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13 July 1998

TRANSCRIPT: WORLDNET WITH NSC'S STEVE FLANAGAN ON NATO JULY 13

(Also Nikolae Filipescu of the Romanian-American Community) (4700)



Washington -- Stephen Flanagan, special assistant to the president for
Central and Eastern European affairs at the National Security Council,
said President Clinton plans to talk with Romanian President Emil
Constantinescu this week about a wide range of issues, including
Kosovo, Romania's interest in NATO membership, and "the support that
we've received from Romania in dealing with a number of the problems
in the very turbulent region that it resides in."


During his visit, which begins July 14, Constantinescu will address a
joint session of Congress and meet with a number of government and
private officials in addition to the president.


In a WorldNet program with Romanian journalists July 13, most
questions focused on possible NATO membership for Romania. Flanagan
said that the mention of Romania in the Madrid Declaration last year
-- specifically, Romania's "positive developments towards democracy
and the rule of law" -- "is a sign that we do feel that Romania is on
the right path in achieving its ultimate goal of membership in NATO."


But he added that other countries were also mentioned in the
declaration, and that "we've made no decisions at this point." One
purpose of next year's NATO summit in Washington is "to review how the
various countries, including Romania, have progressed."


Flanagan also noted that "we are at an early stage of ... advancing
the integration of those three countries [the Czech Republic, Hungary
and Poland] that were invited to join the alliance.... We are very
confident that this process is headed along the right course. And if
that does proceed as we expect, it will be paving the way for
membership for additional countries."


In response to a question, he said "concerns about the further
strengthening of the Romanian economy is a factor" in whether Romania
will be considered ready for NATO membership. "It's not the most
decisive factor, of course.... What we would like to see is further
progress ... as a way to show that indeed market reforms have been
consolidated in Romania."


Flanagan noted U.S. support for Romania's efforts to prepare for
membership in the European Union as well as NATO, "and so we feel that
our support for the development of the Romanian economy through our
strategic partnership, through our assistance program, through a
variety of other mechanisms, is important in advancing Romania's
overall economic integration goals."


Also participating in the WorldNet was Dr. Nikolae Filipescu, a leader
in the Romanian-American community who will host a meeting between
President Constantinescu and Romanian-Americans later this week.


Following is a transcript of the WorldNet program:



(Note: In the following text, "billion" equals 1,000 million.)



(Begin transcript)



WORLDNET "DIALOGUE"

UNITED STATES INFORMATION AGENCY

Television and Film Service

Washington, D.C.



GUESTS:

Stephen Flanagan

Special Assistant to the President for Central and Eastern European
Affairs
National Security Council



Dr. Nikolae Filipescu, Romanian-American Community



TOPIC: U.S.-Romanian Relations



POST:	Bucharest



HOST:  Jim Bertel



DATE:  July 13, 1998

TIME:  07:30 - 08:00 EDT



MR. BERTEL: Hi, I'm Jim Bertel, welcome to "Washington Window," where
we discuss today's most important issues one-on-one with leading
newsmakers.


Tomorrow Romania's President Emil Constantinescu arrives here in
Washington to meet with President Clinton, and review the
U.S.-Romanian partnership one year after Mr. Clinton's visit to
Bucharest. During their meeting the two presidents will discuss trade
and investment, the status of Romanian reforms, NATO expansion, and
cooperation between the two countries. This week's visit marks an
important milestone in bilateral relations between Romania and the
United States.


(Begin videotape.)



ANNOUNCER: After long years under one of the world's most repressive
Communist regimes, Romania took a decisive step in 1989 to embrace
democracy. A year ago President Clinton was warmly received by the
Romanian people. His visit to Bucharest helped raise Romania's spirit
following NATO's disappointing decision not to invite the country to
join the alliance. Stay the course. Stay the course.


PRESIDENT CLINTON: As long as you proceed down democracy's road,
America will walk by your side.


ANNOUNCER: President Clinton urged Romanians to keep on course in
making needed reforms, a necessary step toward Euro-Atlantic
integration.


MR. : I think Romania is a key (arch ?) [stone?] or the key element in
any major -- (inaudible) -- equation, and therefore I think that there
will be areas in which Romanian-American relations will develop
towards a type of privileged relationship.


ANNOUNCER: That special relationship develops further this week with
President Constantinescu's address to a joint session of Congress.
This speech will put him among a very select group of world leaders to
be invited to speak before such an impressive forum.


