RDT&E, Defensewide / BA 04 (Dem/Val) PE: 0603872C (Proj: 3270)
PE Title: Joint TMD (U)
| FY1995 | FY1996 | FY1997 | FY1998 | FY1999 | FY2000 | FY2001 | |||
| Program Name: | Actual | Estimate | Estimate | Estimate | Estimate | Estimate | Estimate | To Complete | Total Program |
| 0603872C RDT&E | 1,000 | 19,684 | 23,170 | 28,930 | 30,438 | 30,228 | 30,064 | Continuing | Continuing |
(U) Threat and Countermeasures Program. The BMDO Theater Missile Defense (TMD) Threat Program defines potential adversary military forces, principally Theater Ballistic Missile (TBM) threats. To accomplish this mission, BMDO has a threat development program which is based on intelligence community projections and is traceable to quantifiable analysis. This project produces capstone threat and countermeasure documentation to ensure consistent technical threat definitions across all the Services. It does not duplicate Service-unique activities. The program consists of three component tasks: Intelligence Threat, Countermeasures Integration, and System Threat Scenario Generation.
(U) Intelligence Threat Task. The purpose of this task is to provide an Intelligence Community-Validated TMD threat description. The threat is divided into four major categories under this task: Operational Threat Environment, Targets, System Specific Threats (SST), and Reactive Threats. The Operational Threat Environment includes assessments of the TBM operational and technological environments and projects the effects of developments and trends on TMD mission capability. The Targets category includes a projection of foreign TBM systems and countermeasures that enhance their performance. This includes force structure, performance characteristics, and sample signatures. SST addresses threats to the TMD "family of systems" including reconnaissance, surveillance, and target acquisition; lethal and non-lethal threats; and regional integrated SST assessments. The Reactive Threats category includes those that an adversary may develop as a result of deployment of the TMD "family of systems."
(U) System Threat Scenario Generation Task. The accurate specification and characterization of ballistic missiles and the appropriate development and integration of scenarios using these characterizations are critical to the analysis of alternative ballistic missile architectures, the performance assessments of potential technology applications, and the operational performance evaluations of candidate designs. This task provides baseline and excursion scenario descriptions in documentary and digital form for use in BMDO TMD cost and operational effectiveness analyses (COEA). These descriptions are the only approved threat employment portrayals authorized for acceptable BMDO analysis. This task:
(1) Identifies user needs for threat scenario descriptions.
(2) Identifies analyses needed to fully specify and characterize the threat missile systems, penetration aids, tactics, etc., and ensures the analyses is accomplished.
(3) Provides the analysis results to all interested agencies for review and comment.
(4) Addresses critical threat issues which arise during the analysis process.
(5) Ensures all supporting agencies' views on threat issues are fully aired.
(6) Reviews, approves, produces, and distributes all System Threat Scenario Descriptions.
(7) Produces threat computer digital media and supporting documentation for use by the development and acquisition communities.
(U) Countermeasures Integration Task. The BMDO Countermeasure Integration (CMI) Program assists TMD acquisition program offices in developing theater ballistic missile defense systems that are robust to potential countermeasures and are practical and within the means of anticipated adversaries. Included in this mission are CMI Program support to the TMD threat development process and advance warning to BMDO system designers. The BMDO CMI Program reviews TMD systems for susceptibilities and identifies potential countermeasures, determines credibility through analyses and tests, characterizes credible countermeasures by providing designs and performance parameters, informs intelligence and system threat developers of potential countermeasures, informs TMD system designers with advance warning of potential countermeasures, and assists TMD system designers in developing counter-countermeasures. Providing vulnerability and susceptibility information to the system designers early enables them to build robustness into their designs during the early stages of the system development process, a cost-effective means for providing a flexible high-performance design. The CMI Program takes a "rest-of-world" perspective in developing credible, potential countermeasures.
(U) In preparation for the Theater Countermeasures Mitigation Program (TCMP) Flight 2C, the Countermeasures (CM) Integration Task supported the fabrication of the crude maneuvering reentry vehicle (C-MaRV) payload.
o ($1.000M) Countermeasures (CM) Integration Task:
Supported the fabrication of the C-MaRV for the payload of TCMP Flight 2C.
o ($5.522M) Intelligence Threat Task:
Provide Capstone System Threat Assessment Report (STAR), specialty threats, targets analyses, operational threat environment intelligence assessments, management, and planning support.
o ($5.750M) System Threat Scenario Generation Task:
Continue development of threat system characterizations and scenario descriptions in response to the analysis needs of the system/element developers.
