Joint Staff Officers Guide AFSC Pub 1 -- 1997

Appendix D Logistic Estimate

This description is adapted from Joint Pub 5-03.1 (to be published as CJCSM 3122.01).



Originating Division, Issuing Headquarters*

Place of Issue

Date-time Group, Month, Year


( ) REFERENCES: a. Maps and charts

b. Other pertinent documents

1. ( ) Mission. State the mission of the command as a whole, taken from the commanderís mission analysis, planning guidance, or other statements.

2. ( ) Situation and Considerations

a. ( ) Characteristics of the Area of Operation. Summarize data about the area, taken from the intelligence estimate or area study, with specific emphasis on significant factors affecting logistics activities.

b. ( ) Enemy Forces

(1) ( ) Strength and Dispositions. Refer to current intelligence estimate.

(2) ( ) Enemy Capabilities. Discuss enemy capabilities, taken from the current intelligence estimate, with specific emphasis on their impact on the logistics situation. Describe enemy abilities to interdict strategic sealift and airlift, to attack and reduce the effectiveness of transportation nodes, and to attack pre-positioned stocks ashore and afloat, if applicable.

c. ( ) Friendly Forces

(1) ( ) Present Disposition of Major Elements. Include an estimate of their strengths.

(2) ( ) Own Courses of Action. State the proposed COAs under consideration, obtained from operations or plans division.

(3) ( ) Probable Tactical Developments. Review major deployments and logistics preparations necessary in all phases of the operation proposed.

d. ( ) Logistics Situation. State known personnel problems, if any, that may affect the logistics situation.

e. ( ) Command, Control, and Communications Situation. State the command, control, and communications situation, emphasizing known command, control, and communications problems that may affect the logistics situation.

f. ( ) Assumptions. State assumptions about the logistics aspects of the situation made for this estimate. Because basic assumptions for the operation already have been made and will appear in planning guidance and in the plan itself, they should not be repeated here. Certain logistics assumptions may have been made in preparing this estimate, and those should be stated.

g. ( ) Special Features. Special features not covered elsewhere in the estimate that may influence the logistics situation may be stated here.

h. ( ) Logistics Situation

(1) ( ) Supply and Service Installations. Describe and give location of key supply and service installations that will be used to support the operation.

(2) ( ) Supply. State availability of PWRS, authorized levels of supply, known deficiencies of supply stocks and supply systems, and responsibilities and policies regarding supply.

(3) ( ) Transportation. List air, sea, and surface transportation availability, coordination, regulations, lift capability, responsibilities, and policies regarding supply.

(4) ( ) Medical Services. Describe availability of evacuation and hospital facilities and medical responsibilities and policies, including the anticipated evacuation policy.

(5) ( ) Civil Engineering Support. List responsibilities for civil engineering support, limiting factors, and other appropriate considerations.

(6) ( ) Miscellaneous. Include other logistics matters not considered elsewhere that may influence selection of a specific COA. Include identity of known deficiencies of combat service support. Include identity of civil and indigenous materiel resources available or essential to support military operations. Also, consider the requirement to meet minimum essential needs of civil populace for whom the commander may become responsible.

3. ( ) Logistic Analysis of Own Courses of Action. Make an orderly examination of the logistics factors influencing the proposed COAs to determine the manner and degree of that influence. The objective of this analysis is to determine if the logistics requirements can be met and to isolate the logistics implications that should be weighed by the commander in the Commanderís Estimate of the Situation.

a. ( ) Analyze each COA from the logistics point of view. The detail in which the analysis is made is determined by considering the level of command, scope of contemplated operations, and urgency of need.

b. ( ) For each COA under consideration, analyze the logistics factors described in paragraph 2. Examine these factors realistically from the standpoint of requirements versus actual or programmed capabilities, climate and weather, hydrography, time and space, enemy capabilities, and other significant factors that may have an impact on the logistics situation as it affects the COAs.

c. ( ) Throughout the analysis, keep logistics considerations foremost in mind. The analysis is not intended to produce a decision; it is intended to ensure that all applicable logistics factors have been properly considered and serve as the basis for the comparisons in paragraph 4.

4. ( ) Comparison of Own Courses of Action

a. ( ) List the advantages and disadvantages of each proposed COA--from the

J-4s point of view.

b. ( ) Use a worksheet similar to that used for the Commanderís Estimate, if necessary.

5. ( ) Conclusions

a. ( ) State whether or not the mission set forth in paragraph 1 can be supported from a logistics standpoint.

b. ( ) State which COA under consideration can best be supported from a logistics standpoint.

c. ( ) Identify the major logistics deficiencies that must be brought to the commanderís attention. Include recommendations concerning the methods to eliminate or reduce the effects of those deficiencies.

(Signed) __________________________




ANNEXES: (By letter and title). Use annexes when the information is in graphs or is of such detail and volume that inclusion in the body makes the estimates too cumbersome. Annexes should be lettered sequentially as they occur throughout the estimate.

DISTRIBUTION: (According to procedures and policies of the issuing headquarters)