I may. With respect to the GC/MS, I am advised by the Defense Department's Onsite Inspection Authority that they have studied this kind of equipment and have developed procedures for its use by escorts during the inspections to ensure that only appropriate information is provided to the inspector. Now beyond that, I will leave it to the engineers and the chemists to argue about that. But that is what I am advised. The only other point I would make is Ms. Bailey has not mentioned the issue of managed access. What we would do in a challenge inspection is go in and consult with the company about where their intellectual property is, what it is that they are trying to protect from the very thing she is concerned about, and devise a plan for the inspectors' access that would prevent them from seeing those items. Senator Hagel. Is that now part of the convention, that wording? Senator Biden. That's what I was talking about. Yes. Ms. Bailey. Neither of those points are relevant, however. The first one, the idea that they are only going to look for specific kind of chemicals is this ``library of chemicals'' argument I was using. Mr. Reinsch. That is not the point I made. Ms. Bailey. It doesn't matter, because you can clandestinely take samples and get the same data offsite. It just doesn't matter. Mr. Reinsch. We would manage access to protect intellectual property. Senator Hagel. I think she is kind of over that point. Ms. Bailey. In the mock inspection which I cited, the samples were taken outside of the propellant facility building. So you didn't even have to go into the building to get it. So the whole idea that managed access is somehow going to prevent the acquisition of classified or confidential information is not legitimate. Senator Hagel. Thank you. Mr. Secretary, I am on a timeframe, and if one of the other Senators wants to come back, or I can come back to this again. But I want first to get to Mr. Webber on this point. Mr. Webber, what is your understanding of the inspection process? Are you concerned at all for your companies that the Iranians might come in or somebody would come in and what Ms. Bailey is talking about gets underneath some of the corporate issues, the national security issues? I mean, do you think you and your companies, Mr. Webber, have a good understanding of the process? Mr. Webber. Certainly we were concerned early on. That is why we got deeply involved in the deliberations and, frankly, in the drafting sessions of this treaty, hoping that we could clear up some of these problems. Under the procedures we helped negotiate on the CWC, our companies, frankly, have significant protections today against an inspection team knowingly or inadvertently disclosing proprietary information. First, the convention gives our companies, subject to routine onsite inspections, the right, as was mentioned earlier, to negotiate a facility agreement. That agreement will govern the in- spection process and provide a means of assuring that trade secrets will not be routinely made available to the inspectors. Second, the inspectors will be subject to personal liability and sanctions for wrongful disclosure of information. Again, we were concerned about the possibility. We think the treaty tackles that problem head-on. We helped draft the verification procedures; and, again, we just think the benefits far outweigh the costs. Senator Hagel. So that is no longer a concern of you, your people, or your companies? Mr. Webber. We think the language in that convention gives us the protections we need. Senator Hagel. Thank you. Does anybody else want to respond? Ms. Bailey. Mr. Webber is referring essentially to routine inspections, whereas the inspections I was talking about are challenge inspections. Those are the ones that are likely to target, for example, a biotechnology firm, a pharmaceutical company, any company that might have confidential business information to lose or facilities such as my laboratory, where there are national security data. We won't be subject to routine inspections. We would be subject to challenge inspections. Senator Hagel. I think that is part of the issue that we are trying to get at here; at least that is most important in my mind. I am not diminishing the importance of commerce here. But, again, I go back to my opening statement. I will vote on this treaty based on the national interests of this country. Everything else is important, but not nearly as important in my mind as what is most important in the national security interests of this country. I suppose I am about out of time, Mr. Chairman, so I will defer to whoever is up next. Thank you. The Chairman. I am not going to call you ``Mr. Webber.'' I am going to call you ``Fred,'' because we have been on the same side many times. Mr. Webber. For a long time, sir. The Chairman. I welcome you as I do all of our distinguished witnesses today. I want to know if you or any other CMA representative has stated in the past that no companies which manufacture what they call ``discreet organic chemicals'' will be subject to foreign inspections. Mr. Webber. First of all, as was pointed out just a few minutes ago, not within the first 3 years. They will not be inspected within the first 3 years. As you know, again---- The Chairman. I'm sorry. Please repeat that. You're a little far away from the microphone. Mr. Webber [continuing]. I'm sorry. Not within the first 3 years. They are not going to be inspected. And, indeed, if they are to be challenge inspected later on, I think the odds, again, are what--20 out of--what is the rule? It is going to be a very low percentage if there is, indeed, to be a challenge inspection. A challenge inspection relies on an allegation. So we feel fairly comfortable that the protections that I just described earlier will indeed apply to manufacturers of discreet organic chemicals. The Chairman. Have