Joint Staff Officers Guide AFSC Pub 1 -- 1997

Appendix B Personnel Estimate

This description is adapted from Joint Pub 5-03.1 (to be published as CJCSM 3122.01).



Originating Section, Issuing Headquarters*

Place of Issue

Date-time Group, Month, Year


( ) REFERENCES: a. Maps and charts

b. Other pertinent documents

1. ( ) Mission. State the mission of the command as a whole, taken from the commanderís mission analysis, planning guidance, or other statements.

2. ( ) Situation and Considerations

a. ( ) Characteristics of the Area of Operation. Summarize data about the area, taken from the intelligence estimate or area study, with specific emphasis on significant factors affecting personnel activities.

b. ( ) Enemy Forces

(1) ( ) Strength and Dispositions. Refer to current intelligence estimate.

(2) ( ) Enemy Capabilities. Discuss enemy capabilities, taken from the current intelligence estimate, with specific emphasis on their impact on personnel matters.

c. ( ) Friendly Forces

(1) ( ) Present Disposition of Major Elements. Include an estimate of their strengths.

(2) ( ) Own Courses of Action. State the proposed COAs under consideration, obtained from operations or plans division.

(3) ( ) Probable Tactical Developments. Review major deployments necessary in initial and subsequent phases of the operation proposed.

d. ( ) Logistics Situation. State known logistics problems, if any, that may affect the personnel situation.

e. ( ) Command, Control, and Communications Situation. State the command, control, and communications situation, emphasizing known problems that may affect the personnel situation.

f. ( ) Assumptions. State assumptions about the personnel situation made for this estimate. Because basic assumptions for the operation already have been made and will appear in planning guidance and in the plan itself, they should not be repeated here. Certain personnel assumptions that may have been made in preparing this estimate should be stated here.

g. ( ) Special Features. List anything not covered elsewhere in the estimate that may influence the personnel situation. For example, identify civil and indigenous labor resources available or essential to support military operations.

h. ( ) Personnel Situation. State known or anticipated personnel problems that may influence selection of a specific COA.

3. ( ) Personnel Analysis of Own Courses of Action. Make an orderly examination of the personnel factors influencing the proposed COAs to determine the manner and degree of that influence and to isolate the personnel implications that should be weighed by the commander in the Commanderís Estimate of the Situation.

a. ( ) Analyze each COA from the personnel point of view. The detail in which the analysis is made is determined by considering the level of command, scope of contemplated operations, and urgency of need.

b. ( ) The personnel factors described in paragraph 2 establish the elements to be analyzed for each COA under consideration. Examine these personnel factors realistically and include appropriate considerations of climate and weather, terrain, hydrography, enemy capabilities, and other significant factors that may have an impact on the personnel situation as it affects the COAs.

c. ( ) Throughout the analysis, keep personnel considerations foremost in mind. The analysis is not intended to produce a decision but to ensure that all applicable personnel factors have been considered and to be the basis of paragraphs 4 and 5.

4. ( ) Comparison of Own Courses of Action

a. ( ) List the advantages and disadvantages of each proposed COA--from the

J-1ís point of view.

b. ( ) Use a worksheet similar to the one in the Commanderís Estimate, if necessary.

5. ( ) Conclusions

a. ( ) State whether or not the mission set forth in paragraph 1 can be supported from a personnel standpoint.

b. ( ) State which COA under consideration can best be supported from a personnel standpoint.

c. ( ) Identify the major personnel deficiencies that must be brought to the commanderís attention. Include recommendations of methods to eliminate or reduce the effects of those deficiencies.

(Signed) _____________________________




ANNEXES: (By letter and title). Use annexes when the information is in graphs or is of such detail and volume that inclusion in the body makes the estimates too cumbersome. Annexes should be lettered sequentially as they occur throughout the estimate.

DISTRIBUTION: (According to procedures and policies of the issuing headquarters)