MR. : It is a significantly high honor for a foreign official to be
invited to a joint meeting of Congress. Over the course of 175 years,
perhaps no more than 50 foreign heads of government have been invited
to speak before congressional sessions.


ANNOUNCER: The deepening ties between the two countries will be
further strengthened this week when President Constantinescu meets
with President Clinton at the White House.


(End videotape.)



MR. BERTEL: Joining us here in Washington to discuss President
Constantinescu's visit is Stephen Flanagan, special assistant to the
president, and senior director for Central and Eastern European
affairs at the National Security Council. Dr. Flanagan, what can we
expect from this week's visit?


MR. FLANAGAN: Well, we can expect a thorough review of our strategic
partnership with Romania -- a discussion of a number of important
issues of mutual concern to both our government and the government of
Romania; that is to say, the crisis in the Balkans, particularly
Kosovo; a discussion of the support that we've received from Romania
on dealing with a number of the problems in the very turbulent region
that it resides in.


We also want to discuss, of course, the progress of Romania with
regard to its interest in NATO membership. It has been very actively
involved in the Partnership for Peace, which we feel is the best path
for it to proceed down the road to NATO. But we want to review where
things stand and give the Romanians a sense of where next steps are.


MR. BERTEL: It should be an important visit. Well, we are pleased to
be simulcasting today's program with Pro-TV in Bucharest, where I am
joined by news anchor Lucien Mendretu (sp).


Q: Hi. Mr. Flanagan, as we all remember, our country was mentioned in
the final document of the Madrid Conference one year after. Do you
feel that our presence in that document means something to the
American administration?


MR. FLANAGAN: Well, it absolutely does -- it absolutely does. The fact
that your government, that Romania's progress on reform, on
restructuring its armed forces, was mentioned in that Madrid
declaration is a sign that we do feel that Romania is on the right
path in achieving its ultimate goal of membership in NATO.


What we've already resisted is any suggestion that gave any country --
and there were some other countries, as you know, mentioned in that
document -- any pride of place with regard to the long-term future. We
have committed next year, in April of 1999, at the Washington Summit
of NATO, to review how the various countries, including Romania, have
progressed. We've made no decisions at this point. We have made no
commitments that indeed there would be a decision that some other
country or countries would be admitted to NATO at that time, or
invited to begin accession talks.


But it does show that we feel that Romania is very much going and
proceeding along the right path.


Q: This is another journalist from Bucharest, Romania. Our caller,
Bodan Ciedieak (sp) from the newspaper -- (inaudible) -- and he has a
question for Mr. Flanagan.


Q: (Off mike) -- made a promise to the Romanian people one year ago
here in Bucharest. Now the United States and the other members of the
alliance have a good experience in what -- (inaudible) -- the
integration of three Eastern and Central European countries in NATO.
Concerning this experience, are you optimistic or pessimistic
concerning the second wave of integration?


MR. FLANAGAN: Well, I would say we are at an early stage of that
process of advancing the integration of those three countries that
were invited to join the alliance. We have, of course, been working
over the last several months, but this is a process that is going to
take several years. So I would say we are optimistic in the sense that
we do feel that the assessment we had made to the Congress and to
others that these governments would be net contributors to alliance
security is in fact proving true.


We're finding that in some cases some of their military capabilities
or ability to support alliance activities are better than we expected.
There are issues that are arising that we hadn't anticipated. But we
are very confident that this process is headed along the right course.
And if that does proceed as we expect, it will be paving the way for
membership for additional countries.


So -- and we will feel very optimistic, I think, once this process is
over. But I think it's a little premature to say whether or not we're
convinced. Or we could -- what's more important is not that we are
convinced as a government -- our administration has always been
convinced that this will be the case. What's more important is that we
have a credible case to make to the Congress, to other parliaments in
NATO, that in fact this process has been a success, and that we can
show that integration of other countries will go just as smoothly.


Q: Sir, do you mean we are going to have many years between the first
and the second wave?


MR. FLANAGAN: No, I am not suggesting we are going to have many years.
What I am saying is that we -- technically, the full process of
integration really hasn't begun -- because not all of the NATO
parliaments have ratified the protocols necessary to amend the North
Atlantic Treaty. We are working in many of the preparatory steps with
all of the three governments that were invited last year. But that
process is far from complete. Indeed, that process ultimately could
take more than a decade. But I am not saying that that means that
there can be no further invitations until that's completed. If you
look back at the way other countries -- for example, Spain -- it was a
period of several decades as it adjusted and adapted the way it
actually related to NATO over the long term. The same with some of the
other members of the alliance. All I am saying is that it's premature
for us to be able to go to the Congress now and say, "Yeah, we're sure
this is working just exactly as we said," because as I said earlier,
the process really still is unfolding, and it will take some time. I
don't want to put a timeline on that -- I don't think it's productive
-- because we really don't know. But we're convinced that we will be
able to show the Congress over the longer term that indeed these
governments have been net contributors to our overall security and to
the security of Europe.