you read the committee, part 2 of the Verification Annex, paragraphs 9-21 lately? Are you familiar with it? Mr. Webber. If I read it, sir, it was a long time ago, and I can't quote it now. The Chairman. It says nothing about any 3 years. And yes, they will be inspected. Now I just want to be sure here. You are talking about challenge inspections and we are talking about challenge inspections. What is your answer to my question based on that? Mr. Webber. Well, sir, I think the International Inspecting Authority, if I read the convention correctly, has to make the decision early on as to what the time schedule will be to indeed, first of all, inspect those 200 facilities that will naturally come out of the convention mandate and then decide what to do with those discreet organic chemical manufacturers. And if, indeed, they decide to allow challenges early on, sure they will be subject to the treaty if there is a challenge to a company like Dixie. The Chairman. Well, this has not changed, and your predecessor, a distinguished gentleman named Dr. Will Carpenter, supplied for the record a copy of his remarks before the American Association for the Advancement of Science on January 16, admitted in 1989, in which he noted, ``Those of us who manufacture chemicals that are only a step or two away from chemical weapons, and that means a large number of us in the CMA, have already accepted the reality that a good treaty means significant losses of information that we consider confidential.'' Is that still your position? Mr. Webber. It is not our position today. Again, that statement, indeed, was made by Dr. Carpenter of Monsanto in 1989. But he has been a forceful presence and a strong supporter of the convention. The Chairman. Did he speak in error when he said that? Was he wrong when he said that? Mr. Webber. Today he would tell you, sir, that the industry has pressure tested the treaty and he feels very comfortable now that the needed protections are there. So I think he would testify right along those lines. That is an 8 year old statement, when we were still working on the treaty, working with the government to make sure that those problems would be corrected. The Chairman. But what was true in 1989, unless it has been changed, would be true today. So you are saying he was wrong in 1989? Mr. Webber. Sir, we were in the midst of negotiating on that treaty. There were a lot of open-ended issues. A lot of progress has been made since then. I have met personally with Dr. Carpenter in the last 6 months. He is a strong advocate of the treaty who feels today, as it is presently written, that it provides us with the protection we need. The Chairman. So you are saying here that it is a good treaty? Mr. Webber. Oh, yes, sir. We strongly support the treaty. The Chairman. Are you mystified by the number of your members who are rejecting your appraisal of this treaty? Mr. Webber. There are always, in any organization, say of 200 companies, you will find a few. The Chairman. But you had said in the past that you were representing all of the chemical companies. Mr. Webber. We represent 192--92--today to be exact. We have one at the table that has concerns. They have not said that the treaty ought to be defeated. They are concerned about confidential business information and the cost of inspections. The Chairman. We have heard some say definitely that it ought to be defeated. Mr. Webber. Well, I just heard a letter read into the record from Sterling Chemical expressing concerns. And yet, their vice chairman yesterday, along with the CMA board, signed that letter endorsing the treaty, and that letter is going to Senator Trent Lott today. And, by the way, Mr. Chairman, we enter that for the record. [The letter from Sterling Chemical was read into the record by Kathleen Bailey and appears on page 183; the letter to Senator Lott appears on page 194.] The Chairman. Well, not so long ago, less than a year ago, on November 26 of 1996, you made the claim that the U.S. Chemical manufacturers will ``lose''--and these are indicated as your words--``as much as $600 million a year in export sales'' if the CWC is not ratified. Then, on March 10 of this year, you revised your estimate to say that the upper bound of lost sales would be $227 million. So you have come down. And also I have a list provided to the committee and the Majority Leader's Office by CMA which makes clear that the amount of sales of Schedule II chemicals will total less than half of what you have previously claimed. Now that ball is bouncing crazily around the lot. What do you do, just reach out, get a figure, and say whatever is likely to excite the people? Mr. Webber. Oh, Mr. Chairman, you know I wouldn't do that. We have known each other for too long. The Chairman. Oh, I'm not sure. A lot of things are being said about this treaty that are simply not so, and the people who are saying them know that they are not so. Now I want to know whether you are revising your figures and where are the figures now? Mr. Webber. I appreciate the opportunity to correct the record and, indeed, it needs correction. In September 1996, we estimated that the potential impact of the ban on trade in Schedule II chemicals would, if applied against the United States, impact some $600 million in exports--in exports. Since that time, CMA carefully reviewed the data available from the government and industry sources. Our conservative estimates today are that $500 million to $600 million in two-way trade--and here we stand corrected, but it is two-way trade, both exports and imports--will be affected by the Schedule II ban. These numbers are the best estimates that we have been able to get throughout the debate. By the way, Mr. Chairman, we feel that this is the tip of the iceberg. But these numbers we are prepared to stand behind. But it is two-way trade, not one-way trade, not just exports. The