Upgrade the threat modeling capability and produce digital media and supporting documentation through the Joint National Test Facility (JNTF).
Develop scenarios depicting threat systems employed in theater environments.
o ($8.412M) Countermeasures (CM) Integration Task:
Perform TMD CM Red/Blue activities and counter-countermeasure parametric studies and TMD CM technical experiments and evaluations.
Support CM Skunkworks teams in conducting CM concept, design, fabrication, tests. Conduct non-technical analysis, oversight, and database management.
o ($6.475M) Intelligence Threat Task:
Provide Capstone STAR, specialty threats, targets analyses, operational threat environment intelligence assessments, management, and planning support.
o ($5.447M) System Threat Scenario Generation Task:
Continue development of threat system characterizations and scenario descriptions in response to the analysis needs of the system/element developers.
Upgrade the threat modeling capability and produce digital media and supporting documentation through the JNTF.
Develop scenarios depicting threat systems employed in theater environments.
o ($11.248M) Countermeasures Integration Task:
Perform TMD CM Red/Blue activities and counter-countermeasure parametric studies and TMD CM technical experiments and evaluations.
Support CM Skunkworks teams in conducting CM concept, design, fabrication, tests. Conduct non-technical analysis, oversight, and database management.
o ($8.045M) Intelligence Threat Task:
Provide Capstone STAR, specialty threats, targets analyses, operational threat environment intelligence assessments, management, and planning support.
o ($6.272M) System Threat Scenario Generation Task:
Continue development of threat system characterizations and scenario descriptions in response to the analysis needs of the system/element developers.
Upgrade the threat modeling capability and produce digital media and supporting documentation through the JNTF.
Develop scenarios depicting threat systems employed in theater environments.
o ($14.613M) Countermeasures Integration Task:
Perform TMD CM Red/Blue activities and counter-countermeasure parametric studies and TMD CM technical experiments and evaluations.
Support CM Skunkworks teams in conducting CM concept, design, fabrication, tests. Conduct non-technical analysis, oversight, and database management.
| FY1995 | FY1996 | FY1997 | FY1998 | TOTAL COST | |
| Previous President's Budget | 0 | 24,810 | 24,931 | 31,580 | 81,321 |
| Current Budget Submit | 1,000 | 19,684 | 23,170 | 28,930 | 72,784 |
Funding: Funding adjustments made in FY96-98 to support revisions in TMD core program schedules and requirements.
Schedule: None
Technical: None
| Related RDT&E: | Funding Dependency? (Yes or No) |
| 1266 Sea-based Theater-wide TBMD, PE 0603868C | No |
| 1293 Advanced Capability Concept Development, PE 0603872C | No |
| 2257 PATRIOT, PE 0208865C | No |
| 2260 THAAD System, PE 0603861C/0604861C | No |
| 2263 Sea-based Area TBMD, PE 0603867C/0604867C | No |
| 2294 Advanced Capability Dem/Val, PE 0603872C | No |
| 3251 System Engineering and Tech. Support, PE 0603872C | No |
| 3270 Threat and Countermeasures, PE 0603871C/0603173C | Yes |
| 3352 Modeling and Simulation, PE 0603871C/0603872C | No |
| 3359 System Test and Evaluation, PE 0603872C | No |
1Funding data for related RDT&E efforts that have a funding dependency can be found in the respective project summary/program element.
| FY1995 | FY1996 | FY1997 | FY1998 | |||||||||||||
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
| Engineering Milestone | xa | xa | xa,b | xa,c | xa | xa | xa,b,c | xa | xa,c | xa | xa,b,c | xa,c | xa | xa | xa,b,c | xa |
| T&E Milestone | xa | xb | xc | xD | XE | XF | XI | XJ | ||||||||
| Tech Demo Milestone | ||||||||||||||||
| Contract Milestone | ||||||||||||||||
xa = Skunkworks Mission #2
xb = Skunkworks Mission #3
xc = Skunkworks Mission #5
xD = Skunkworks Mission #6
XE = Skunkworks Mission #7
XF = Skunkworks Mission #8
XI = Skunkworks Mission #9
XJ = Skunkworks Mission #10
TBD