Q: Another journalist here in Bucharest is -- (inaudible) -- from
Pro-TV. And she has got a question for Mr. Stephen Flanagan.


Q: Mr. Flanagan, do you believe that the economic situation such as it
is today in Romania can negatively influence the decision concerning
Romania's access to NATO?


MR. FLANAGAN: Well, I think concerns about the further strengthening
of the Romanian economy is a factor. It's not the most decisive
factor, of course. What we do feel is that there is no doubt that
democratic and overall market reforms have been implemented in
Romania. Of course, there have been a number of problems in the
economic area, as you well know. The slowness to complete the
privatization process, certain other aspects of macroeconomic
restructuring have been slow. That has also led to a slowness in
foreign direct investment.


What we would like to see is further progress along some of these
lines that I mentioned as a way to show that indeed market reforms
have been consolidated in Romania. But while NATO has always been an
alliance of democracies with free markets who want to promote those
values, there is no specific economic criteria. There is no specific
point in Romania's economic development that has to take place before
we can say yes on NATO.


But of course Romania has broader integration goals as well. We would
like to see, and we support Romania's desire to be a member of the
European Union. And there there are indeed strict economic criteria
that will have to be met.


And so we feel that our support for the development of the Romanian
economy through our strategic partnership, through our assistance
program, through a variety of other mechanisms, is important in
advancing Romania's overall economic integration goals.


Q: Mr. Flanagan, Romania happens to be situated in an area dominated
by conflict -- Bosnia and Kosovo are just two examples. In NATO's
view, could our position be an asset? Is it a flaw? And can we be a
provider of security for NATO in Southeastern Europe?


MR. FLANAGAN: Well, I would say it's absolutely a plus. While indeed
you are in an area of the world where there has been a great deal of
turmoil over the last few years, there is a conviction that Romania
remains an island of stability in that turmoil, and has been a very
important contributor and supporter of alliance and other efforts to
enhance security throughout Europe.


Your government has been an active participant in the Partnership for
Peace. You've been with us there in Bosnia where your armed forces
have recounted themselves very well. Your support to other activities,
including the force that was sent in to Albania in 1997 -- all of that
was seen as very positive and redounded very much to Romania's benefit
in a sense that we recognize that Romania really can be an effective
partner in working with us on some of these collective security
problems in the region.


Q: Right here in Bucharest, when we talk about the second wave of NATO
expansion, we think about Romania, and we believe that we are talking
about Romania. In this concern, do you think that this strategical
partnership between Romania and the United States -- do you think this
strategical partnership is a preparation or a replacement?


MR. FLANAGAN: It's absolutely a preparation. It was never intended to
be a surrogate or an alternative. What we have said is that the
strategic partnership is our bilateral effort, complemented by your
work in the Partnership for Peace and other things that Romania is
doing itself, that this is the way that we will help you become the
best possible -- and your government to become the best possible
candidates for NATO membership.


We have taken a comprehensive approach on this, because we do think
that a strong Romanian economy is important to be able to support an
effective military structure over the longer term. We think that that
will advance your other integration goals. It will help you be a more
effective partner with other states in your region. All of this will
contribute to your stability and security and advance your goal of
achieving NATO membership. So it has always been seen as very much a
part of this preparation, as part of leading you down this path
towards your ultimate goal of NATO membership.


Q: (Off mike) -- is obviously very important both to Romania's
accession to NATO and in our bilateral relations. What in your opinion
is keeping American investors away from Romania?


MR. FLANAGAN: Well, I think there's a number of uncertainties. We have
seen a number of deals that have been very close to closure and for
some reason or other all of the elements don't seem to come together.
So there seems to be a need for some greater transparency, some
deregulation in the process of receiving foreign investment. There's
obviously still a little bit of uncertainty. As you know well, the
Romanian economy this year has contracted a little bit. They expect it
to see some other further downturns in some other economic indicators.
This is, of course, not a climate that is going to attract foreign
investment.


Some of the process of privatization and the way in which the
opportunities for foreign investors to come in has been inhibited by
certain Romanian government policies. All of this has contributed to a
slowdown.