Chairman. Well, let's see how well they will stand, Fred, and I say this as a friend. Mr. Webber. Yes, sir. The Chairman. Exports of Amiton, a pesticide--is that the way you pronounce that--A-M-I-T-O-N? Mr. Webber. Yes. Yes, sir. The Chairman. That is a pesticide. I am advised, quite reliably, that the U.S. exports of Amiton total more than half of your new figure. And yet, the United States sells this pesticide largely to countries that have not ratified the treaty and are not going to participate in it. Am I wrong about that? Mr. Webber. I'm not sure, Senator. I would have to look at the numbers. But the fact of the matter is all of our major trading partners, all of the major trading partners in the U.S. chemical industry, are signatories already to this convention. I don't know how else to approach the answer. We could dig into the numbers, but I am trying to question the relevancy of it and the sale of it. It goes to our trading partners, and those trading partners have signed the convention. The Chairman. Well, half of what you say that they will lose involves one chemical, Amiton--and I hope I am pronouncing that right. Mr. Webber. Yes, you are, sir. The Chairman. And yet, the United States sells this pesticide almost entirely to countries that have not ratified the treaty. I have just been handed, as your man is handing you information I am being handed information, too, and what the hell would we do without our staff. Western companies cannot use this chemical, can they? You tell him. Mr. Webber. If we understand correctly, U.S. law does not prohibit production of this chemical, this pesticide, for export purposes. The Chairman. I understand that. But that is not what I asked you, though. I asked you if you didn't send it to companies that are not participating. It is not a U.S. law. It is a European law that you are talking about in the first place. But environmental regulations are prohibiting the use of Amiton in Europe and elsewhere. Is that not correct? Mr. Webber. I am at a disadvantage. I don't have the information or the numbers on that specific chemical. I would be delighted to work with your staff to dig into that to really see not only what is happening but what the significance of it is. The Chairman. Well, let me tell you what bothers me about the proponents of this treaty. I have caught them in so many misstatements of fact, and for a while, you know, I said we all make mistakes. But I have almost reached the conclusion that most--not all, but most--of the loud advocates of the treaty--and I am including the editorial writers--they don't know what they're talking about and they don't care. They just get a statement out of thin air, throw it out there, and then the rest of us have to chase it down to see whether it is accurate. And nine times out of ten we find out it is not accurate. That is the reason I have made the conclusion that we ought to defeat this treaty unless it is substantially modified and we go ahead and do it right. I am just exactly like Steve Forbes on this treaty. I thought he made good sense, as he does always. Well, my time is up. What shall we do about another round? Would you like another round? Senator Biden. Well, since we have so many witnesses here-- we really have two panels in one--I would like to have another round, if that is OK with you, Mr. Chairman. The Chairman. OK. How many minutes per Senator? Senator Biden. Do you mind if we have, if we could have one more round of 7.5 minutes, I think that will end it. At least I have about that much to ask. Do you mind? The Chairman. Not at all. I think it is a good idea. Senator Biden. OK. You know, I understand the Chairman's frustration. I am going to ask Mr. Webber to comment. I want to pursue that again in a moment. But, you know, it is so easy. This is such a complicated issue. It is so easy to scare the living daylights out of proponents and opponents of this treaty by taking things, taking the worst case scenarios that have probabilities that are incredibly low. For example, what Ms. Bailey was talking about is these challenge inspections, these challenge inspections of outfits that are the small outfits, the biochemical firms, the biotech firms, the pharmaceutical firms, who, I might add, signed on to these treaties, both their organizations. Let's review what the treaty calls for if there is a challenge inspection. If there is a challenge inspection, first of all a country has to, say Iran--we're all talking about Iran. We assume the French are not going to do this bad thing to us, or the Germans, the Brits, or whatever. We usually use Iran as the worst case. Say an Iranian says I want to find out what that biotech firm is doing. I want to find out what that pharmaceutical firm has out there, because I want to steal their secrets, or I want to steal weapons-grade capability from someone. So they say, ``we think Company X, Diamond Shamrock''-- assuming they were in the deal, and I'm not sure they are--``We want a challenge inspection.'' What happens mechanically? Mechanically, that request goes to the Director General of this outfit. The Director General then takes a look at it after looking at the evidence presented by the country asking for the challenge inspection. They just can't say, you know, I kind of think they make a lot of money over there at Diamond Shamrock, and I would kind of like to find out how they do it. I want to challenge. You know, like a kid in a pick-up game, ``I challenge.'' You can't do that. You have to supply a rationale. You have to say why you think they are violating this treaty. Then the Director General takes it. He looks at it. Then he has to take it to the Executive Council. And if the Executive Council believes that the allegations offered, allegations of cheating under the treaty, have no merit, they have to have a super majority to say no inspection. They have to have, say, three-quarters. It's three-quarters. And, by the way, if it turns out it is an abusive request, like abusing the courts with frivolous lawsuits, that kind of thing, they also then have to pay a penalty, ``they'' the country making these frivolous requests. But even after that, let's assume it goes through the sieve, Iran says I want to know what's happening up at duPont- Merck. I think they have a deal there, and I would like to figure out how it works. No inspector from that country is allowed on the team. So the Iranians have to have somebody else. They have to go to Country Y and say here is a deal we will make together. You send your inspector in with this little thing he is going to put in his pocket to find out all this information and then, when you get it, you give it to us. This is because you can't send an inspector in. OK. Assume they go through all of that. Then they get to the end of the day, they come to the United States, they go to duPont-Merck or some small outfit. Guess what? In a challenge inspection, they need a search warrant under the Fourth Amendment, and they must establish before a court of law probable cause to determine that the company is violating the Chemical Weapons Convention--in a Federal court. It's just like you have to have probable cause now for a search warrant. Now, Mr. Johnson, if your company is worried about that part of the process, or anybody else who actually runs a company, you either don't have very good lawyers who work for you now to be able to explain this to you or you are one of those people who assumes you are going to get struck by lightning on those days when there is lightning out there. It could happen. I acknowledge it could happen. Iran could make a deal with China--and, by the way, neither one is in the treaty yet, and if they are not in the treaty, they don't get to have an inspector; they don't get to be involved. They'd have to make a deal. There has to be collusion. They have to agree to share the information. They then have to go in with another inspector not from their team, but they have to get by the Director General, and the Director General then has to get by the Executive Council. And the Executive Council is probably not real crazy about Iran, either. Then, even if they do that, they have to get by a Federal judge. Now it can happen. It can happen. A good friend of mine, Billy Haggerty, got struck by lightning the other day in a park. It happens. Now I walk in the same park, in the same lightning storm--and I'm not joking, he really did get struck by lightening. But that's about what we are talking about here. With regard to this issue, Mr. Webber, I assume the point of the question was--though I may be mistaken about this particular chemical--is that you really are not going to suffer a penalty, the industry, if you already trade it to a country not covered by the treaty. This is because the only penalties would be import sanctions that would be imposed upon us, or exports, which are imports to that country. A country could say you can't sell your chemical in our country. We're a member of the treaty and you are violating the treaty or you are not in the treaty. You're not in. I assume the Senator's point was this stuff is sold to countries that are not in the treaty, therefore you would suffer no loss if we were not part of the treaty. Mr. Webber. If they are otherwise not controlled by the Export Control Act. Senator Biden. Right. Mr. Webber. That's correct. Senator Biden. Otherwise not controlled by the Export Control Act, which is a separate piece of legislation. Mr. Webber. Correct. Senator Biden. Can you supply for the committee an analysis of this particular matter? Mr. Webber. Yes. Senator Biden. I see my train just left. You know I care about this treaty, Jesse, if I miss the 5 train and there are no votes. The Chairman. I wish you had gone home. Senator Biden. Did you hear what he said, he wished I'd gone home. I don't blame him. Can you supply for the record a more detailed response based on your analysis to the Senator's question about 50 percent of the loss is attributed to one chemical and a significant portion of that chemical sale goes to countries not covered? Mr. Webber. Yes. Your clarification is very helpful. I'm sorry, Mr. Chairman, I didn't clearly understand the question. We would be delighted to supply for the record that analysis. [The information referred to was unavailable at the time of printing.] Senator Biden. Well, I'll stop. I have so many more questions that I don't want to get started. I appreciate it, Mr. Chairman. The Chairman. I can have somebody drive you to the station. Senator Biden. The train has already gone. I am here for another hour, unless you can call Amtrak. After 24 years, I have never been able to hold an Amtrak train, so you know I don't have a whole lot of power. Ms. Bailey. Senator Biden, you made so many statements that I think can be challenged. Senator Biden. Well, please do challenge them. I'd love to hear it. Ms. Bailey. I know your time is out. Senator Biden. Oh, no. I have another minute. Then I can respond to you. Ms. Bailey. Starting with the frivolity question, in other words, if an inspection request comes in from a country---- Senator Biden. A challenge inspection. Ms. Bailey [continuing]. A challenge inspection request comes in from a country, and they want to go to a pharmaceutical firm in the U.S.; they don't have to specify the name of the company. They don't have to say the exact site. They don't have to give information which would qualify as being substantial for demonstrating probable cause. Senator Biden. No. I didn't say they have to establish probable cause. They have to give a reason. Ms. Bailey. I'm just saying the information they give is not sufficient to establish probable cause. Senator Biden. I agree with that. Ms. Bailey. They