We made a commitment as part of the strategic partnership last
September, when Assistant Secretary Marc Grossman and I were in
Bucharest, to try to see if we couldn't triple American direct
investment in Romania. And we have been making some progress, and
there are a number of deals as I say that are near closure but haven't
quite come to fruition. So we are going to keep working on it. We hope
that there will be some signs of progress. Secretary Daley will be
meeting -- the Secretary of Commerce here in the United States -- will
be meeting also with President Constantinescu during his visit -- and
we hope that we can identify some ways, working with your ombudsman
and other elements of the government, to move forward some of these
deals.


Q: Right now in Bucharest it has been concluded a very important deal
between Bell Helicopters and some Romanian companies. The contract has
a value of roughly more than $2 billion. Do you think that this
project will attract more American investors to Romania, and will
boost Romania's chances to get into NATO?


MR. FLANAGAN: Well, on the first question, will it boost interest in
Romanian investment: Obviously any of these deals that come to
fruition, if they are seen as solid, as in any other business, the
market will tell. If this proves to be a good deal, if Romania makes
good on various commitments, if the business evolves well, then indeed
it will have that effect.


With regard to defense questions, we have always said to the Romanian
government that this is their decision to make. We have a number of
priorities that we would like to make sure that it continues to pursue
in the development of its armed forces so that it can work with NATO.


I would say that the helicopter deal is not at the top of that list,
but indeed, as long as Romania can meet these other priorities, and
proceed with the helicopter deal, we're fully supportive.


Q: Mr. Flanagan, in our bilateral relation it seems that the best
cooperation has been in the field of military relations. How much
further can military relations go if Romania does not eventually join
NATO?


MR. FLANAGAN: Well, there are a number of things that we can continue
to do. We are looking at elements -- whatever happens in the April
summit of NATO, we would like to enhance the Partnership for Peace to
make it more effective in allowing the Partners to play a more
effective role in dealing with the various problems with NATO member
countries.


We are very much convinced that the Partnership for Peace, even as
NATO enlarges, should continue to develop, that it should continue to
be a mechanism whereby NATO can cooperate with non-member states. And
we think there are some things that we can do in the area of training
and other elements of the development of Partner armed forces that
could make the Partnership for Peace, and therefore Romania's
participation, whatever happens, more interesting, more challenging,
more relevant to -- just as it always has been -- to achieving that
long-term goal of integration in NATO for those states that are
seeking membership.


Q: Do you think that at a certain moment the position of Romania in
Europe, which is a very important pillar of stability in this part of
the Balkans, can prevail the economic situation in what concerns a
fast NATO admission?


MR. FLANAGAN: I'm sorry, I didn't quite -- as long as you remain
stable, that this will help advance your integration?


Q: No, what he was trying to ask is whether our position in Eastern
Europe can prevail over our, let's say, economic stature in regard to
our admission to NATO.


MR. FLANAGAN: No, I'm sorry, the strategic importance and location be
taken in -- seen as a higher consideration than your economic
consideration? Is that right?


I would say that there is no particular hierarchy. NATO is being
enlarged on the basis of the sense that this is a group of democracies
who have common interests and shared values that they want to protect.
That's the fundamental thing that we've said about NATO enlargement --
it's not some kind of geo-strategic gambit designed to advance some
specific geo-strategic goals. Those certainly are considerations, and
I think as you said earlier your location gives Romania a certain
geo-strategic interest, because it is in a region where we know there
is real turmoil that could affect overall European security. It does
have an important position with regard to U.S. interests elsewhere in
the world.


But I would say that we want to see progress along a number of
different fronts before we can say to the United States Congress,
"Yes, Romania can sustain its membership in NATO, can be a net
contributor to security." We're not just looking for air bases, or any
other kind of power projection sort of platforms. That's not what
we're looking for. We're looking for reliable and effective partners.
And if Romania can prove that, then it will be in the alliance.


Q: I was just thinking that last year NATO expansion went only on the
northern side of Europe, and all the problems seem to be here in the
south. And from this consideration I was wondering about the
participation of Romania in Albania, in Bosnia, and farther on. So I
was thinking about that, that at a certain moment the position of
Romania should be vital -- the economic consideration in what concerns
the NATO participation. Thank you very much.


MR. BERTEL: Dr. Steven Flanagan of the National Security Council,
thank you for taking time to be with us today on WorldNet and Pro-TV.
Good to have you.