don't even have to say the name of the site that they are going to until 12 hours before the inspectors arrive at the port of entry. Senator Biden. But then they have to say it. Ms. Bailey. So this whole charade about frivolity being questioned by the Executive Council is---- Senator Biden. Are they allowed to have an inspector? Ms. Bailey. Sorry? Senator Biden. Is the country asking for the challenge allowed to have an inspector on the team? Ms. Bailey. No. That's not the issue. The issue is you cannot determine frivolity in advance, because you may not even know what site they are asking to go to. That is the first point. Senator Biden. I don't think it is frivolity. I thought it was a trick and a device to find out how to get information. I thought that was your point. Ms. Bailey. It is my point. I am just trying to argue that your case that there is this Executive Council that is going to sit there and look at a challenge inspection request and render a judgment as to whether it is frivolous or abusive is not going to save U.S. companies. It is not going to save them, because there will be insufficient data for that Executive Council to reach a reasonable decision until 12 hours before they enter. Now I would like to agree with you--it's so rare--I would like to agree with you that it is quite possible that a company that does not want to have a challenge inspection request can say, ``no way; you get a criminal warrant.'' All right. Senator Biden. Correct. Ms. Bailey. Fine. Let's imagine a hypothetical situation in which there were credible evidence presented that substantiates the criminal warrant. The company, meanwhile, suffers tremendously because of the negative press it will get. Senator Biden. The same way criminals do. The same way people accused wrongly of crimes do. You've got it. If there is probable cause, under our Constitution, if there is probable cause a crime has been committed, and then it turns out you are innocent, you suffer. Ms. Bailey. There was a real case I would like to tell you about. Senator Biden. Sure. Ms. Bailey. The United States and Russia exchanged reciprocal visits to pharmaceutical facilities. We went over there and said, ``you know, there are real problems here. It looks to us like you are producing biological weapons, or either have been, are going to, or just were yesterday.'' Then the Russians came over to the United States and went to a pharmaceutical firm here. The Russians walked out the front door and, in Russian, thankfully, gave a press briefing in which they said this pharmaceutical company is involved in biological weapons production. It was not picked up by the press here. Senator Biden. That's why it can't be bilateral. That's why this treaty cannot be bilateral. That's why it's multilateral. Ms. Bailey. The point I am trying to make is that U.S. firms can be accused of nefarious actions by these foreign inspectors with no basis. Senator Biden. Can I stop you there for just a second and take that example? The inspection team is going to be made up of a number of people. Unless you assume the whole world conspires against us, the team is not going to walk out and say, tit for tat. Now if you assume that, and I can understand that you might, if you assume that the entire inspection team is going to do exactly that--we know how the Russians work. Whenever you expose them of something, accuse them of something, or prove something, they come back and say double on you, your mother wears combat boots, so do you. We know how they deal. But you have to assume the entire regime, all these members of this treaty, whatever group of inspectors--they are not just going to be Russians or one or two people; they are going to be a group. You're going to have to assume that all of them are going to be as venal as the Russian example you gave me. That's a heck of an assumption. Ms. Bailey. No, I don't think so. Senator Biden. No? Ms. Bailey. You see, my argument is that the company that is being challenge inspected will be so worried about negative press that there will be pressure on them to succumb and not stand up for their constitutional rights under the Fourth Amendment to say no foreigners are going to come in here and look at my process data or look at the way I have my company set up. Senator Biden. No, that's not what they're going to say. That's not what they are allowed to say. They may want to say that and they won't. You're right. What they'll say is there is no evidence, credible evidence, to suggest that we, in fact, are doing anything wrong. Therefore, you cannot come in. That's what they're going to say. Ms. Bailey. And then the President will have a---- Senator Biden. You see, I practiced law, you practice inspections. I represented people like this where, in fact, the government came and said we want to do something. We want to search your home, your business, or you. I know how it works. I represented them. I know how they think--not all of them. But I have as much experience as you do in that regard. I see no reason to believe your scenario. But the bottom line is this, and I will stop, Mr. Chairman. You have to assume in your scenario that the entire inspection team is going to be venal. Ms. Bailey. That's not true. Senator Biden. Sure it is. Look, the Russian walks out and says you know, they are making chemical weapons in there. Ms. Bailey. It only takes one person to make that accusation. Senator Biden. No, it doesn't, because then what happens is you've got the other five people there, or three people, or seven people. Ms. Bailey. This is all prior to an inspection taking place at this facility. The Chairman. Joe, you are out-shouting the lady. Give her a chance to answer you. Senator Biden. I'm sorry. You're right and I beg your pardon. The Chairman. You rest your tonsils just a little bit. Not one iota of evidence is required by the CWC to start a challenge inspection. Is that correct--not one iota? Ms. Bailey. That's correct. No data. The Chairman. And it's impossible to stop---- Senator Biden. No ``data.'' There's a distinction. Ms. Bailey. The Senator is correct--no data, no evidence. The Chairman. What's the difference? Senator Biden. Well, there's a difference between ``data'' and an ``assertion.'' Ms. Bailey. No data or evidence. The Chairman. Anything else? Senator Biden. No. The Chairman. OK. It's impossible to stop an inspection once it's started, is that correct? Ms. Bailey. Yes. The Chairman. You have to get 31 of 41 diplomats to vote against the inspection within 12 hours to stop it. Ms. Bailey. Three-quarters of 41. Yes. The Chairman. Yes. Now all you have to do to start an inspection is to say where you want to go. You don't have to have any evidence, is that correct? Ms. Bailey. You do not have to have any evidence. The Chairman. Nowhere in the treaty, nowhere in the treaty does it say you have to say why you want an inspection. Is that correct? Ms. Bailey. All that is required is that a country say that they suspect that there is a violation of the Chemical Weapons Convention. The Chairman. All right. Now you already addressed this earlier on, so I won't get into that. I think we have gone about as far as we can go, Senator. Senator Biden. I have one last question, and I won't even comment. I'll just ask the last question. The Chairman. Ask it, then. Senator Biden. OK. Madam, at the end of the day, if the facility for which a challenge inspection is sought, 1 second before they cross the threshold says you cannot come in, you do not have a search warrant, is it not true that they will be required to go to a Federal judge and establish probable cause? You and I should not guess their motivation. If they do, if they say you cannot cross the threshold, is it not true that you have to go to a Federal judge and establish probable cause as to why there is a violation? Is that correct? Ms. Bailey. Do you want to limit me to a yes/no? Could I say ``yes'' and then comment? It is true. But I have two comments. The first one is why would we want to sign an arms control treaty which we know we are not going to apply ourselves in terms of challenge inspections in the future? In other words, any company that says no, or private individual that says no, can say no---- Senator Biden. Can I answer your question? Ms. Bailey [continuing]. That's the first part. Do you want both parts now? Senator Biden. Do you want me to answer your question? Ms. Bailey. Yes, but both parts first? Senator Biden. OK. I'll do it either way you want. The Chairman. Let her make her case. Ms. Bailey. That's the first one. The second one is that if it is a U.S. national security facility, meaning a place like my laboratory, they will not be able to say no and foreigners can come in and use these GC/MS and other techniques to gather, to glean national security data. And that is something that is not covered by what we talked about so far. But I think it is a terribly important issue worthy of your attention. Senator Biden. Can I answer your question? Ms. Bailey. Sure. Senator Biden. The answer to your question as to why we would be part of such a regime that would allow our Fourth Amendment to work is because the underlying philosophy of the treaty is challenge inspections are not intended to be frivolous. That is the underlying assumption. Therefore, we are totally consistent with the spirit of the treaty when we say if you want to challenge us, you have to give us some good reason under our Constitution why you are saying that. That's why we should want to be a part of a treaty and want to enforce our Constitution. That's why. Ms. Bailey. Do you think Iran will want to amend its constitution---- The Chairman. Exactly. Ms. Bailey [continuing]. To add Fourth Amendment rights---- The Chairman. Or Russia, for that matter. Ms. Bailey [continuing]. Once they see us using them as a means of avoiding inspections? Senator Biden. The answer is that may very well be. But it is kind of interesting how those of you who oppose the treaty, there is a weakness you see in the treaty and any correction of that weakness makes another part of your criticism worse. For example, if we did not have the Fourth Amendment guarantees built in here, you'd be saying it is a violation of the American Constitution, therefore we should not be part of the treaty. Right? Ms. Bailey. Right. Senator Biden. Now that we have Fourth Amendment guarantees, then you say we don't want to do that, because it renders the treaty less likely to be efficacious against other countries. Right? Ms. Bailey. They're both true. Senator Biden. Right. And you have used them skillfully. I think you are a lawyer. The Chairman. Anything else to come before the committee? Mr. Johnson. I would like to bring up one point. The Chairman. Sure. Mr. Johnson. Senator Biden, in part 9---- Senator Biden. Pardon me? Mr. Johnson [continuing]. In part 9 of the treaty, they get into a discussion of the number of discreet organic chemical inspections that can happen in a year. In the third year, as I read it, in the third year they are limited to 5 percent of the facilities available, plus 3, or 20 whichever is the smallest number. Senator Biden. Right. Mr. Johnson. In our case, in the United States, that undoubtedly will be 20. Now in that third year or fourth year, I am not sure which, this issue of number of inspections on discreet organic chemicals will again be addressed. You know, that could cut either way. We could maintain the number of 20, or it could become less, or it could become more. That is a little bit of a concern. Senator Biden. If I may respond, sir, that is a good point that you make. My understanding is--I will withhold my understanding until I have staff check to see if I am right about whether or not