Well, now joining us here in Washington is Dr. Nikolae Filipescu, a
leading member of the Romanian-American community. Dr. Filipescu will
be hosting a meeting between President Constantinescu and
Romanian-American leaders later this week.


Let's return to Pro-TV for more of our discussion.



Q: Mr. Filipescu, hello, I'm -- (inaudible). I would like to ask you a
question: What is the role of the Romanian community in the United
States in planning to boost our country's relations with the United
States?


MR. FILIPESCU: Hello to you, Mrs. Greta (sp), the same to Mr. Mendretu
(sp) and Mr. Ciediak (sp). The Romanian-American community is the
day-to-day ambassador of Romania abroad. And the Romanian Americans
have done an excellent job in projecting the image and the prestige of
the country in the United States. The majority of the people of
Romanian origin in America have behaved with a great deal of hard work
and excellent attitude, and therefore have participated to creating an
image and some kind of a good relations in respect for the Romanian
origin of the Americans from here.


Now, the second part of your question is what role do they play. It's
a multiple role: first by the way they present themselves; second
there is a lobbying type of activity which they have exerted and they
will continue to exert on the American government and the American
authorities, and even on the -- much more important probably -- the
American private sector, which is instrumental in investing in
America. The third aspect is the way they interact with the people in
Romania. So there is a great deal of interest among the people of
Romanian origin in America, a great interest and the great desire not
only to help but to participate, and hopefully to make a difference in
the future of the country.


Q: (Off mike) -- with American businessmen coming home from Romania,
because if you did, I want to know what they most often are
complaining about.


MR. FILIPESCU: The list is quite long. Unfortunately the Romanian
state -- the Romanian bureaucracy has a pretty bad reputation, and
that is stated repeatedly throughout all the forums where such things
are discussed.


Many times companies from the United States have tried to invest in
Romania, to participate in the economic development, only to admit
that they have been unable to. The examples are so abundant that it is
difficult. I will choose only a few. The most prominent American
company which makes agricultural machines -- it is called New Holland
-- has negotiated for longer than two and a half years with the
Romanian authorities and the Siminutara (sp) Factory in an attempt to
create in Romania a center for manufacturing and distribution and
export of agricultural utensils. And after all this time they gave up
and they moved to Poland.


Another company, Cargill, which deals with exports of grains and
agricultural products, after doing something similar, they ended up
going to Turkey.


General Electric after coming to Romania with a decision-making
capability ended up going to Hungary.


American businessmen in the oil industry, with great technological
capability have had to move on. It's very difficult to the business of
Romania -- not only because the bureaucracy is corrupt and unable to
see the interests of the country, but also because frequently deals
which are made -- contracts -- are not respected. And the lower level,
the lower echelons of bureaucracy, they are simply sabotaging the
accomplishment of any deal. It is known in the business community in
America that Romania has not been a preferential place for doing
business.


Q: Mr. Filipescu, I am -- (inaudible) -- daily newspaper here in
Bucharest, Romania. Last year Romania was involved in a very huge
effort to join NATO in the first wave. In this respect, do you think
the Romanian community in the United States did enough to support this
effort Romania did? And in this respect, are you preparing something
for next year, for April in Washington, when it is going to be again
on NATO expansion in Washington?


MR. FILIPESCU: I'm not sure how much is known in Romania about the
efforts which have been made by the so-called Romanian-American
community in this respect. But there have been important actions and
lobbying on many available mass media and communication matters here
-- not only individual lobbying toward the congressmen and senators in
the government, but also collective activities. And that has continued
since.


I would have to say the following thing. The chances of Romania
getting into NATO are very good, because the doors have been opened in
the United States, the other Western countries, for Romania. The door
is opened. This strategic partnership is not a fiction; it is a
reality. And so the most important thing which prevents us from going
into it are the lack of reform, the lack of courage and determination
to change the old structures which are still prevalent in Romania,
which have been demolished in countries like the Czech Republic,
Hungary, Poland, and even in Bulgaria and Albania. So therefore
Romania is way behind in its ability to meet the standards for
entering NATO, which are not based only on commonality of interests,
but also on whatever happens in Romania -- the progress made in the
economic and political fields.


Q: Thank you very much.  Thank you to Jim Bertel in Washington.



MR. FILIPESCU: Thank you.



MR. BERTEL: And my thanks to you, Lucien, and your colleagues in
Bucharest. And of course I'd also like to extend my thanks to Dr.
Filipescu for joining us today. In Washington, I'm Jim Bertel for
"Washington Window."


(End transcript)