the 20 could be changed--if it is a fundamental change, if it is a change in the treaty, to go from 20, say, to 30, 50, 100, 1,000 or whatever it is, it is an amendment to the treaty. Under a condition that we are going to add to this ratification--and there's no way you'd know this-- we are going to add to this that it would have to come back to the Senate for ratification if they were going to change that. So that would change the whole ballgame and it would change the requirement. They could not do that, could not bind us unless we ratify it as an amendment to the treaty. But the second point is this. My understanding--and I would stand to be corrected, because I am not certain--hold on for just 1 second. My understanding is--and I will check this for the record because I had not approached this before and it is a good point you raise, separate and apart from the requirement that we would have to get the Senate to sign off on it with a super majority vote again--my understanding of Section 9, relating to the companies you are talking about, which would fall into the category of being 1 of the 20 inspections, is that the 3-year period does not go to whether or not that can be upped from 20 to any other number. It goes to whether or not there will be any inspections--any inspections. There are no inspections now. So it will go to whether or not there will be any inspections. Now because you have been so straight with me, with us, I promise you I will for the record--and I am sure the Senator and the staff will remind me--I will go back and give you a written analysis of my view. I may be wrong, but I will send you a copy of that. But my understanding is the 3 year period means for now there can be no inspections for the next 3 years and at the end of 3 years they are going to decide whether there will be any for the covered category--not that there can be 20 of the covered category now and it may be amended to be 30, 40, or 50. But even if that is true, such an amendment would have to come back to the United States Congress--the Senate, to be precise, not the Congress--and be ratified by the Senate before it would be binding on the United States of America, before it could be binding on the United States of America. But you raise a good point. I will check it out. I always learn something at these hearings, and I now have to go back and find out whether my analysis, which I just told you, is absolutely accurate. I think it is. But I am not positive. I am positive about the treaty part. I am not positive about the 20. [The information referred to follows:] May 21, 1997. Mr. Ralph Johnson, Vice President, Dixie Chemical Company, Inc., Houston, TX 77219. Dear Mr. Johnson: Thank you for taking time on April 15 to testify before the Senate Foreign Relations Committee on the Chemical Weapons Convention. I appreciate your concern about how our country is governed. As you know, the Senate ratified the Chemical Weapons Convention on April 24 by a 74-26 vote, and the treaty entered into force on April 29. During last month's hearing, you inquired as to whether the treaty's limitation on inspections in the United States could be revised upward after the treaty enters into force. As you are aware, no more than twenty American producers of Schedule III and unscheduled discrete organic chemicals can be subjected to routine inspection in any one year. The Arms Control and Disarmament Agency (ACDA) has informed me that while this limit, in theory, could be revised upward with the support of the countries that have ratified the treaty, such a change is highly unlikely and would be strongly opposed by the United States Government. The Secretary General of the Organization for the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons could seek approval from the Executive Council to revise this limit. While the mechanism by which the Executive Council would rule on such a request has yet to be determined (whether by consensus or super majority), the United States will have a seat on the Council and would be in a strong position to oppose such a proposal. More important, ACDA assures me that it is highly unlikely that such a proposal would ever be made. Because the purpose of routine inspections is to verify the declarations made by each country that has signed the treaty, the Organization is unlikely to focus as many as twenty inspections on any one country. Because the number of inspectors is limited, it is more likely that inspections will be conducted in as many countries as possible to determine the compliance of different nations. I hope that this information answers any concerns you had about how the Chemical Weapons Convention might affect your business. If you have any further questions about the Chemical Weapons Convention and its effect on industry, please contact me or John Lis of my staff at (202) 224-5042. Sincerely, Joseph R. Biden, Jr., Ranking Minority Member. Mr. Johnson. OK. Thank you. The Chairman. Whoever has something he wants to say, please do. I have one more question and then we will sing the doxology and depart. Mr. Webber. Thank you, sir. I want to elaborate on the $600 million figure. Mr. Chairman, I said earlier that this could be the tip of the iceberg. As you know, Germany, the U.K., Japan, and other major trading countries have already signed the convention. Our greatest fear is that if we are a non-party, a non-signatory, we are going to see some trade barriers being erected that will impact a good part of our $61 billion in exports that we produce annually. For example, Germany has already announced that it is going to impose new restrictions on trade with nonmember nations commencing 29 April. That, in part, is what drives us. We want to be reliable trading partners. We have been up to this point. Today, as we sit across the table, they are looking at us with a jaundiced eye wondering why this treaty has not been ratified and wondering what actions they ought to take commencing 29 April. And we have already seen, and it has been in the newspapers, the action that Germany plans to take. They are going to take a look at all of our chemical trade, and we have no idea what kind of nontariff barriers are going to be erected. But we know it is going to be very, very difficult down the road to continue to trade in chemicals with this very large trading country. The Chairman. How many of your member companies are owned by Europeans? Glaxo is one of them. Mr. Webber. I think a little under 30 percent of our entire membership is represented by foreign owners. The Chairman. Do you mean the Europeans are going to put up trade barriers against their own companies in the United States? Mr. Webber. Sir, we are unbelievably competitive on a global basis, and that signal that we got from Germany is very, very serious, indeed. We feel we have legitimate concerns here. The Chairman. My last question, and I will let anybody answer this, though perhaps it is best directed to you, Fred, or Mr. Webber, is this. During these hearings, the committee has heard testimony from a number of foreign policy experts who are very concerned that Article XI of the treaty will be used by nations to pressure the United States to lower its export controls and to eliminate the Australia Group. Have you heard that? Mr. Webber. Yes, sir, I have. In your absence, I tried to respond to that in my testimony. The Chairman. OK. Let me get through this. Now the administration has promoted the CWC as an arms control treaty, but some clearly view the CWC as a treaty designed to facilitate trade in chemicals and in technology. Mr. Carpenter, in testimony before this committee, stated that one of the reasons for the Chemical Manufacturers Association's support of the CWC was the anticipation that, and I'm quoting him, ``An effective CWC could have the positive effect of liberalizing the existing system of export controls applicable to our industry's products, technologies, and processes.'' Now my question to you is did your association write a letter of support for H.R. 361, which allowed for the licensing of free trade in chemicals among the CWC members, and does CMA continue to favor the reduction of U.S. export controls on the dual use chemicals controlled by the CWC? Mr. Webber. Let me take a stab at what I think Mr. Carpenter meant when he said we want to see trade liberalized, if you will. As I said in my formal testimony, we have a long history of support for U.S. export control law, and the Australia Group, and limited multilateral control regimes like the Australia Group. We think the CWC is a logical extension of those control systems. It broadens the scope, makes more nations live up to the high standards set by our own country, the U.S. So we don't think CWC will replace existing U.S. export controls or the Australia Group. Both will be around, as you know, sir, for a long time. As confidence in the treaty grows, we think it will eventually be possible to create a single, integrated export control regime under the banner of CWC. But, of course, that is down the road. But that's what we mean when we say ``liberalizing trade,'' and I think that is what Dr. Carpenter meant. The Chairman. Well, did you or did your association not, or did it, write in support of H.R. 361? Mr. Webber. I have been advised that we were part of a coalition that indeed supported that bill. But we did not specifically focus on any particular provision of the bill. But we gave general endorsement. The Chairman. So you didn't write a letter? You were just among those present? Mr. Webber. No, we wrote a letter in support, as part of the coalition in support. The Chairman. What I needed there was just a yes or no. Mr. Webber. Yes. The Chairman. Now you understand that that bill proposed to reduce U.S. export controls. Is that not correct? Mr. Webber. Yes. The Chairman. And, too, it offered to license free trade, did it not? Mr. Webber. Yes. The Chairman. And you still favored it? Mr. Webber. We have not supported any elimination of export controls over precursor chemicals, and I think that is the key statement that we would stand by. The Chairman. Please repeat that? Mr. Webber. We would not advocate the elimination of any export controls having to do with precursor chemicals. The Chairman. Well, didn't you do that when you advocated this bill? Mr. Webber. We don't think so, sir. The Chairman. You don't? Mr. Webber. No. The Chairman. I might want to put that letter into the testimony here. Senator Biden. Mr. Chairman, before you strike the gavel, I'm not going to ask a question. I just want to make an admission. Mr. Johnson may be right, because Part 10 is part of the Annex, Mr. Johnson, and the Annex means that it may not be covered by a requirement to have the U.S. Senate ratify any change. But I will still get you the full answer. I just wanted to make sure that I tell you my staff points out it is the Annex, not the body of the treaty. So you may be right. Let me check it out. Mr. Johnson. Thank you, Senator. The Chairman. The skies are going to fall. No, he has admitted he has made a mistake--in 1987. Senator Biden. No, in 1972, when I ran. The Chairman. We enjoy each other; and I respect Joe, and he knows that. Senator Biden. As I do you, Mr. Chairman. The Chairman. Lady and gentlemen, thank you very much for spending this afternoon with us. I did not intend for it to go so long. But you have made a substantial record, and I appreciate your going through the trouble of being here and testifying as you have. If there be no further business to come before the committee, we stand in recess. Senator Biden. Thanks, Jesse. The Chairman. Yes, sir. [Whereupon, at 5:25 p.m. the committee adjourned, to reconvene at 10:07 a.m., Tuesday, April 17, 1997.]